Ole Miss

2-0AP #8

SEC · Pete Golding, year 2 (4-1) · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · 64,038 · 68,134 avg in 2026

The nationAP #8 · Coaches #9up 1 from last week
The model#13 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #20 (+13.3) · FPI #17
The marketLSU by 3vs LSU · our model 62% Ole Miss · a number, not a pick

LastW 41–9 vs Charlotte · Sat Sep 12 · Kewan Lacy 87 rush yds, 2 TD

Nextvs LSU · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 pm ET · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · LSU by 3 · series 41-64-4 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Ole Miss · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 6#12#61-6.5Louisville (N)Top 25 winW 41–38 1461-00-0
2Sep 12#11#179-44.5CharlotteW 41–9 1192-00-0
3Sep 19#13#24+3LSU
4Sep 26#13#21@Florida
6Oct 10@Vanderbilt
7Oct 17Missouri
8Oct 24@Texas
9Oct 31Auburn
10Nov 7Georgia
11Nov 14@Oklahoma
12Nov 21Wofford
13Nov 27Mississippi State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12CharlotteW 41–9420122:46+0.38163.9%104.0%
Sep 6LouisvilleW 41–38488229:02+0.29346.8%131.0%
Season average (2 games)4541.5+0.33755.4%117.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Ole Miss reached its first College Football Playoff and came within four points of the semifinal — then watched Lane Kiffin leave for LSU before the snow had melted, and finished the run anyway.

AP Poll#8 AP

For decades the fanbase heard that Oxford was a tailgate with a football team attached — a beautiful place that didn't win enough to deserve the Grove. They point now at a 13-2 Playoff team and dare a…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Magnolia Bowlvs AP #7 LSU · at home
Sat Oct 24AP #1 Texasat Texas · on the road
Sat Nov 7AP #2 Georgiavs Georgia · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 13-2 · last season

Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate6-2white-knucklein one-score games (8 of 15)2nd most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+15.9comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo74uptempooffensive plays / game1st fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.30some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)5th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd66,936avg attendance12th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 15 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Ole Miss has won four of its last five.

Warming. 9-1 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 9-1
It’s not as if we can really expand our workforce to accommodate that because then folks get robbed during off-peak times
Currence · The Daily Mississippian2 days after Ole Miss's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs LSU · at home

Season line8.5 winsover +110
EliteStrong

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 8.5▲1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#12 in field+2000
SEC title#6 in market+1100

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Ole Miss · the story right now 15 storylines developing

What Ole Miss's transfer portal class is really about

the open questionis the portal class enough to move the needle?

portal2026-01-29~readnew

Lane Kiffin's fifth consecutive top-25 portal class rebuilds nearly everything at once — 4% of QB production returns, and the market projects a 7.5-win season despite the upheaval.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Deuce Knight (QB) from Auburn and Walker Howard (QB) from Louisiana. ✓ fact
the contextfifth consecutive top-25 portal class

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-09-10~readnew

Pete Golding's first season opens with a 13-2 record and a 0.5-win jump, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if Ole Miss can sustain success without mimicking Alabama.

what happenedOle Miss win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 1.0 from 7.5 to 8.5

our readdeveloping

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

Lane Kiffin's sixth straight top-25 class arrives as Ole Miss rebuilds nearly everything at once — 18% production returning, 2 NFL exits, and a 13-2 season that proves winning without.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-22 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contextsixth consecutive top-25 recruiting class

our readfront page

governance shockthis cycle✓ factnew

Ole Miss: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season.

our readdeveloping

dynasty2025 cycle~readnew

Ole Miss has reached elite-tier consistency — Lane Kiffin's sixth season marks the first time the Rebels have held top-5% power rating for three straight years.

what happenedOle Miss has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 15% a year ago. ✓ fact
the contexta 27-9 record over the last three regular seasons

our readfront page

coachingthis cycle✓ factnew

Pete Golding took over as Ole Miss's head coach, replacing Lane Kiffin.

the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Lane Kiffin (55-19)

our readdeveloping

playoff paththis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 record and a #6 AP finish, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the playoff path can be secured without mimicking Alabama.

what happenedOle Miss: the playoff path shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

portal2025-05-21~readnew

Lane Kiffin's top-3 SEC portal class rebuilds nearly everything at once — 4% of QB production returns, and the market projects a 10.5-win season despite the upheaval.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Trinidad Chambliss (QB) from Ferris State and Maealiuaki Smith (QB) from Oklahoma State. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the SEC this cycle

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Cayden Lee is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Dae'Quan Wright is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Kewan Lacy does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Kewan Lacy: a short yardage signal screened this season.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Logan Diggs: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Lane Kiffin enters his sixth season with a 13-2 record, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if Ole Miss can sustain its national power status without pretending to be Alabama.

what happenedOle Miss: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

NILthis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 winning record, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the NIL-driven roster can sustain SEC success without Alabama's blueprint.

what happenedOle Miss: NIL/collective shift reshaping the roster. ✓ fact

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredOle Miss's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.
Died downOle Miss's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downOle Miss's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Ole Miss · 2026

Ole Miss' most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-2.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-2A conference title and a CFP quarterfinal.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Ole Miss · Transfer portal Confidence

Ole Miss went top-2 in the portal this cycle. These aren't recruits — they're proven college players competing for starter jobs.

Ole Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Deuce Knight (QB) from Auburn and Walker Howard (QB) from Louisiana. It is fifth consecutive top-25 portal class. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers10 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 1% volume
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoWho is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? - The Clarion-Ledger — news
2 days agoWho is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? — Yahoo Sports
4 days agoWhy Austin Simmons Transferred From Ole Miss, Chose Missouri — sports.yahoo.com
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekWin total: 7.5 → 8 (▲0.5)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Deuce Knight QB · Auburn
“Who is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? - The Clarion-Ledger” — news · 2026-09-13
Walker Howard QB · Louisiana
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Lane Kiffin's fifth consecutive top-25 portal class rebuilds nearly everything at once — 4% of QB production returns, and the market projects a 7.5-win season despite the upheaval.
Source of record: Ole Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Deuce Knight (QB) from Auburn and Walker Howard (QB) from Louisiana — fifth consecutive top-25 portal class.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Ole Miss lawsuit over football transfers to LSU shows money’s so” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Ole Miss lawsuit over football transfers to LSU shows money’s sordid influence on college sports”
Commercial Dispatch · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
“Rick Cleveland: Ole Miss lawsuit over football transfers to LSU shows money’s sordid influence on college sports”
Rick Cleveland · Mississippi Today · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
📣Believers10 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“Who is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? - The Clarion-Ledger”
news · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Who is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Ole Miss Transfer WR Winnie Watkins Talks His Explosive LSU Debut”
TigerRag.com | · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Mark Mitchell’s Intra-Conference Transfer Reportedly Under Scrut” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“Mark Mitchell’s Intra-Conference Transfer Reportedly Under Scrutiny by SEC”
On3 CFB · 2026-08-27 · read ↗
💬The boards1% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 35 of 2706 board posts (1%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Surprised how little our transfer WRs were involved in this game, also how disappointing our secondary was considering its emphasis in the portal"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"I just moved to oxford to transfer into ole miss from community college, but I am not a current student as I won’t transfer til spring. If I buy a student football ticket from some"
r/olemiss ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Ole Miss · Recruiting Confidence

Ole Miss signed the top-22 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.

Ole Miss signed a top-22 recruiting class. It is sixth consecutive top-25 recruiting class. A class in the top 25 means the program competed nationally. Attrition and development are the next story. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers20 bull takes
💬 fans: 3% volume
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoOle Miss Recruiting Intel: New prediction in, Rebels surge with priority targets — On3
2 days agoWho is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? - The Clarion-Ledger — news
2 days agoWho is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? — Yahoo Sports
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekWin total: 7.5 → 8 (▲0.5)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Micah Handlogten Recruit
“Former Florida center Micah Handlogten commits to Ole Miss, per report” — news · 2026-08-28
Jayden Curtis
“‘The Steal of That Class’: Pete Golding Excited About Upside of Ole Miss Freshman DL Jayden Curtis” — The Rebel Walk · 2026-08-30
Lane Kiffin Head coach
“Lane Kiffin shares how player leadership committee responded to idea of adding NFL talent” — news · 2026-08-31
Club Hall
“Ole Miss announces 2026 M-Club Hall of Fame class” — HottyToddy.com · 2026-08-27
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Lane Kiffin's sixth straight top-25 class arrives as Ole Miss rebuilds nearly everything at once — 18% production returning, 2 NFL exits, and a 13-2 season that proves winning without.
Source of record: Ole Miss signed a top-22 recruiting class — sixth consecutive top-25 recruiting class.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers20 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.

“Who is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit? - The Clarion-Ledger”
news · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Who is Deuce Knight, Ole Miss football QB, former 5-star recruit?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Ole Miss Recruiting Intel: New prediction in, Rebels surge with priority targets”
On3 · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards3% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 78 of 2706 board posts (3%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"has anyone done or know anything about the MS education program? it says hybrid so im wondering how many days a week you physically go to class?"
r/olemiss ~ fan take
"Any information regarding the class would be greatly appreciated as I’m heavily debating taking it online at some point (winter or spring). If you have access to the syllabus that’"
r/olemiss ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Mississippi State
Mixed
+4
Egg Bowl
Face-off →
Memphis
Hopeful
+11
Memphis-Ole Miss

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Ole Miss is the program that finally figured out how to win the SEC by not pretending to be Alabama.

Offense: EliteDefense: Strong
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 6Climbed to No. 4 in the AP Top 25Week 5 · Won 24-19 at home over LSU9 · from No. 13
  • 2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 13 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 41-35 at home over Arkansas4 · from No. 17
  • 2025Lane Kiffin departs55-19
  • 2025Hired Pete Golding
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Ole Miss

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production50%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#14 nationally247 composite 885.7
Portal Additions28Primary repair: WR
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#22Top-25 recruiting class
EDGEin 3 - Blake Purchase4.38out 5 - Princewill Umanmielen5.00Starter Risk
current room: 246 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Thumper2025 profilefills the run lane and blitzes off the edge
Homegrown
WRin 5 - Darrell Gill Jr.4.50out 2 - Winston Watkins4.12Need Filled
current room: 189 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Deep Threat2025 profilebeats you over the top
Homegrown
IOLin 1 - Troy Everett3.50out 5 - Devin Harper4.25Starter Risk
current room: 316 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Makhi Frazier3.80out 2 - Trey Hall3.40Upgrade
current room: 206 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Workhorse2025 profilejust keeps getting the ball, series after series
Sin 3 - Edwin Joseph4.25out 2 - TJ Banks3.60Upgrade
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profileTakeaway threatmoves between deep coverage and the slot the kind of DB who takes it back the other way
Homegrown
LBin 3 - Luke Ferrelli4.00out 2 - TJ Dottery4.12Upgrade
current room: 220 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2025 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
Full roster (123 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Ole Miss

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Swinney denies Kiffin tampering report

    Swinney crying tampering while Ole Miss juggles IOL pressure and a roster still digesting two draft exits — Kiffin's program is moving pieces and Clemson's coach doesn't like the noise it's making.

  2. News

    Win total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)

    The 7.5 to 8.5 move confirmed what was already public — the market repriced after the news landed.

    Sep 10
  3. Portal

    Ole Miss DL enters portal after gaining eligibility

    DL depth takes a hit right as Echoles and Thomas are drawing Bednarik attention — Pete Golding can't afford roster bleed up front when the SEC schedule doesn't care about your portal class rank.

    Aug 21Reported
  4. News

    Ole Miss athletes gain eligibility year

    Extra eligibility across the roster hits different when your IOL depth is already under pressure — Kiffin's #22 class gets a year of insurance that a two-draft-loss roster genuinely needs.

  5. News

    SEC seeks to remove LSU

    If the SEC is serious about removing LSU, Ole Miss — climbing toward dynasty chatter with an 8.5 win total and a top-25 class — stands to inherit the most from any power vacuum in Baton Rouge.

  6. Recruiting

    Zxavian Harris commits to LSU

    Harris flips in-conference to LSU while Golding's still piecing together what Kiffin left behind — losing a DT to your SEC West rival when the IOL and D-line rooms are already under pressure is the kind of roster bleed a #22 class can't fully paper over.

    Aug 25Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: +15.5 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
-15.0
starter risk
WR
+11.5
need filled
OT
+8.0
need filled
EDGE
-7.3
starter risk
RB
+6.2
S
+4.4
LB
+3.7
DL
+3.7
QB
+2.6
K
-2.0
starter risk
TE
-0.7
CB
+0.5
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Landon Barnes
EDGE · Duncanville, TX
#101 national
★★★★☆
Jase Mathews
WR · Leakesville, MS
#110 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical wide receiver — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Damarius Yates
RB · De Kalb, MS
#140 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical running back — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

22
MS · 9GA · 3LA · 3TX · 3AL · 1IL · 1MA · 1TN · 1

MS leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

86 signees across 12 states, 2023-2026. MS leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNVWYSDIAIL2INOHPANJCTCA1UTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKSARTN5NC1SCDCOKLA12MS33AL4GA8AKHITX6FL12
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Ole Miss player grew up 297 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

63rd-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%169–542 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi16%19 of 116 players
Farthest1,790 miMaealiuaki Smith · Sacramento, CA
Closest1 miJack Harper · Oxford, MS

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 116 of 123 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns MS · 2026 roster

28% of the Ole Miss roster grew up in MS.

33 of 119 players, drawn from 23 states in all. That is the 79th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day tells a more local story: 38% of the last 4 classes were MS kids, but churn — transfers in, locals out — has drifted the roster 11 points away from home.

MS · 33FL · 13GA · 13TX · 10LA · 8TN · 8AL · 6AR · 3+15 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

119 players across 23 states. Biggest pull outside MS: FL (13).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMI3NYMA3ORNVWYSDIAIL1INOHPA1NJ2CTCA3UTCO1NE1MO1KYWVVA2MD1DERIAZ2NMKSAR3TN8NC2SCDCOK1LA8MS33AL6GA13AKHITX10FL13
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 4 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Ole Miss Defeats LSU 24-19
3,505 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 29% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

20th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
20th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(82nd among FBS)
Market 62pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #4, Murray Evans (Lawton Constitution), to #13, Jon Wilner (San Jose Mercury News).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Roughly even on flags: 13 penalties committed vs. 16 drawn on opponents.

112 penalty yards committed vs. 121 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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