No. 25 Florida routs Campbell 52-3

Campbell2-13
Florida2-052Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Fla. · Crowd 88,863SECN+

No. 25 Florida routed Campbell 52-3.

We had Florida favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Florida a 98% chance, and the closing betting line (Florida was a 51.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Florida led by 7 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+49+49
Punt return TDFlorida · Q2 14:38Punt return TDFlorida · Q2 11:1375-yard TD runFlorida · Q3 3:28
FinalFlorida 52-3 CampbellFlorida wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4FloridaWon52-3ScoresPunt return TDPunt return TD75-yard TD runChatter3 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute1 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4FloridaWon52-3ScoresPunt return TDPunt return TD75-yard TD runChatter3 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute1 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4FloridaLowest 0%Lost3-52ScoresPunt return TDPunt return TD75-yard TD runChatter3 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute1 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4FloridaLowest 0%Lost3-52ScoresPunt return TDPunt return TD75-yard TD runChatter3 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute1 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Florida’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Florida -51.5), at 100% for Florida (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Florida’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 8:11Philo 3-yd TD runFlorida goes ahead 7-3Q1, 8:11 · Florida 7, Campbell 37-3score after the play7-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 14:38Brown 64-yd punt return TDFlorida leads 17-3Q2, 14:38 · Florida 17, Campbell 317-3score after the play17-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 12:06Sixkiller sacked for a 7-yd lossQ2, 12:06 · Florida 17, Campbell 317-3score after the play17-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 11:13Brown 70-yd punt return TDFlorida leads 24-3Q2, 11:13 · Florida 24, Campbell 324-3score after the play24-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 9:06Philo 40-yd TD pass to WilsonFlorida leads 31-3Q2, 9:06 · Florida 31, Campbell 331-3score after the play31-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 3:30Philo 14-yd TD pass to BrownFlorida leads 38-3Q2, 3:30 · Florida 38, Campbell 338-3score after the play38-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q2, 0:20Baugh 2-yd TD runFlorida leads 45-3Q2, 0:20 · Florida 45, Campbell 345-3score after the play45-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 3:28Baugh 75-yd TD runFlorida leads 51-3Q3, 3:28 · Florida 51, Campbell 351-3score after the play51-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 10:42Jones intercepted by Butler at the CU49Q4, 10:42 · Florida 52, Campbell 352-3score after the play52-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 4:57Martin 1-yd runfumblesQ4, 4:57 · Florida 52, Campbell 352-3score after the play52-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Florida scored on 6 of its 11 drives; Campbell on 1 of its 14.

Florida’s drives are teal, Campbell’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Campbell: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 12Field goalFlorida: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownCampbell: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55PuntFlorida: Field goal, from 80 yards out to 10Field goalCampbell: Punt returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 76Punt TDQ2Campbell: Punt returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 72Punt TDCampbell: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 64FumbleFlorida: Touchdown, from 36 yards out to 0TouchdownCampbell: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntFlorida: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownCampbell: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntFlorida: Touchdown, from 44 yards out to 0TouchdownCampbell: End of half, from 75 yards out to 71End of halfQ3Florida: Punt, from 60 yards out to 70PuntCampbell: Punt, from 85 yards out to 52PuntFlorida: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 41DownsCampbell: Punt, from 59 yards out to 55PuntCampbell: Missed field goal, from 16 yards out to 19Missed FGFlorida: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownCampbell: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntFlorida: Punt, from 80 yards out to 86PuntQ4Campbell: Punt, from 63 yards out to 60PuntFlorida: Interception, from 88 yards out to 56InterceptionCampbell: Fumble, from 51 yards out to 1FumbleFlorida: End of game, from 96 yards out to 43End of game

Box score

Florida 52, Campbell 3

Campbell covered +51.5 by 2.5. The total, 55, stayed under 66.5.

Campbell leaders

  • Passing Kamden Sixkiller 16 of 30, 127 yds
  • Rushing JJ Cowan 7 for 29 yds; Taeshon Martin 8 for 22 yds
  • Receiving Stevie Keener 2 for 57 yds; Spencer Jones 4 for 28 yds

Florida leaders

  • Passing Aaron Philo 16 of 21, 242 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Jadan Baugh 14 for 136 yds, 2 TD; Byron Louis 2 for 18 yds
  • Receiving Dallas Wilson 5 for 104 yds, 1 TD; Vernell Brown III 3 for 43 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

88° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 5 mph from the west, gusts to 16

September game-day temperatures at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Florida favoredCampbell favored100%Win chanceFloridaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Florida favoredCampbell favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:47 left5:33 p.m.
Campbell 0, Florida 0 · Florida 100% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the west-southwest, mostly across the field, gusts to 16 · 88°, feels like 95°
Sixkiller 24-yd pass to Keener
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Gainesville Rgnl airport, 5.2 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Campbell · 2-0

Rated 239th in our preseason ratings, 225th now, up 14 spots.

Two straight wins, capped by a 9-point win over Western Carolina as a 4-point underdog.

Last three games · 2025 season

Florida · 4-8

Rated 22nd in our preseason ratings, 23rd now.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 19-point win over Florida State as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 40-21 vs Florida StateTop 25 #36 of 667

won by 19 as a 1.5-point underdog

Florida won 40-21 vs Florida State. Chance to win started at 58%, low 50%, high better than 99%.

L 11-31 vs TennesseeTop 25 #10 of 667

lost by 20 as a 3.5-point underdog

Florida lost 11-31 vs Tennessee. Chance to win started at 46%, low under 1%, high 46%.

L 24-34 @ Ole MissTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 10 as an 11.5-point underdog

Florida lost 24-34 at Ole Miss. Chance to win started at 15%, low under 1%, high 50%.

L 7-38 @ Kentucky #34 of 667

lost by 31 as a 5.5-point favorite

Florida lost 7-38 at Kentucky. Chance to win started at 57%, low under 1%, high 75%.

L 20-24 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #6 of 667

lost by 4 as a 6.5-point underdog

Florida lost 20-24 vs Georgia. Chance to win started at 40%, low 12%, high 74%.

W 23-21 vs Mississippi State #44 of 667

won by 2 as a 9.5-point favorite

Florida won 23-21 vs Mississippi State. Chance to win started at 80%, low 58%, high 96%.

L 17-34 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #10 of 667

lost by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog

Florida lost 17-34 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 48%.

W 29-21 vs TexasTop 25 #8 of 667

won by 8 as a 4.5-point underdog

Florida won 29-21 vs Texas. Chance to win started at 45%, low 45%, high better than 99%.

L 7-26 @ MiamiTop 25 #7 of 667

lost by 19 as an 8.5-point underdog

Florida lost 7-26 at Miami. Chance to win started at 18%, low under 1%, high 24%.

L 10-20 @ LSUTop 25 #12 of 667

lost by 10 as a 5.5-point underdog

Florida lost 10-20 at LSU. Chance to win started at 27%, low 1%, high 50%.

L 16-18 vs South FloridaTop 25 #45 of 667

lost by 2 as an 18.5-point favorite

Florida lost 16-18 vs South Florida. Chance to win started at 92%, low under 1%, high 95%.

W 55-0 vs Long Island University #202 of 667

won by 55 as a 46.5-point favorite

Florida won 55-0 vs Long Island University. Never in doubt.

Week by week

Florida

  • Wk 1Wvs Florida Atlantic66-21

Campbell

Wk 1: W 49-37 at East Tennessee State▲12East Tennessee StateWk 1: W 28-19 vs Western Carolina▲9Western Carolina
  • Wk 1Wat East Tennessee State49-37
  • Wk 1Wvs Western Carolina28-19

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Florida’s chances here.

50-50Model 98% · Line 100%CampbellFlorida

Florida favored by 51.5 · Total 66.5

How games like this usually go

Florida by 51.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Florida.

opened −49.5now −51.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 65.5now 66.5

Spread: −49.5 → −51.5 · Total: 65.5 → 66.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 88° at kickoff.

Campbell at Florida · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville

  • 88°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 74weather score, Rough
  • 3rdbest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the third best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Ben Hill Griffin Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 94, against 74 at 6 pm.

  • noon: 42, Harsh
  • 1 pm: 40, Harsh
  • 2 pm: 50, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 52, Rough
  • 6 pm: 74, Rough (this game)
  • 7 pm: 88, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 94, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Florida is worth +5.7 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 77th percentile.

70% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (31-13 home, 17-21 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.3 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 450 miles to get here.

Where next