CFB Zeitgeist Score
68
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 90th percentile.
Keaton Thomas
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
99 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Ole Miss
2025Baylor
2026Ole Miss
LB · BAYLOR · BIG 12
Keaton Thomas
- 3
- #11
- 6-2 | 229 lb
- Jacksonville, FL
Heisman Heat
#7370
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Baylor
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8558 | No. 51 recruit | JUCO | Baylor |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Baylor -> Ole Miss | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Baylor
Composite
0.8558
#51 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Keaton Thomas
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Keaton Thomas
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
99Tackles
7Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
107Tackles
7.6Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 99.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 99): needs 1/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Keaton Thomas is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Baylor's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
99 99th
SOLO
62 100th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
3 76th
INT
1 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-38vs Auburn | 15 | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 15 tackles |
| Wk 2 | W 48-45@ SMU | 10 | 6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-7vs Samford | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 24-27vs Arizona State | 8 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-27@ Oklahoma State | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-34vs Kansas State | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 36-42@ TCU | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 20-41@ Cincinnati | 12 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 30-3vs UCF | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 28-55vs Utah | 8 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-41@ Arizona | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs Houston | 11 | 9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Total | 99 | 62 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 99 | #54/4942 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 7.0 | #277/4972 | 94th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 62 | #14/4584 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 14.0 | #292/578 | 50th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 14 | #365/578 | 37th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 8.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 6.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Losses7g | 9.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 8.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
68Solid starter
Elite: solo tackles (99th). Strength: tackles (98th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Keaton ThomasBaylorTJ DotteryOle Miss· 93% simGavin MoulDelaware· 91% simJordan CrookArizona State· 90% sim
Solo tackles
Tackles
Tackles for loss
Passes defended
Sacks
QB hurries
Forced fumbles
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Every-Down Linebacker
Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Ross’s 2021 season.
Josh Ross
89%match
All-Big Ten
#2
Jett Johnson
88%
#3
Dyontae Johnson
All-MAC
88%
#4
Donovan Manuel
84%
#5
Bumper Pool
All-SEC
84%
Matches Josh on
Weight
TFL rate
Tackle volume
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to TJ Dottery's sophomore season at Ole Miss (2025).
TJ Dottery
88%match
#2
JaQuez Jackson
87%
#3
Kana'i Mauga
84%
#4
Easton Gibbs
83%
#5
Ellis Brooks
All-Big Ten
81%
Matches TJ on
Sack rate
Weight
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dave Aranda
Pass share
55.5%
510 pass / 409 run
Plays / game
76.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.0%
417 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor
Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'2"
Weight229 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBaylor
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Baylor | LB3 | #7370 | #8209 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.