Ole Miss 41-9 Charlotte (Sep 12, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Charlotte · Ole Miss

Charlotte0-29

No. 9 Ole Miss2-041Final

Sat, Sep 12 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Miss. · Crowd 68,134

No. 9 Ole Miss routed Charlotte 41-9.

We had Ole Miss favored. It won.

Next: Charlotte lost to App State 26-21, Sat Sep 19

Next: Ole Miss beat LSU 32-24, Sat Sep 19

Top comment in the game thread

Deuce “Jaxson Dart” Knight

Q4 7:10 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Ole Miss a 98% chance, and the closing betting line (Ole Miss was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Ole Miss led by 7 after the first quarter and by 27 at the half.

Blocked field goalQ1 1:35

FinalOle Miss 41-9 CharlotteOle Miss wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 4:22Ole Miss fans criticize the defense after Gonzales completes a pass to Jeffares for a first downOur defense should not be letting these plays happenr/CFB game threadGlad our defense is just as ass as everr/CFB game thread
Q4 7:10Deuce Knight runs for a touchdown as Ole Miss fans celebrate his hurdleQuoted at the top of the page.

Ole Miss’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Ole Miss -44.5), at 100% for Ole Miss (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Ole Miss or Charlotte flair (174 and 43); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Ole Miss’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Ole Miss scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Charlotte on 3 of its 10.

Ole Miss’s drives are teal, Charlotte’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Our defense should not be letting these plays happen”

An Ole Miss fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans had the most to say in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

What it cost

Ole Miss’s chance to make the playoff rose from 34% to 38%.

Make the playoff

Charlotte · lost0% → 0%

Ole Miss · won34% → ▲38%

Win the conference

Charlotte · lost0% → 0%

Ole Miss · won4% → ▲5%

Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Ole Miss 41, Charlotte 9

Charlotte covered +44.5 by 12.5. The total, 50, stayed under 59.5.

Team totals	Charlotte	Ole Miss
Total yards	322	420
Passing	20 of 28, 179 yds	27 of 34, 293 yds
Rushing	33 for 143 yds	24 for 127 yds
First downs	17	25
Third down	3 of 14	1 of 4
Fourth down	1 of 1	0 of 0
Turnovers	1	1
Penalties	7 for 39 yds	7 for 52 yds
Time of possession	37:14	22:46

Charlotte leaders

Passing Cole Gonzales 14 of 21, 128 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Chance Williams 9 for 74 yds; D'Mariun Perteet 5 for 33 yds
Receiving Derrick Eley 2 for 56 yds; Jason Jeffares 2 for 27 yds

Ole Miss leaders

Passing Trinidad Chambliss 23 of 26, 225 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Kewan Lacy 13 for 87 yds, 2 TD; Deuce Knight 4 for 27 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Deuce Alexander 8 for 76 yds; Horatio Fields 4 for 66 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

79° at kickoff · no rain recorded

September game-day temperatures at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:52 left6:56 p.m.

Charlotte 0, Ole Miss 0 · Ole Miss 100% to win

no rain · 79°

Chambliss 5-yd pass to Alexander

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Oxford airport, 1.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Charlotte · 1-11

Rated 166th in our preseason ratings, 179th now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 0-27 @ TulaneTop 25 #51 of 667

lost by 27 as a 31.5-point underdog

L 3-35 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #4 of 667

lost by 32 as a 42.5-point underdog

L 7-28 vs UTSA #68 of 667

lost by 21 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 22-48 @ East Carolina #49 of 667

lost by 26 as a 29.5-point underdog

L 20-54 vs North TexasTop 25 #51 of 667

lost by 34 as a 25.5-point underdog

L 14-49 vs Temple #93 of 667

lost by 35 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 7-24 @ Army #105 of 667

lost by 17 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 26-54 @ South FloridaTop 25 #39 of 667

lost by 28 as a 28.5-point underdog

L 17-28 vs Rice #115 of 667

lost by 11 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 42-35 vs Monmouth #148 of 667

won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 3-20 vs North Carolina #58 of 667

lost by 17 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 11-34 vs App State #100 of 667

lost by 23 as an 8.5-point underdog

Last three games · 2025 season

Ole Miss · 13-2

Rated 12th in our preseason ratings, 11th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 5-point win over Georgia as a 6-point underdog.

L 27-31 vs MiamiTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 4 as a 3-point underdog

W 39-34 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #7 of 667

won by 5 as a 6-point underdog

W 41-10 vs TulaneTop 25 #51 of 667

won by 31 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 38-19 @ Mississippi State #61 of 667

won by 19 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 34-24 vs FloridaTop 25 #35 of 667

won by 10 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 49-0 vs The Citadel #212 of 667

won by 49 as a 52.5-point favorite

W 30-14 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #38 of 667

won by 16 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 34-26 @ OklahomaTop 25 #16 of 667

won by 8 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 35-43 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 8 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 24-21 vs Washington State #92 of 667

won by 3 as a 32.5-point favorite

W 24-19 vs LSUTop 25 #11 of 667

won by 5 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 45-10 vs TulaneTop 25 #54 of 667

won by 35 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 41-35 vs Arkansas #18 of 667

won by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite

W 30-23 @ Kentucky #29 of 667

won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 63-7 vs Georgia State #101 of 667

won by 56 as a 33.5-point favorite

Week by week

Ole Miss

Wk 1Wvs Louisville41-38

Charlotte

Wk 1Lvs The Citadel41-43

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Ole Miss’s success rate against Charlotte, 94 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Ole Miss’s success rate against Charlotte’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 97th percentile · Charlotte defense, 3rd
Ole Miss’s rushing EPA against Charlotte’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 96th percentile · Charlotte defense, 8th
Charlotte’s explosive plays against Ole Miss’s defense
Charlotte offense, 8th percentile · Ole Miss defense, 39th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

CharlotteOle Miss

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Ole Miss fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (20th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Ole Miss favored by 44.5 · Total 59.5

How games like this usually go

Ole Miss by 44.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Charlotte.

The total fell 2 points.

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 79° at kickoff.

Charlotte at Ole Miss · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford

79°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
98weather score, Comfortable
Bestof the day's 5 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's five kickoff times. At Vaught-Hemingway Stadium that day, a 11 am kickoff would have scored 54, against 98 at 6:45 pm.

11 am: 54, Rough
2:30 pm: 69, Rough
3:15 pm: 72, Rough
6 pm: 93, Comfortable
6:45 pm: 98, Comfortable (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Ole Miss is worth +5.1 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 67th percentile.

75% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (39-13 home, 18-20 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.0 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 503 miles to get here.

No. 9 Ole Miss routs Charlotte 41-9