ACC Georgia Tech

Head coach Brent Key · 5th season · 29-26 at Georgia Tech

Record2-61-4 ACC · T-16th
Bowl4 wins to goto bowl eligibility
Nextvs LouisvilleSat Nov 7 · 7:30 pm ET · ACC Network

The rest of the season

Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Louisville 42%

Win out <1% · expect 0.6 of 4 more wins

Georgia Tech's chance to win each game left, from our model: Louisville 42%, Clemson 11%, Wake Forest 4%, Georgia 2%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.

Bowl chance went from 77% to <1%, peaking at 77% before a game

77%47%L27%L16%L23%W15%L3%L<1%L

Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.

StandingTied for 16th in the ACC · 1-4 in conference play · All standings

LeadersPassing Alberto Mendoza 1,795 · Rushing Justice Haynes 548 · Receiving Jordan Allen 543 All player stats

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#111 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #75 (-1.1) · FPI #83
The marketLouisville by 14.5Betting line vs Louisville · our model 42% Georgia Tech

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Follow Georgia Tech:athletics siteACCXYouTube

Schedule and results

Georgia Tech · 2026 schedule and results2-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 62% · 1 opponent played so far is in the AP top 25 now. 1 win over a team ranked at kickoff.Our rank entering each game: #74 to #113
WkDateOur rankOpp rankLineOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Sep 3#74#163−6.5✗ −7.5ColoradoL 13-14 130Georgia Tech lost 13-14 vs Colorado. Chance to win started at 72%, low under 1%, high 88%. Roaring0-10-0Pass Mendoza 237 · Rush Haynes 64 · Rec Allen 113
2Sep 12#78#32+12.5✗ −8.5TennesseeL 24-45 137Georgia Tech lost 24-45 vs Tennessee. Chance to win started at 23%, low under 1%, high 38%.0-20-0Pass Mendoza 221 · Rush Haynes 81 · Rec Roche Jr. 66
3Sep 19#84#163−38.5✗ −5.5MercerW 44-11 122Georgia Tech won 44-11 vs Mercer. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.1-20-0Pass Mendoza 249 · Rush Haynes 141 · Rec Penson 58
4Sep 26#98#106−3✗ −10@StanfordL 27-34 144Georgia Tech lost 27-34 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 51%, low 4%, high 84%.1-30-1Pass Mendoza 268 · Rush Haynes 107 · Rec Allen 64
5Bye week
6Oct 10#100#54+4.5✓ +7.5DukeTop 25 winW 28-25 134Georgia Tech won 28-25 vs Duke. Chance to win started at 45%, low 32%, high 98%.2-31-1Pass Mendoza 218 · Rush Maddox 81 · Rec Allen 99
7Oct 17#99#47+8.5✗ −1.5@Virginia TechL 24-34 121Georgia Tech lost 24-34 at Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 19%, low under 1%, high 19%.2-41-2Pass Mendoza 335 · Rush Maddox 96 · Rec Allen 120
8Oct 24#89#116−6.5✗ −28.5Boston CollegeL 27-49 125Georgia Tech lost 27-49 vs Boston College. Chance to win started at 70%, low under 1%, high 90%.2-51-3Pass Mendoza 186 · Rush Haynes 53 · Rec Penson 88
9Oct 31#113#50+9.5✗ −13.5@PittsburghL 11-34 163Georgia Tech lost 11-34 at Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 18%, low under 1%, high 22%.2-61-4Pass Mendoza 81 · Rush Adamson 63 · Rec Harris 41
10Nov 7#125#28+14.5Louisville7:30 pm ET · ACC Network42% to win
11Nov 14#127#42@Clemsontime TBA · The CW11% to win
12Nov 21Wake Foresttime TBA4% to win
13Nov 28@Georgiatime TBA
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Georgia Tech, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Line is the closing point spread for Georgia Tech: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31@PittsburghL 11-34238225:39-0.18825.0%1.62Season-low EPA/play
Oct 24Boston CollegeL 27-49360226:07-0.07541.7%1.22Defense's roughest night
Oct 17@Virginia TechL 24-34428227:54+0.26344.8%1.32
Oct 10DukeW 28-25383024:34+0.32445.6%1.44One-score win
Sep 26@StanfordL 27-34431229:53+0.23345.1%1.52One-score loss
Sep 19MercerW 44-11405027:18+0.33347.6%1.14Season-high EPA/play
Sep 12TennesseeL 24-45356231:12-0.06645.8%1.02
Sep 3ColoradoL 13-14288125:51+0.07437.0%1.20One-score loss
Season average (8 games)3611.4+0.11241.6%1.31

Georgia Tech's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses

What’s ahead

The forecast
Season line4.5 winsover +200
Offense solidPass-first, spreadExplosive, big-play

Season expectations

Win total1 bookOver/under 4.5▼1.5 since Sep 9
ACC title#10 in market+8,000

Sportsbook odds · Oct 19. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.

Today’s games across college football

What fans said

What fans said

Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 21AP #14 Wake Forestvs Wake Forest · at home
Sat Nov 28Clean Old-Fashioned Hateat AP #2 Georgia · on the road

Recent form · last 10 games

Georgia Tech has won one of its last five.

2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last three.

Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Bettors had the most difficulties with Washington State vs. Washington, Colorado vs. Georgia Tech, Oregon vs. Boise State and Baylor vs. Auburn
Horne · FOX Sports3 days after Georgia Tech's 2026 opener

Range of outcomes · Georgia Tech · 2026

Georgia Tech’s most likely regular season is 2-10. 93% of outcomes land from 2-10 to 3-9.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

2 wins 48%; 3 wins 45%; 4 wins 7%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8No postseason.
Base5-8A bowl game.
Ceiling7-6A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.

More in this tab

This week and this season

Worth watchingGames average 56 combined points, even games

What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-6

Game feel56even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 17 in the ACC
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 8)9th most one-score games of 17 in the ACC
Margin-6.0outgunnedavg scoring margin15th best margin of 17 in the ACC
Tempo64methodicaloffensive plays / game15th fastest of 17 in the ACC
Big plays1.31some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)6th most explosive of 17 in the ACC
Home crowd49,750avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 17 in the ACC

Measured from 8 games · ranks are among ACC teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Georgia Tech is the engineering school that out-thinks you on Saturday — a 1990 national champion that spent two decades in the wilderness and, under alum Brent Key and Haynes King, has clawed its way back to top-of-the-ACC relevance.

Title DroughtSince 2009 · 17 yrs

Tech fans live two miles from a program with more recruits, more money and more rings, and 'To Hell With Georgia' isn't a chant so much as a worldview — the engineers against the football factory…

Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weatherKickoff-time weather at home, and the forecast in game week.

Georgia Tech · Game-day weather

Typical at Bobby Dodd Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 95, 3:30 pm Saturdays 87

  • noon: 89, Mixed
  • 3:30 pm: 87, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable

Typical weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read it.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Georgia Tech is the ACC engineering-school flagship — 1990 national championship under Bobby Ross, four split-T / triple-option / Paul Johnson eras, and Brent Key's 2024 7-6 rebuild that reset competitive cycles.

Offense: SolidRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadStyle: Explosive, big-play
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 14Fell to No. 23 in the AP Top 25The committee dropped them seven spots, to No. 23.Week 13 · Lost 28-42 at home to Pittsburgh↓8 · from No. 15
  • 2025 · Wk 11Fell to No. 16 in the AP Top 25Week 10 · Lost 36-48 at NC State↓8 · from No. 8
  • 2025 · Wk 9Climbed to No. 7 in the AP Top 25Week 8 · Won 27-18 at Duke↑5 · from No. 12
  • 2025 · Wk 7Climbed to No. 13 in the AP Top 25↑4 · from No. 17
  • 2025 · Wk 4Entered the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 24-21 at home over Clemsonat No. 18

Roster and recruiting

Roster13% of production back, talent #34

Roster reload: Georgia Tech

2026 snapshot, Nov 4
Returning Production13%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#34 nationally247 composite 751.6
Portal Additions19Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses20Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#41Development class
WRin 3 - Jaylen Mbakwe4.00out 4 - Isiah Canion4.50Downgrade
current room: 188 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 3 - Tawfiq Thomas3.60out 2 - Landen Marshall3.49Upgrade
current room: 272 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Nose Anchorcontrols the point of attack and doesn't move
Third program
TEin 3 - Gavin Harris3.60out 1 - Luke Harpring3.80Need Filled
current room: 246 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Move TE2025 profilecreates mismatches lined up all over the formation
OTin 2 - Markell Samuel3.60out 2 - Peyton Joseph3.60Even
EDGEin 3 - Noah Carter4.38out 0Need Filled
Speed Rusherwins the corner before the tackle can set
Former four-star
LBin 0out 3 - Tah'j Butler3.70Starter Risk
current room: 228 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (110 players)
Top commits

Top 1 commits

2027 class
★★★☆☆
Brodie Campbell
QB · Newnan, GA
#579 national
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Georgia Tech 25-21
2,957 upvotes · Dec 2025
[Game Thread] Pop-Tarts Bowl: BYU vs. Georgia Tech (3:30 PM ET)
618 upvotes · Dec 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

Fans and ratings

Mood vs. historyFan mood is higher than 38% of FBS programs
→

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

38th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market↑
38th
Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)
4.5
Sportsbook win total
(14th among FBS)
Fans 24pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
RivalsRival pulse: Georgia uneasy

Rival pulse

Georgia
Uneasy
-18
Clean Old-Fashioned Hate

Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data

More

FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.

Follow Georgia Tech

Each link was checked against two outside sites.

From the booth

A recent episode that covers this team
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site