Three real tests left: Memphis 16%, UAB 39%, Rice 67%
Win out 3% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
73%NAVY
39%UAB
67%RICE
16%MEM
Temple's chance to win each game left, from our model: Navy 73%, UAB 39%, Rice 67%, Memphis 16%
Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.
Bowl chance went from 72% to 8%, peaking at 72% before a game
Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.
StandingTied for 10th in the American Athletic · 1-3 in conference play · All standings
Temple · 2026 schedule and results2-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #90 to #116
Win chances are our model for Temple, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Temple: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 4. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
This week and this season
Worth watchingGames average 50 combined points, even games
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-6
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game10th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate1-4white-knucklein one-score games (5 of 8)2nd most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin-3.0outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Tempo58methodicaloffensive plays / game14th fastest of 14 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.24some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)7th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd24,270avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind
Temple is the North Philadelphia program that Matt Rhule dragged to an AAC title and a top-25 ranking, then watched slide back to the bottom — and is now handing the rebuild to a 275-win coach who refuses to be realistic about how fast the Owls can climb.
Title DroughtSince 2016 · 10 yrs
Fans are sick of being the program everyone treats as a coaching stepping-stone — the place a Rhule or an Addazio uses to get to the next job. They want Keeler's refusal to be realistic to mean…
Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weather60° at kickoff, 5% chance of rain, 17 mph gusts
Temple · Game-day weather
This Saturday: Mild. No coat needed.
Temple at Navy · Saturday, Nov. 7 · 3:30 pm ET · CBS Sports Network · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
60°feels like
5%average rain chance
17 mphwind gusts
99weather score, Comfortable
Forecast, read Wed Nov 4, 8:20 am ET. It can change until kickoff.
Typical at Lincoln Financial Field: kickoff time makes little difference, scores run 90 to 92
This game is at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. The kickoff times below are for Lincoln Financial Field, Temple's home stadium.
At kickoff, 114 regular-season Saturdays at each kickoff time, 2018 to 2025. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50. Gusts count toward the score (up to 15 points). Average rain chance: the hourly chances of rain over the first 3 hours and 20 minutes, averaged.
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience
Temple is the American Athletic program whose 2016 10-4 + AAC championship under Matt Rhule + Lincoln Financial Field NFL-stadium-shared identity define what Philadelphia-G5-football looks like.
Profiles like a typical incoming interior lineman — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Two-Gap Base archetype.Projection from his recruiting profile; no college snaps yet.
★★★☆☆
Coen Logan
WR · Baltimore, MD
#1114 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.Projection from his recruiting profile; no college snaps yet.
★★★☆☆
R.J. Blount
RB · Pennsauken, NJ
#1308 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.Projection from his recruiting profile; no college snaps yet.
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Army Defeats Temple 14-13
164 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] ECU Defeats Temple 17-9
28 upvotes · Oct 2026
[Game Thread] Temple @ Army (12:00 PM ET)
17 upvotes · Nov 2025
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fans and ratings
Mood vs. historyFan mood is higher than 67% of FBS programs
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
67th percentile among FBS programs
Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market↑
67th
Fan mood (percentile among FBS)
5.5
Sportsbook win total (28th among FBS)
Fans 39pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
RivalsRival pulse: Villanova uneasy
Rival pulse
Villanova
Uneasy
-12
Mayor's Cup
Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data
More
FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site
Range of outcomes · Temple · 2026