Florida State has fired Mike Norvell
FootballScoop reported it on Sunday, Nov 1.
FootballScoop · Read the story · The full story
Our ratings, playoff odds and what fans are saying, next to the polls.
Miami is No. 1 in the AP and fifth for us
Our top 10 against the AP and Coaches polls · our ratings updated Nov 4 · polls through week 10
| Our rank | Team | CFB Zeitgeist Score | AP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 15.5 | 4up 1 |
| 2 |  Ohio State | 15.1 | 11down 9 |
| 3 |  Georgia | 13.9 | 2up 1 |
| 4 |  Indiana | 13.8 | 6down 2 |
| 5 |  Miami | 12.9 | 1 |
| 6 |  Texas | 12.6 | 10up 1 |
| 7 |  LSU | 12.5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Alabama | 11.9 | 9up 1 |
| 9 |  Ole Miss | 11.7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Northwestern | 11.3 | NR |
Ohio State is shaded: second for us and No. 11 in the AP, the widest gap in our top 10.
Out or in doubt this weekend
Leading players on the conference availability reports, as filed.
How we pick and order these
Each team’s leading players by this season’s stats: the top passer, the top two rushers, the top three receivers and the sack leader, plus our Heisman board. Teams in the AP Top 25, in this week’s Games that matter, or with a Heisman board player listed come first. Then a listed starting quarterback before a leading rusher or receiver, out and doubtful before questionable. Backup quarterbacks are left out, because the report does not say who starts. A player who is not here may still be on a report, and each game page has the whole report. The conferences give no reasons, so none are shown, and reports can change until kickoff.
Every game this weekend, by report
On the report No report filed yet This conference lists only flagged players, so no entry does not mean no report.
Darian Mensah is No. 1 on our Heisman board for the tenth straight week
Our model’s chances · week 10 board, updated Nov 4 · moves since the week 9 board
- 1
Miami · QB
Wwon 38-35 at North CarolinaOct 31 · 22 of 29, 274 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · 4 rushes, 36 yds
18%to win64% to be a finalist - 2
Utah · QB
Wwon 49-25 at CincinnatiOct 31 · 22 of 29, 260 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · 9 rushes, 45 yds
7%to win33% to be a finalistup from No. 4 on the week 9 board - 36%to win30% to be a finalistdown from No. 2 on the week 9 board
- 4
Georgia · QB
Wwon 27-8 vs FloridaOct 31 · 13 of 23, 101 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 12 rushes, 45 yds
6%to win29% to be a finalistup from No. 5 on the week 9 board - 56%to win27% to be a finalistdown from No. 3 on the week 9 board
Last game lines are from the box score of each player’s most recent game.
Loudest games this week
How loud fans were, next to every game since 2022.
Miami 38, North Carolina 35Firestorm
“Oh my god, we don’t need to see his mother again. Saying that as a Miami fan. Enough is enough.”A Miami fan
Indiana 23, Minnesota 16Firestorm
What fans are saying this week
Oct 26 to Nov 1, against the four weeks before
“yarders”
An Ohio State fan, in the game thread
Said across many fanbases
Minnesota 16 at Indiana 23 · Sat, Oct 31
“Back to back 60 yarders lol”
An Ohio State fan, in the game threadAlso said in this game: “bench Hoover”
Found by software from fan comments and whole game threads, and not checked by a person.
What coaches said
From articles published Nov 1 to Nov 3
No. 20 Boise State at Colorado State
Saturday · 6:00 PM ET
“Hats off to the leadership in that locker room because when everything was going sideways, and we had some hard conversations on the sideline, they never flinched”
Spencer Danielson, Boise State coachBroncos escape Halloween thriller with victory over Texas State
The Arbiter (Boise State) · Nov 1“That was awful, an awful performance by all of us starting with me not getting the team ready to go”
Jim Mora, Colorado State coachCSU football prepares to face No. 20 Boise State at home following disheartening loss
The Rocky Mountain Collegian · Nov 3No. 2 Georgia at No. 12 Ole Miss
Saturday · 7:30 PM ET
“I don’t know that the players are any different”
Kirby Smart, Georgia coachKirby Smart reveals how NIL era changed practices, impact of roster limits on depth
On3 · Nov 1“I don’t know what the exact numbers are, but when that first poll came out last year, there were several teams that were in that didn’t make it”
Pete Golding, Ole Miss coachOle Miss Football ranked No. 10 in first 2026 CFP rankings
The Daily Mississippian · Nov 3Georgia is our model’s favorite, with a 1-in-6 shot at the title
Our model, 20,000 simulated seasons, run Nov 4
1Georgia18.1%
Where Georgia’s simulated seasons end
11.2% missed the playoff8.2% lost first round28.3% lost quarterfinal21.2% lost semifinal13.0% lost final18.1% champion
The market prices the title at 16.0%, below our 18.1%.
Georgia’s team page2Ohio State14.1%
Where Ohio State’s simulated seasons end
20.2% missed the playoff10.2% lost first round25.8% lost quarterfinal18.8% lost semifinal10.9% lost final14.1% champion
The market prices the title at 6.6%, below our 14.1%.
Ohio State’s team page3Notre Dame13.6%
Where Notre Dame’s simulated seasons end
31.2% missed the playoff13.4% lost first round18.0% lost quarterfinal14.3% lost semifinal9.5% lost final13.6% champion
The market prices the title at 12.0%, below our 13.6%.
Notre Dame’s team page4Texas9.9%
Where Texas’s simulated seasons end
20.2% missed the playoff14.4% lost first round27.4% lost quarterfinal18.5% lost semifinal9.6% lost final9.9% champion
The market prices the title at 6.0%, below our 9.9%.
Texas’s team page5Miami8.0%
Where Miami’s simulated seasons end
15.1% missed the playoff23.3% lost first round26.8% lost quarterfinal17.7% lost semifinal9.1% lost final8.0% champion
The market prices the title at 10.3%, above our 8.0%.
Miami’s team page6Alabama7.0%
Where Alabama’s simulated seasons end
36.3% missed the playoff15.9% lost first round19.3% lost quarterfinal14.1% lost semifinal7.4% lost final7.0% champion
The market prices the title at 6.0%, below our 7.0%.
Alabama’s team pageUSC made the biggest jump in our playoff chances since Oct 29, to 34%
In-season forecast · our model, 20,000 simulated seasons, run Nov 4
Big for the playoff this week
Oregon at Ohio State
Playoff chance: 30% with a win, 8% with a loss
No. 11 Ohio StatePlayoff chance: 88% with a win, 67% with a loss
Bars run from a loss to a win, on a scale of 0 to 100%.
Next most at stake
- BYU at UtahUtah: 57% with a win, 34% with a loss
- Texas at MissouriMissouri: 39% with a win, 18% with a loss
Who gets in
Share of our simulated seasons in which each team makes the field. Arrows: change in points since the Oct 29 run (5 or more).
- Georgia89%up 7 points
- Miami85%
- Texas80%up 5 points
- Ohio State80%
- Notre Dame69%
- Alabama64%down 5 points
- Ole Miss51%up 10 points
- Utah49%up 13 points
- LSU43%down 10 points
Texas Tech43%up 14 points- Indiana42%up 9 points
- 11 places for these teams. The 12th is reserved for a team from the conferences outside the Power Four.
Kentucky42%down 7 points
UCLA34%down 9 points
USC34%up 16 points
Missouri27%up 8 points
USC rose the most since Oct 29, 18% to 34%. It won 30-18 against Ohio State.
Florida fell the most since Oct 29, 35% to 22%. It lost 27-8 to Georgia.
Who takes the reserved place: Boise State 53%, UTSA 16%, Liberty 5%.
Games that matter this week
Our model’s playoff chances if each team wins or loses · run Nov 4 · week 10
No. 2 and No. 12Georgia at Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s playoff chance goes from 51% to 68% with a win, 39% with a loss.
▼39%
▲68%
No. 9 and No. 15Alabama at LSU
Alabama’s playoff chance goes from 64% to 79% with a win, 51% with a loss.
▼51%
▲79%
No. 1 and No. 4Miami at Notre Dame
Notre Dame’s playoff chance goes from 68% to 77% with a win, 51% with a loss.
▼51%
▲77%
No. 8 and No. 16Kentucky at Tennessee
Kentucky’s playoff chance goes from 42% to 59% with a win, 34% with a loss.
▼34%
▲59%
Still going
Stories in the news on more than one day, newest Oct 30
BaylorBaylor fires Dave ArandaDave Aranda fired after loss
Whole sport · In the news Oct 25 to Oct 29 · It became the story of the week.
- UCLANico Iamaleava out for season
Whole sport · In the news Oct 12 to Oct 30 · It became the story of the week.
- RB Kamari Moulton out for season
National argument · In the news Oct 26 to Oct 28 · It split the conversation.
Plays that swung the game
The biggest win-chance swing in each game played Oct 29 to Nov 3
Troy at James MadisonFinal: Troy 24, James Madison 21Wolfe 27-yd field goal, Troy goes ahead 24-21OvertimeTroy win chance 28% → ▲100%Troy came back from 14 down as a 17.5-point underdog.
Oklahoma State at Iowa StateFinal: Iowa State 51, Oklahoma State 49Konrardy 34-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 51-49Q4, 0:00Iowa State win chance 30% → ▲100%A 10-point underdog, Iowa State won it.Big 12 Conference · 2026 · Week 9 · Game highlightsKansas State at ColoradoWilson 11-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 27-24Overtime · Colorado 27, Kansas State 24Colorado win chance 43% → ▲100%▶Watch the play, Kansas State at Colorado, 2026 Week 9. Colorado win chance 43% to 100%Big 12 ConferenceESPN College Football · 2026 · Week 9 · Game highlightsSMU at SyracuseAngeli 2-yd TD pass to Meyers, Syracuse goes ahead 30-27Q4, 0:17 · Syracuse 30, SMU 27Syracuse win chance 38% → ▲94%▶Watch the play, SMU at Syracuse, 2026 Week 9. Syracuse win chance 38% to 94%ESPN College Football
Minnesota at IndianaFinal: Indiana 23, Minnesota 16Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13Q4, 0:19 · Minnesota 16, Indiana 13Minnesota win chance 36% → ▲83%Up to 83% in the fourth quarter, then Minnesota lost it.
Texas State at Boise StateFinal: Boise State 46, Texas State 45Jackson 72-yd TD pass to Sample, Texas State goes ahead 45-40Q4, 3:46 · Texas State 45, Boise State 40Texas State win chance 23% → ▲64%Texas State led by 11, was as high as 91% in the fourth quarter, and still lost.
Buffalo at Miami (OH)Final: Buffalo 34, Miami (OH) 31McLaughlin 45-yd field goal no goodOvertimeBuffalo win chance 62% → ▲100%Buffalo came back from 15 down, at one point just a 1% chance in the fourth quarter.
Ohio at AkronFinal: Ohio 28, Akron 20Poulos 60-yd TD pass to Dorwart, Ohio goes ahead 21-17Q4, 9:22 · Ohio 21, Akron 17Ohio win chance 39% → ▲76%A tight one: Ohio bottomed out at 39% and won.Win chance as on each game page, set to the closing line. Official highlights play in the channel’s own player. Clips checked Nov 4.
The wire
Latest Nov 4 · roster moves, money and governance, coaching and staff moves
Today
Sidney Rouleau decommits from MichiganMichigan · Roster moves · 
Detroit Free PressSaturday vs. Michigan State · 7:30 PM ET24-team CFP bracket seededKentucky · Money and governance · On3Saturday at No. 16 Tennessee · 6:15 PM ETCFP expands to 24 teamsNCAA · Money and governance · On3
Boosters exploring Deion Sanders' buyoutColorado · Money and governance · 
Locked OnSaturday at Arizona State · 7:30 PM ET
Rice alumnus Adam Robinson dies in plane crashRice · Program news · 
The Rice ThresherSaturday at North Texas · 4:00 PM ETYesterday
Wisconsin releases depth chart for Rutgers gameWisconsin · Roster moves · 
Milwaukee Journal SentinelSaturday vs. Rutgers · 4:15 PM ET
Jimmie Haywood commits to WashingtonWashington · Roster movesSaturday vs. Penn State · 3:30 PM ET
Nike NIL deal signedOregon · Money and governanceSaturday at No. 11 Ohio State · 3:30 PM ETShow more moves
Yesterday
Venables admits team embarrassingOklahoma · Program newsSaturday at No. 25 Florida · 7:45 PM ET
Gregory Kirwan commits to UNCNorth Carolina · Roster moves · 
247SportsSaturday at UConn · 12:00 PM ETMonday
Iowa QB battle unresolvedIowa · Roster moves · 
Black Heart Gold PantsSaturday at Northwestern · 7:30 PM ET
Ra'Shaad Samples' DUII case heads to courtOregon State · Roster moves · 
OregonLiveSaturday vs. Texas State · 10:30 PM ET
WMU Board approves Asylum Lake transferWestern Michigan · Money and governance · 
Western HeraldSimeon Jones Jr. commits to USCUSC · Roster moves · 247SportsGlenville playoff eligibility decision postponedOhio · Money and governance · WKYCOklahoma fires offensive coordinator Ben ArbuckleCollege football · Coaches and staff · On3
Rick Stockstill named FSU interim coachMiddle Tennessee · Coaches and staff · 
MTSU SidelinesSaturday vs. Western Kentucky · 3:30 PM ETKenton Dopson reclassifies to 2026Miami · Roster movesSaturday at No. 4 Notre Dame · 7:30 PM ET
Florida State fires Mike NorvellFlorida State · Coaches and staff · Locked OnSaturday at Boston College · 12:00 PM ET
Utah State superfan Steve McBride diesUtah State · Program newsSaturday vs. Fresno State · 9:30 PM ET