Georgia

2-0AP #2

SEC · Kirby Smart, year 11 (119-21) · Sanford Stadium · 92,746 · 93,033 avg in 2026

The nationAP #2 · Coaches #2no change
The model#3 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #2 (+28.7) · FPI #4
The marketGeorgia by 24.5at Arkansas · our model 97% Georgia · a number, not a pick

LastW 70–20 vs Western Kentucky · Sat Sep 12 · Gunner Stockton 234 pass yds, 5 TD, 3 rush yds

Nextat Arkansas · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Razorback Stadium · Georgia by 24.5 · series 12-4, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Georgia · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#2#217-49Tennessee StateW 63–3 1181-00-0
2Sep 12#3#48-40.5Western KentuckyW 70–20 1342-00-0
3Sep 19#3#139-24.5@Arkansas
4Sep 26#3#16Oklahoma
5Oct 3Vanderbilt
6Oct 10@Alabama
7Oct 17Auburn
9Oct 31Florida (N)
10Nov 7@Ole Miss
11Nov 14Missouri
12Nov 21@South Carolina
13Nov 28Georgia Tech
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Western KentuckyW 70–20493228:54+0.62750.0%159.6%
Sep 5Tennessee StateW 63–3660028:27+0.74370.5%131.7%
Season average (2 games)5761.0+0.68560.2%145.6%
Verdict Begins·Live

Georgia chased a national title for forty years, won back-to-back, and now measures a 12-2 SEC champion as a disappointment.

AP Poll#2 AP

The growing take that the regular-season machine can't close in January anymore — that the Smart dynasty peaked at two. The fanbase has heard it three straight winters, and it stings precisely because…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 63–3 vs Tennessee State · Sat Sep 5
Ahead
Sat Oct 10AP #10 Alabamaat Alabama · on the road
Sat Oct 17Deep South's Oldest Rivalryvs Auburn · at home
Sat Nov 7AP #8 Ole Missat Ole Miss · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 12-2 · last season

Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate4-2some dramain one-score games (6 of 14)5th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+14.5comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo71average paceoffensive plays / game5th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.18grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)13th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd93,033avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Georgia has won four of its last five.

Warming. 9-1 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 9-1
Arion Carter represents everything that is right about college athletics, dedicating all 4 years of his career to the University of Tennessee
Heupel · Saturday Down South2 days after Georgia's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Arkansas · away

Season line9.5 winsover -200
StrongMethodical, ball-controlStrong

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 9.5▲0.5 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#4 in field+675
SEC title#1 in market+225

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Georgia · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Georgia's recruiting class is really about

the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

Ekene Ogboko (#33 nationally, OT) arrives as Georgia's top recruit, but with 16% QB production returning and Florida signing a top-17 class, the SEC's most storied program faces its sharpest test yet.

what happenedGeorgia signed a top-6 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 recruiting class in the SEC

our readfront page

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Zachariah Branch is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Joshua McCray: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Nate Frazier does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Zachariah Branch is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

market_swing2026-08-30~readnew

Kirby Smart's 9th season opens with a 12-2 record and #1 talent, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the market projects 10 wins despite rising expectations.

what happenedGeorgia win total rose from 9.5 to 10 (+0.5 wins) between Aug 29 and Aug 30, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 0.5 from 9.5 to 10.0

our readdeveloping

governance shockthis cycle~readnew

Kirby Smart's 11th season opens with a 12-2 record and a #2 AP finish, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the program grapples with an outside ruling reshaping its season.

what happenedGeorgia: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

Died downGeorgia's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Georgia · 2026

Georgia's most likely season is 12-3 — a conference title and a CFP semifinal. The floor is 8-5; the ceiling is 16-0.

Floor8-5A bowl game.
Base12-3A conference title and a CFP semifinal.
Ceiling16-0A conference title and a national title.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Georgia · Recruiting Confidence

Georgia signed the top-6 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.

Georgia signed a top-6 recruiting class. It is a top-2 recruiting class in the SEC. A top-6 class is a program-level investment. Development timelines decide the return. National coverage is split on what the ranking actually signals for this program.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers20 bull takes
💬 fans: 2% volume
Developing8 new this week
3 days agoWin total: 10 → 10.5 (▲0.5)
4 days agoSEC determined to govern itself — Reported
4 days agoGeorgia Intel: Low-profile matchup brings high-stakes recruiting weekend to Athens — On3
5 days agoWin total: 9.5 → 10 (▲0.5)
5 days agoSEC title odds: +330 → +250 (▲5.3pp implied)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jayden Wade Recruit
“Georgia football recruiting podcast: UGA’s Whiteout Visitor List Headlined by 5-Star QB Jayden Wade” — DawgNation · 2026-09-10
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ekene Ogboko (#33 nationally, OT) arrives as Georgia's top recruit, but with 16% QB production returning and Florida signing a top-17 class, the SEC's most storied program faces its sharpest test yet.
Source of record: Georgia signed a top-6 recruiting class — a top-2 recruiting class in the SEC.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers20 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.

“Georgia Intel: Low-profile matchup brings high-stakes recruiting weekend to Athens”
Georgia Intel · On3 · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“Six No. 1s and a White Out: what Georgia has lined up recruiting wise for Saturday in Athens”
On3 · 2026-09-10 · read ↗
“Georgia football recruiting podcast: UGA’s Whiteout Visitor List Headlined by 5-Star QB Jayden Wade”
DawgNation · 2026-09-10 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Ex-Georgia DB JaCorey Thomas Commits to WVU – What You Need To K” — the real counter.

The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.

“Ex-Georgia DB JaCorey Thomas Commits to WVU – What You Need To Know”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-07 · read ↗
💬The boards2% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 227 of 10487 board posts (2%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Bought it at the Stadium. They had it where it was a blind purchase so you didn't know what signed jersey you would get."
r/georgiabulldogs ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Georgia · Market Confidence

The market bumped Georgia up a win. Win totals move for reasons; the books don't give interviews.

Georgia win total rose from 9.5 to 10 (+0.5 wins) between Aug 29 and Aug 30, 2026 (tier B). It is win total up 0.5 from 9.5 to 10.0. The coverage is already ahead of this. The fan base is aligned with the move. The coverage runs aligned with the move.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 4% volume
Developing5 new this week
3 days agoWin total: 10 → 10.5 (▲0.5)
4 days agoSEC determined to govern itself — Reported
5 days agoWin total: 9.5 → 10 (▲0.5)
5 days agoSEC title odds: +330 → +250 (▲5.3pp implied)
6 days agoSEC title odds: +250 → +330 (▼5.3pp implied)
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Kirby Smart's 9th season opens with a 12-2 record and #1 talent, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the market projects 10 wins despite rising expectations.
Source of record: Georgia win total rose from 9.5 to 10 (+0.5 wins) between Aug 29 and Aug 30, 2026 (tier B) — win total up 0.5 from 9.5 to 10.0.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers6 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“#2 Georgia Bulldogs overwhelm Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in 70-20 win”
Local 3 News · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“What We Learned From Georgia Football's Dominant 70-20 Win Over Western Kentucky”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Georgia holds in college football rankings after WKU win”
SicEmDawgs.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards4% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 447 of 10487 board posts (4%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"This thread is for any mildy on-topic disscussion regarding UGA sports. Remember to adhere to our rules here"
r/georgiabulldogs ~ fan take
"Overreaction you say? This is the best Georgia has ever looked and needs to go ahead and be crowned National Champions."
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonW 34-3 vs Clemson (Wk 1)W 48-3 vs Tennessee Tech (Wk 2)W 13-12 vs Kentucky (Wk 3)L 34-41 vs Alabama (Wk 5)W 31-13 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 41-31 vs Mississippi State (Wk 7)W 30-15 vs Texas (Wk 8)W 34-20 vs Florida (Wk 10)L 10-28 vs Ole Miss (Wk 11)W 31-17 vs Tennessee (Wk 12)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-7 vs UT Martin (Wk 1)W 45-3 vs Ball State (Wk 2)W 24-14 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 49-21 vs UAB (Wk 4)W 27-20 vs Auburn (Wk 5)W 51-13 vs Kentucky (Wk 6)W 37-20 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 7)W 43-20 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 30-21 vs Missouri (Wk 10)W 52-17 vs Ole Miss (Wk 11)W 38-10 vs Tennessee (Wk 12)W 31-23 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)L 24-27 vs Alabama (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 49-3 vs Oregon (Wk 1)W 33-0 vs Samford (Wk 2)W 48-7 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 39-22 vs Kent State (Wk 4)W 26-22 vs Missouri (Wk 5)W 42-10 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 55-0 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 7)W 42-20 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 27-13 vs Tennessee (Wk 10)W 45-19 vs Mississippi State (Wk 11)W 16-6 vs Kentucky (Wk 12)W 37-14 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)W 50-30 vs LSU (Wk 14)W 42-41 vs Ohio State (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 10-3 vs Clemson (Wk 1)W 56-7 vs UAB (Wk 2)W 40-13 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 62-0 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 4)W 37-0 vs Arkansas (Wk 5)W 34-10 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 30-13 vs Kentucky (Wk 7)W 34-7 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 43-6 vs Missouri (Wk 10)W 41-17 vs Tennessee (Wk 11)W 56-7 vs Charleston Southern (Wk 12)W 45-0 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)L 24-41 vs Alabama (Wk 14)W 34-11 vs Michigan (Wk 18)W 33-18 vs Alabama (Wk 20)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: Eight players drafted out and OT still the exposed nerve — this depth chart tells you whether…Story arc: SEC dribbles out next round of 2026 football scheduling news with release of…Wk 34Wk 4361th11th
2024 season · 11W-3L2023 season · 13W-1L2022 season · 15W-0L2021 season · 14W-1L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc

Rival pulse

Florida
Mixed
+2
Georgia-Florida
Face-off →
South Carolina
Uneasy
-6
South Carolina-Georgia

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Georgia is the program that chased the sentence for forty years, and now refuses to leave it.

Offense: StrongTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Strong
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 9Climbed to No. 5 in the AP Top 25Week 8 · Won 43-35 at home over Ole Miss4 · from No. 9
  • 2025 · Wk 6Fell to No. 12 in the AP Top 25Week 5 · Lost 21-24 at home to Alabama7 · from No. 5
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Georgia

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production69%High continuity
Talent Composite#1 nationally247 composite 1003.7
Portal Additions9Primary repair: QB
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss8Heavy NFL Draft loss (8) — 2 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#6Top-10 recruiting class
CBin 2 - Gentry Williams3.70out 3 - Dominick Kelly4.00Downgrade
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2023 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Sin 2 - Ja'Marley Riddle3.70out 3 - Joenel Aguero3.80Downgrade
current room: 202 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Rover2025 profileTakeaway threathits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away the kind of DB who takes it back the other way
OTin 1 - TyQuez Richardson3.70out 3 - Nyier Daniels4.28Starter Risk
WRin 1 - Isiah Canion4.50out 1 - Maurice Gleaton Jr.3.49Even
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2025 profilemoves the chains on third down
EDGEin 1 - Amaris Williams4.50out 1 - Elo Modozie4.00Even
Versatile End2025 profileholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
Former four-star
RBin 1 - Dante Dowdell4.00out 1 - Rod Robinson II3.60Even
current room: 213 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Workhorse2025 profileBoom-or-bustjust keeps getting the ball, series after series his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
Third program
Next man up
TE · departedOscar Delp4★ · Rd 3, Pk 9
Confirmed starter
WR · departedZachariah Branch5★ · Rd 3, Pk 15
nowDillon Bell3★ · SR
Confirmed starter
Full roster (129 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Georgia

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Jalon Walker out for season

    Eight starters already gone to the draft and now Walker's out for the year — Kirby's fall camp depth talk just became the whole story.

  2. News

    Georgia extends OC Mike Bobo

    Eight starters gone to the draft and a No. 2 class coming in — Kirby keeping Bobo means the offense doesn't rebuild, it reloads under the same system.

  3. News

    Player arrested after leaving team

    Eight starters already gone to the draft and now another body off the roster — Kirby's depth math keeps getting harder before Tennessee State even kicks off.

  4. News

    Georgia RB depth chart updated

    Eight starters drafted and the RB room still moves — Kirby reshuffles the backfield depth while preseason all-SEC voters already have Georgia penciled in as the conference's team to beat.

    Jul 24Reported
  5. News

    Georgia releases projected depth chart

    Eight players drafted out and OT still the exposed nerve — this depth chart tells you whether Kirby patched the trench or just reshuffled names on a thin roster.

    Jun 28Reported
  6. News

    SEC determined to govern itself

    SEC self-governance isn't abstract for Georgia — 8 players gone to the draft, a line still sorting out at OT, and the last thing Kirby needs is College Football Playoff structure decided in a room Atlanta doesn't control.

    Sep 11Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-4.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: -24.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
-8.0
starter risk
CB
-4.2
QB
+4.1
low confidence
DL
-3.7
low confidence
LB
-3.7
low confidence
IOL
-3.6
low confidence
TE
-3.6
low confidence
S
-3.5
WR
+1.0
EDGE
+0.5
RB
+0.4
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Ekene Ogboko
OT · Durham, NC
#37 national
★★★★☆
Kaiden Prothro
TE · Bowdon, GA
#39 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical tight end — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Complete TE archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Craig Dandridge
WR · Alpharetta, GA
#81 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical wide receiver — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

32
GA · 19FL · 3NC · 3AZ · 1MD · 1MI · 1OH · 1PA · 1+2 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 19 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

119 signees across 24 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NY1MA1ORNV1WYSDIA1IL2IN1OH2PA2NJ3CT1CA4UTCONEMO1KYWVVA4MD1DERIAZ1NMKSARTN3NC7SC1DCOKLA1MSAL1GA58AKHITX4FL17
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 5.4% of every high-school FBS signee GA produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Georgia Tech is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Georgia player grew up 112 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

6th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%60–438 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi41%51 of 125 players
Farthest1,988 miNate Frazier · Compton, CA
Closest1 miKhalil Barnes · Athens, GA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Sanford Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 125 of 129 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns GA · 2026 roster

60% of the Georgia roster grew up in GA.

76 of 127 players, drawn from 25 states in all. That is the 13th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 49% of the last 4 classes were from GA, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 11 points back toward home.

GA · 76FL · 7NC · 7CA · 5TX · 5TN · 4AZ · 2LA · 2+17 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

127 players across 25 states. Biggest pull outside GA: FL (7).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NY1MA1ORNV1WYSDIA1IL1INOH2PA2NJ1CT1CA5UTCONEMO1KYWVVA1MD1DERIAZ2NMKSARTN4NC7SC1DCOK1LA2MS1AL1GA76AKHITX5FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 3* WR Gavin Honore decommits from Georgia
45 upvotes · Feb 2026
Georgia Offensive Lineman Nyier Daniels to transfer to Tarleton
27 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 2 drafted so far, 50% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

49th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
49th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
9.5
Vegas O/U wins
(93rd among FBS)
Market 44pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #1, David Paschall (Chattanooga Times Free Press), to #8, Stephen Means (Cleveland.com).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

The bounces have gone their way on their own fumbles: 60% recovered, vs. ~54% expected.

3 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags haven't favored them: 15 penalties committed vs. 7 drawn on opponents, 101 yards behind.

151 penalty yards committed vs. 50 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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