cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nolan Smith /Georgia

Nolan Smith

WR · Georgia · Sr · #11

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLPhiladelphia — drafted 2023, Rd 1, Pick 31, #30 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

PhiladelphiaEntering 4th NFL season

#30Rd 1 · Pick 31
PhiladelphiaEntering 4th NFL season

WR · GEORGIA · SEC

Nolan Smith

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • Bradley, FL

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#147

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Georgia · WR

2022

Georgia · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Georgia · WR

2024

Georgia · WR

NFL Draft 2023 · Rd 1, Pick 31 · #30 overall · Philadelphia

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
1022021
1982022
1532023
8172024

+701%

Up 701% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#1 national
CFB
College
Georgia
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #30
Philadelphia &middot; 2023

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownBradley, FL
Primary teamGeorgia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 1 recruit
Composite rating 0.9994 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia 2019
Origin IMG Academy Bradenton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 5-star | 0.9994 No. 1 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#147Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#144Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to Georgia

Composite

0.9994

#1 national

NFL Draft

2023 · Rd 1, Pick 31

#30 overall · Philadelphia

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nolan Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nolan Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Nolan Smith already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #147 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 1 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 48 4 rec TD | #129/1110 (88th pct)
Receiving yards 817 17.0 per catch | #62/1107 (94th pct)
Scrimmage yards 871 Total offensive yardage | #62/1107 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
48 88th
YDS
817 94th
YPR
17.0 87th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
5 78th
YDS
54 87th
YPC
10.8 88th
TD
0 81st

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Georgia12-1HC: Kirby Smart · Run-heavy
2022Georgia15-0HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2023Georgia13-1HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Georgia4881717.04--
2023Georgia815319.12--
2022Georgia719828.31--
2021Georgia310234.02--
Career4 loaded seasons661,27019.29--
SeasonTeam
2024Georgia554------
2023Georgia133------
2022Georgia----------
2021Georgia115------
Career4 loaded seasons7102------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.5% 10.7% pass-game share | #457/1137 (60th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 48 #129/1110 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 817 #62/1107 94th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 17.0 #150/1106 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.7% #457/1137 60th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 54 #53/397 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 30 #37/346 90th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 10.8 #47/393 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 5 #90/407 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 67 #122/1105 89th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.7% #335/1137 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.3% #216/1137 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.8% #478/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.5% #316/1137 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.7% #310/1137 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.2% #486/1137 57th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.2% #165/1137 86th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirby Smart

Pass share

42.5%

417 pass / 565 run

Plays / game

70.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

1 coach
2021
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2022
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2023
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2024
Kirby Smart
Georgia

Played his entire career under Kirby Smart.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBradley, FL
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2022)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2022 All-SEC all_conference Georgia | SEC LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia WR4 #147 #144 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Georgia WR4 #449 #330 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Georgia WR4 #641 #430 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Georgia WR4 #596 #397 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Georgia SEC WR 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Bradley, FL
2023 Georgia SEC WR 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Bradley, FL
2022 Georgia SEC WR 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Bradley, FL
2021 Georgia SEC WR 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Bradley, FL