Florida

2-0Coaches #25

SEC · Jon Sumrall, year 1 (2-0) · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · 88,548 · 89,579 avg in 2026

The nationCoaches #25
The model#21 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #15 (+18.6) · FPI #15
The marketFlorida by 2.5at Auburn · our model 65% Florida · a number, not a pick

LastW 52–3 vs Campbell · Sat Sep 12 · Aaron Philo 242 pass yds, 2 TD, 13 rush yds

Nextat Auburn · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Florida by 2.5 · series 39-44-2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Florida · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#22#108-25.5Florida AtlanticW 66–21 1571-00-0
2Sep 12#23#227-51.5CampbellW 52–3 622-00-0
3Sep 19#21#63-2.5@Auburn
4Sep 26#21#13Ole Miss
5Oct 3@Missouri
6Oct 10South Carolina
7Oct 17@Texas
9Oct 31Georgia (N)
10Nov 7Oklahoma
11Nov 14@Kentucky
12Nov 21Vanderbilt
13Nov 27@Florida State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12CampbellW 52–3514228:25+0.47954.0%117.9%
Sep 5Florida AtlanticW 66–21624131:36+0.62154.4%155.1%
Season average (2 games)5691.5+0.55054.2%136.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Florida has held the crown twice and knows the weight of having set it down — and after the worst season since the 1940s, it is betting on an outsider to pick it back up.

Coaches Poll#25

The same analysts who buried the Sumrall hire as 'another Group-of-Five retread from Louisiana, Napier 2.0' will be the first to call it a steal if it works. Gainesville is keeping the receipts.

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 52–3 vs Campbell · Sat Sep 12
Ahead
Sat Sep 26AP #8 Ole Missvs Ole Miss · at home
Sat Oct 17AP #1 Texasat Texas · on the road
Sat Oct 31Georgia-Floridavs AP #2 Georgia · neutral site

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 4-8 · last season

Game feel46rock fightscombined pts / game13th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate2-2rarely closein one-score games (4 of 12)14th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin-2.4outgunnedavg scoring margin15th best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo63methodicaloffensive plays / game14th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.11grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)16th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd90,125avg attendance7th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Florida has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 5-5 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
I owe you an apology, because the position we placed you in Saturday was not your doing and it was not your coaches’
Faison · HBCU Gameday2 days after Florida's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Auburn · away

Season line7.5 winsover +130
SoftMethodical, ball-controlSolid

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 7.5
CFP championship#17 in field+4500
SEC title#9 in market+2200

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Florida · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Florida's coaching hire is really about

the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Sumrall, who previously led Tulane, inherits a 4-8 roster and 55% returning production — Florida's weight of history demands more than just a first-year fix.

what happenedJon Sumrall took over as Florida's head coach, replacing Billy Napier. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Billy Napier (22-23)

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Billy Napier begins his fourth season with a 4-8 losing record hanging over Florida, a program that once held the crown and now faces the weight of rebuilding under new coordinator leadership.

what happenedFlorida: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Florida collapsed 43 spots in SP+ — the 4-8 record and lack of returning production raise one question: can Billy Napier restore the program's legacy before the SEC's pace erodes it further?

what happenedFlorida enters 2026 rated No. 63 in 2025 SP+ (+3.5), down 43 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

playoff paththis cycle~readnew

Sumrall, who previously coached at Tulane, inherits a 4-8 losing record and a program that once held the crown — the weight of history now rests on his first season at Florida.

what happenedFlorida: the playoff path shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

governance shockthis cycle~readnew

Jon Sumrall inherits a 4-8 losing record and an uneasy fanbase, with Florida's program identity hanging in the balance after a decade of national prominence.

what happenedFlorida: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Sumrall inherits a 4-8 losing record at Florida, where the program's legacy of past championships contrasts with its current rebuilding phase.

what happenedFlorida: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

J.Michael Sturdivant is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downFlorida's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
ReplacedFlorida's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →

Outcome band · Florida · 2026

Florida's most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-1.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-1A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Florida · Coaching Confidence

The Jon Sumrall story at Florida won't sit still.

Jon Sumrall took over as Florida's head coach, replacing Billy Napier. It is replaces 4-year head coach Billy Napier (22-23). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers5 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 3% volume
Developing7 new this week
yesterdayWin total (line at 7.5) — no reprice yet on "FAMU QB out for season"
2 days agoWin total (line at 7.5) holding steady right after "FAMU QB out for season"
2 days agoFlorida football coach Jon Sumrall has similar view on his Gators as Alex Golesh has on Auburn — Fly War Eagle
2 days ago'About to have a rude awakening' -- Gators HC Jon Sumrall didn't mince words when discussing Florida's 49-point win — A to Z Sports
2 days agoFlorida posts second game with 50 or more points under Jon Sumrall, matching total under Billy Napier — news
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jon Sumrall Head coach
“Florida football coach Jon Sumrall has similar view on his Gators as Alex Golesh has on Auburn” — Fly War Eagle · 2026-09-13
Billy Napier Out
“Florida posts second game with 50 or more points under Jon Sumrall, matching total under Billy Napier” — news · 2026-09-13
Dream Finders Homes
“Sumrall Ready for Gator Talk, Presented by Dream Finders Homes, at The Swamp Restaurant on Monday Night” — Florida Gators · 2026-09-13
Eric Singleton Jr
“Sumrall Updates Injury Status on Gators WR Eric Singleton Jr.” — Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-07
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Sumrall, who previously led Tulane, inherits a 4-8 roster and 55% returning production — Florida's weight of history demands more than just a first-year fix.
Source of record: Jon Sumrall took over as Florida's head coach, replacing Billy Napier — replaces 4-year head coach Billy Napier (22-23).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quietThe Dominoes active
🎪The circus“Logic among chaos: Jon Sumrall is building Florida his way” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Logic among chaos: Jon Sumrall is building Florida his way”
NBC Sports · 2026-09-03 · read ↗
📣Believers5 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“'About to have a rude awakening' -- Gators HC Jon Sumrall didn't mince words when discussing Florida's 49-point win”
A to Z Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Jon Sumrall Calls Out Gators After Campbell Win: 'We Will Get Absolutely Embarrassed if We Don't Improve a Ton'”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Everything Jon Sumrall Said After the Florida Gators' 52-3 Win Over Campbell”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Is Florida football SEC ready? Jon Sumrall still concerned” — the real counter.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

“Is Florida football SEC ready? Jon Sumrall still concerned”
Gainesville Sun · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Florida football news: Jon Sumrall drops brutal reality check on player”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
💬The boards3% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 255 of 9198 board posts (3%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"A brief moment from Coach’s post game interview noting he’s not pleased about the second half and said “Some guys proved us right on why they aren’t playing” which made me laugh a"
r/FloridaGators ~ fan take
"Honestly feels good knowing Sumrall and staff can tell Philo, Baugh, VBIII, etc are clearly the starters vs what I have always felt is a dumb approach to constantly swap players in"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes8 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Recruiting intel: Where Florida’s staff will be Friday night”
On3 · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“The 2028 recruit I’m most confident will end up at Florida”
On3 · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonL 17-41 vs Miami (Wk 1)W 45-7 vs Samford (Wk 2)L 20-33 vs Texas A&M (Wk 3)W 45-28 vs Mississippi State (Wk 4)W 24-13 vs UCF (Wk 6)L 17-23 vs Tennessee (Wk 7)W 48-20 vs Kentucky (Wk 8)L 20-34 vs Georgia (Wk 10)L 17-49 vs Texas (Wk 11)W 27-16 vs LSU (Wk 12)W 24-17 vs Ole Miss (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonL 11-24 vs Utah (Wk 1)W 49-7 vs McNeese (Wk 2)W 29-16 vs Tennessee (Wk 3)W 22-7 vs Charlotte (Wk 4)L 14-33 vs Kentucky (Wk 5)W 38-14 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 6)W 41-39 vs South Carolina (Wk 7)L 20-43 vs Georgia (Wk 9)L 36-39 vs Arkansas (Wk 10)L 35-52 vs LSU (Wk 11)L 31-33 vs Missouri (Wk 12)L 15-24 vs Florida State (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 29-26 vs Utah (Wk 1)L 16-26 vs Kentucky (Wk 2)W 31-28 vs South Florida (Wk 3)L 33-38 vs Tennessee (Wk 4)W 52-17 vs Eastern Washington (Wk 5)W 24-17 vs Missouri (Wk 6)L 35-45 vs LSU (Wk 7)L 20-42 vs Georgia (Wk 9)W 41-24 vs Texas A&M (Wk 10)W 38-6 vs South Carolina (Wk 11)L 24-31 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 12)L 38-45 vs Florida State (Wk 13)L 3-30 vs Oregon State (Wk 16)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 35-14 vs Florida Atlantic (Wk 1)W 42-20 vs South Florida (Wk 2)L 29-31 vs Alabama (Wk 3)W 38-14 vs Tennessee (Wk 4)L 13-20 vs Kentucky (Wk 5)W 42-0 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 6)L 42-49 vs LSU (Wk 7)L 7-34 vs Georgia (Wk 9)L 17-40 vs South Carolina (Wk 10)W 70-52 vs Samford (Wk 11)L 23-24 vs Missouri (Wk 12)W 24-21 vs Florida State (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonStory arc: Penn State player ratings in ‘College Football 27’: See full list of Nittany…Story arc: Notre Dame faces quarterback uncertainty after Trey Tagliaferri decommits from…Wk 40Wk 4475th30th
2024 season · 8W-5L2023 season · 5W-7L2022 season · 6W-7L2021 season · 6W-7L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsStory arc

Rival pulse

Georgia
Bearish
-29
Georgia-Florida
Face-off →
Florida State
Bearish
-23
Sunshine Showdown
Face-off →

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Florida is a program that has held the crown twice and knows the weight of it.

Offense: SoftTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Solid
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Jon Sumrall
  • 2025 · Wk 3Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 2 · Lost 16-18 at home to South Floridawas No. 13
  • 2025Billy Gonzales departs (interim)1-4
  • 2025Billy Napier departs22-23
  • 2025Hired Billy Gonzales (interim)
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Florida

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production69%High continuity
Talent Composite#10 nationally247 composite 891.1
Portal Additions27Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses36Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss7Heavy NFL Draft loss (7)
Recruiting Reload#17Top-25 recruiting class
WRin 5 - Eric Singleton Jr.4.50out 8 - Eugene Wilson4.38Starter Risk
current room: 196 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Slot Technician2025 profileBoom-or-bustwins underneath on volume and route precision his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
Transferred in
TEin 3 - Luke Harpring3.80out 5 - Hayden Hansen3.80Starter Risk
current room: 261 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Complete TE2025 profileshows up in the passing game from any alignment
RBin 2 - London Montgomery3.90out 4 - Treyaun Webb4.28Starter Risk
current room: 219 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Back2025 profiledoes a little of everything without one standout trait
Transferred in
CBin 2 - Jordy Lowery3.60out 3 - Sharif Denson3.70Downgrade
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Centerfielder2025 profileerases the deep middle of the field
Transferred in
Sin 2 - DJ Coleman3.60out 3 - Jordan Castell3.70Downgrade
Rover2025 profilehits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away
Homegrown
DLin 3 - Emmanuel Oyebadejo3.80out 2 - Michai Boireau4.25Upgrade
current room: 309 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Versatile End2025 profileholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
our read Unranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile
Full roster (145 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Florida

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Philo named Florida QB1

    Philo's won at stops nobody expected — now Sumrall hands him the most scrutinized QB room in a conference that ate the last two Florida starters alive, and seven drafted Gators aren't walking back through the door.

    Aug 24Reported
  2. News

    FAMU QB out for season

    FAMU's QB going down mid-season is a quiet gut-punch for Sumrall's depth chart — with seven draft picks gone and the WR room already thin, Florida needs every healthy arm in the building right now.

  3. News

    FSU fans fundraise for Norvell buyout

    FSU fans passing the hat to fire their own coach is the kind of chaos that makes Sumrall's rebuilding job in Gainesville look almost calm by comparison — rival dysfunction is an underrated recruiting edge.

    Sep 10Reported
  4. News

    Florida releases depth chart for FAU game

    Seven drafted and a WR room still under the microscope — this depth chart tells you whether Sumrall's rebuilt roster has a Week 1 answer or just a placeholder.

    Aug 31Reported
  5. News

    Jake Slaughter named starter

    Seven starters gone to the draft and the depth chart finally has a name at center — Slaughter anchoring the line is the structural answer Florida's rebuild needed before Sumrall's first SEC opener.

    Aug 22Reported
  6. News

    Florida releases projected depth chart

    Sumrall's first depth chart is the real offseason scoreboard — seven draft losses to fill, a WR room still under pressure, and a 43-spot SP+ drop demanding answers before the SEC schedule hits.

    Aug 16Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-4.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: -39.9 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
WR
-11.1
starter risk
EDGE
-8.3
starter risk
RB
-7.6
starter risk
TE
-6.9
starter risk
CB
-3.8
S
-3.6
DL
+3.0
P
-2.5
LS
+2.0
K
-1.0
QB
-0.5
IOL
+0.4
LB
-0.2
OT
+0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Davian Groce
WR · Frisco, TX
#55 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical wide receiver — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
CJ Bronaugh
CB · Winter Garden, FL
#92 national
★★★★☆
KJ Ford
EDGE · Duncanville, TX
#153 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

20
FL · 11AL · 3GA · 2TX · 2MS · 1SC · 1

FL leads the 2026 class with 11 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

89 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJ1CTCAUTCONEMO1KYWVVA1MD2DERIAZNMKS1ARTN1NCSC2DCOKLA1MS4AL5GA15AKHITX7FL47
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Florida player grew up 278 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

53rd-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%118–499 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi20%28 of 140 players
Farthest2,427 miClay Millen · Snoqualmie, WA
Closest1 miMyles Graham · Gainesville, FL

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 140 of 145 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns FL · 2026 roster

51% of the Florida roster grew up in FL.

72 of 140 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 26th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

FL · 72GA · 16TX · 13AL · 8MS · 5LA · 3VA · 3CA · 2+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

140 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside FL: GA (16).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMINY1MA2ORNVWYSDIAIL2INOHPA2NJCTCA2UTCO1NE1MOKYWVVA3MD2DERIAZ1NMKS1ARTN1NC2SC1DCOKLA3MS5AL8GA16AKHITX13FL72
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 5 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

University of Western Florida Argonauts fans take in historic first Division I football game
54 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 52% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence higher than any point since 2025

66th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
66th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(62nd among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

18 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #14, Koki Riley (The (Baton Rouge) Advocate), to #25, Kevin Carter (CBS Sports). 50 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Roughly even on flags: 11 penalties committed vs. 16 drawn on opponents.

127 penalty yards committed vs. 143 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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