Charlotte at Ole Miss
Fan take
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Charlotte · 1-11
Picked #164 in the preseason · now #188.
Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.
L 0–27 @ TulaneTop 25 #54 of 668
lost by 27 as a 30.5-point underdog
L 3–35 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 32 as a 42.5-point underdog
L 7–28 vs UTSA #52 of 668
lost by 21 as a 17.5-point underdog
L 22–48 @ East Carolina #41 of 668
lost by 26 as a 28-point underdog
L 20–54 vs North TexasTop 25 #56 of 668
lost by 34 as a 25.5-point underdog
L 14–49 vs Temple #72 of 668
lost by 35 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 7–24 @ Army #85 of 668
lost by 17 as a 17.5-point underdog
L 26–54 @ South FloridaTop 25 #24 of 668
lost by 28 as a 28-point underdog
L 17–28 vs Rice #97 of 668
lost by 11 as a 2-point underdog
W 42–35 vs Monmouth #161 of 668
won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 3–20 vs North Carolina #129 of 668
lost by 17 as a 15-point underdog
L 11–34 vs App State #150 of 668
lost by 23 as a 3-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Ole Miss · 13-2
Picked #12 in the preseason · now #10 — about right.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 5-point win over Georgia as a 6-point underdog.
L 27–31 vs MiamiTop 25 #5 of 668
lost by 4 as a 3-point underdog
W 39–34 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #8 of 668
won by 5 as a 6-point underdog
W 41–10 vs TulaneTop 25 #57 of 668
won by 31 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 38–19 @ Mississippi State #90 of 668
won by 19 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 34–24 vs FloridaTop 25 #44 of 668
won by 10 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 49–0 vs The Citadel #214 of 668
won by 49 as a 51.5-point favorite
W 30–14 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #49 of 668
won by 16 as a 13-point favorite
W 34–26 @ OklahomaTop 25 #21 of 668
won by 8 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 35–43 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 8 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 24–21 vs Washington State #126 of 668
won by 3 as a 32.5-point favorite
W 24–19 vs LSUTop 25 #10 of 668
won by 5 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 45–10 vs TulaneTop 25 #73 of 668
won by 35 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 41–35 vs Arkansas #58 of 668
won by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 30–23 @ Kentucky #68 of 668
won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 63–7 vs Georgia State #102 of 668
won by 56 as a 33.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Charlotte
- Charlotte is still shaking off a 32-point loss.
Ole Miss
- Ole Miss sits at 37% to make the CFP field — 38% with a win here, 23% with a loss.
- Ole Miss is coming off a 32-point win.
The series
Ole Miss leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Ole Miss won the last meeting
- 2026Ole Miss 41–9
Best players
Charlotte
- Collin Gill (DB) · 16 tackles
- Gavin Willis (LB) · 14 tackles
- Jaylen Hampton (WR) · 142 receiving yards
Ole Miss
- Deuce Alexander (WR) · 235 receiving yards — Heisman odds: 35th (+10000)
- Trinidad Chambliss (QB) · 561 passing yards — Heisman odds: 7th (+1200)
- Tah'j Butler (LB) · 12 tackles
The line, and the room
Charlotte fans are feeling better about their season (81st percentile) than Ole Miss fans are (13th) — even with Ole Miss favored here.
Home −44.5 · O/U 59.5
Conditions
88°F · 6 mph wind · Clear
Ole Miss is worth +5.1 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 67th percentile.
74% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (37–13 home, 17–19 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.8 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 503 miles to get here.
Charlotte 9 – Ole Miss 41
Called it — picked Ole Miss to win.
Recent games
Ole Miss
- Wk 1Wvs Louisville41-38
Charlotte
- Wk 1Lvs The Citadel41-43
Trajectory
Ole Miss handled Charlotte 41-9, matching the pregame favorite.