Next game: vs Louisville
Louisville’s best edge on Georgia Tech is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Georgia Tech offense against Louisville defense
Louisville offense against Georgia Tech defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Manager · +0.15 EPA/play | 15 | 8 | 169 / 240 | 70.4 | 1795 #44 FBS | 7.5 | 10 #72 FBS | 6 | 142.0 | 52 | 52.7 | 6.1 | 6.6 | |
Yards by week → Game managerConsistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone. Impact starter — 240 pass attempts and 43 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Mendoza keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game. Reynolds is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Completion %70.9% 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-0.8 bottom 8th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Alberto Mendoza's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.19 EPA/play | 9 | 3 | 13 / 27 | 48.1 | 135 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 102.4 | — | 82.7 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 112 | 548 #64 FBS | 4.9 | 4 | 46 | 20.4 | 12.0 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 112 carries and 13 catches in 7 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Haynes does a little of everything without one standout trait. Davidson is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry5.0 bottom 41th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception5.5 bottom 23th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justice Haynes's full player page | ||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.20 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 48 | 289 | 6.0 | 5 | 60 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Power backShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. 48 carries and 17 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Maddox wears you down at the goal line. Davidson is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Rush TD rate10.4% 98th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share26.2% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trelain Maddox's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.81 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 46 | 543 #61 FBS | 11.8 | 1 | 43 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Money-downRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Impact starter — 46 catches and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Allen wins underneath on volume and route precision. Brown is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Reception volume46 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)43.9 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jordan Allen's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.74 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 28 | 434 | 15.5 | 2 | 46 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 28 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2025 class View Dalen Penson's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.17 EPA/play | 86 | 8 | 35 | 298 | 8.5 | 1 | 23 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 35 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Jr. shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Patt-Henry is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception8.3 bottom 24th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume35 98th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kevin Roche Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.36 EPA/play | 17 | 6 | 13 | 121 | 9.3 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Chris Corbo's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.81 EPA/play | 16 | 5 | 6 | 94 | 15.7 | 3 | 37 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.27 EPA/play | 13 | 5 | 7 | 89 | 12.7 | 0 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.11 EPA/play | 8 | 4 | 7 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 24 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 41 | 8 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — 45 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.1% bottom 24th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Taje McCoy's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 7 | 42 | 23 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 2.5 | 2 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Starter — 42 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tawfiq Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 99 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 22 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Vincent Carroll-Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 92 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Christian Speakman's full player page | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 24 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate25.0% 96th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Noah Carter's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 5th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brayden Manley's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 8 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Jordan Boyd's full player page | |||||||
| 91 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 1 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate20.6% 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cayman Spaulding's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View E.J. Lightsey's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 3 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2022 class View Kyle Efford's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | — | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume20 bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Melvin Jordan IV's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 35 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.8 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume18 bottom 13th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Braylon Outlaw's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 27 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 50 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume50 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tae Harris's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 6 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 29 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume29 81th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kelvin Hill's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 13 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 27 tackles in 5 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.7% bottom 30th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Savion Riley's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 26 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Chris Hewitt Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 5 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zachary Tobe's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 14 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jonas Duclona's full player page | |||||||
| 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 33 | 8 | 10/13 | 76.9 | 22/23 | 52 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 47 | 8 | 33 | 1413 | 42.8 | 65 | 10 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.16 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 19 | 534 | 28.1 | 1 | 100 |
| -0.14 EPA/play | 11 | 6 | 8 | 204 | 25.5 | 0 | 41 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.81 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 7 | 112 | 16 | 0 | 33 |
Biggest plays from Georgia Tech’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Georgia Tech’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:37 · Colorado down 6, takes the leadJulian Lewis finds Charlie Williams for a 20-yard touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q4, 0:37 · Colorado 14, Georgia Tech 130:37Go-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 left0:37Go-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Colorado with 0:37 leftJ.Lewis pass complete short left to C.Williams caught at GT 20, for 20 yards to the GT 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 12:52 · Georgia Tech down 1, ties itRahkeem Smith returns the kickoff 100 yards for a touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q2, 12:52 · Georgia Tech 7, Colorado 7100Kickoff return touchdown100Kickoff return touchdownKickoff return touchdownRahkeem Smith 100 yd Kickoff Return (Aidan Birr Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q3, 7:08 · Stanford down 7, ties itDavis Warren finds Caden High for a 49-yard touchdownGeorgia Tech at Stanford, week 4Q3, 7:08 · Stanford 20, Georgia Tech 20▲24%Stanford’s chance to win, 27% to 51%▲24%Stanford’s chance to win, 27% to 51%Caden High 49 yd pass from Davis Warren (Emmet Kenney Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q2, 11:24 · Tennessee breaks the tieDejuan Lane takes an interception 41 yards for a pick-sixTennessee at Georgia Tech, week 2Q2, 11:24 · Tennessee 17, Georgia Tech 1041Pick-six41Pick-sixPick-sixA.Mendoza pass intercepted by D.Lane at GT 41 D.Lane return 41 yards to the GT 00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 13:06 · Colorado tiedMicah Welch runs 5 yards for a touchdownColorado at Georgia Tech, week 1Q2, 13:06 · Colorado 7, Georgia Tech 0Colorado opened the scoringColorado opened the scoringM.Welch rush left for 5 yards gain to the GT 00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 2:40 · Duke down 3, takes the leadNate Sheppard runs 5 yards for a touchdownDuke at Georgia Tech, week 6Q4, 2:40 · Duke 25, Georgia Tech 212:40Go-ahead touchdown for Duke with 2:40 left2:40Go-ahead touchdown for Duke with 2:40 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Duke with 2:40 leftN.Sheppard rush right for 5 yards gain to the GT 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Georgia Tech lost to Colorado after being 96% to win; the closest win was against Duke, down to 16%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Georgia Tech during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Georgia Tech
through 8 gamesTae Harris leads Georgia Tech with 50 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+14 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Georgia Tech fields a capable pass-first, explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Georgia Tech reads strongest in explosive plays (top 28%) and rushing EPA (top 44%); the crux lives in rushing EPA allowed, where Georgia Tech sits at the 11th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Georgia Tech has had no measurable home edge: −0.1 points, home against road.
No measurable home edge, 2nd percentile of 133 programs
44% at home, 39% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (20-25 home, 17-27 away). Interval ±4.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Georgia Tech has beaten the number by 7.7 points less at home than away over 96 games. That is outside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Bobby Dodd Stadium seats 55,000 and has averaged 75% full (41,331, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 351 miles to get here since 2018 — 53rd-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 51% of the 2026 roster (56 of 109 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatEric Rivers is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatIsiah Canion is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatJordan Allen is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Justice Haynes and Trelain Maddox split the carries (108/154 vs 46/154) -- but Trelain Maddox leads on every measured axis. This isn't a split role, it's a hierarchy with a change-of-pace back behind it.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jordan Allen (WR) and Kevin Roche Jr. (TE) split the targets (55/109 vs 54/109) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Georgia Tech actually scores
30th percentile quality, 70th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Georgia Tech’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 27th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 14th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Georgia Tech hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
53rd percentile success on standard downs, 40th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Georgia Tech by half
1st-half offense ranks 28th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 71st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Georgia Tech’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.11; 45th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 7: 0.18 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia Tech’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 241-play sample) — mid-pack, 102 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia Tech’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.3% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 161-play sample) — mid-pack, 11 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces have gone their way on their own fumbles: 69% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.
11 of 16 own fumbles recovered themselves; 4 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Deflections without payoff: 9% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
2 interceptions of 23 disrupted passes (21 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 65 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 62 committed, 134 yards to the good.
514 penalty yards committed vs. 648 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Georgia Tech
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 58°, between 49° and 68° in about 7 in 10 games (30 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 64°, and 8 in 10 ran between 44° and 80° (46 of 49 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.