Temple

1-1

American Athletic · K.C. Keeler, year 2 (6-8) · Lincoln Financial Field · 69,879 · 37,599 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#90 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #84 (-4.9) · FPI #92
The marketToledo by 6at Toledo · our model 24% Temple · a number, not a pick

LastL 9–27 vs Penn State · Sat Sep 12 · Curly Ordonez 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 12 tackles

Nextat Toledo · Sat Sep 19 · 3 pm ET · Glass Bowl · Toledo by 6 · series 3-7, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Temple · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#90#106-14.5Rhode IslandW 38–14 611-00-0
2Sep 12#91#39+24.5Penn StateL 9–27 1161-10-0
3Sep 19#90#48+6@Toledo
4Sep 25#92#38Army
5Oct 3@South Florida
6Oct 10UConn
7Oct 17Charlotte
9Oct 31@East Carolina
10Nov 7@Navy
11Nov 14UAB
12Nov 20Rice
13Nov 27@Memphis
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Penn StateL 9–27283131:11+0.17641.4%113.7%
Sep 5Rhode IslandW 38–14369130:54+0.17046.0%113.6%
Season average (2 games)3261.0+0.17343.7%113.7%
Verdict Begins·Live

Temple is the North Philadelphia program that Matt Rhule dragged to an AAC title and a top-25 ranking, then watched slide back to the bottom — and is now handing the rebuild to a 275-win coach who refuses to be realistic about how fast the Owls can climb.

Title DroughtSince 2016 · 10 yrs

Fans are sick of being the program everyone treats as a coaching stepping-stone — the place a Rhule or an Addazio uses to get to the next job. They want Keeler's refusal to be realistic to mean Temple…

moderate signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 12)8th most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin-1.8competitiveavg scoring margin9th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Tempo62methodicaloffensive plays / game13th fastest of 13 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.18grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)13th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd17,566avg attendance12th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Temple has won one of its last five.

Cold. 4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
I think Ajani’s strength has been him pulling the ball down and running and some of those designed runs
Keeler · On38 days before Temple's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Toledo · away

SolidMethodical, ball-controlPoor

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#110 in field+100000
AAC title#11 in market+2000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Temple · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Temple's identity shift is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

identitythis cycle~readnew

K.C. Keeler begins his tenure at Temple, inheriting a 5-7 losing record and a program seeking to redefine its identity beyond its 2016 AAC championship legacy.

what happenedTemple: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Hunter Smith gets meaningfully MORE work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Hunter Smith sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Jovanni Bermudez is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Kajiya Hollawayne is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Peter Clarke is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle✓ factnew

Temple enters 2026 rated No. 88 in 2025 SP+ (-5.1), up 39 spots from 2024.

the contexttop-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredTemple's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downTemple's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downTemple's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Temple · 2026

Temple's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Temple · Season outlook Confidence

One of the biggest jumps in the country. Temple has to prove the model right.

Temple enters 2026 rated No. 88 in 2025 SP+ (-5.1), up 39 spots from 2024. It is top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers6 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 26% volume · mostly neutral
Developing2 new this week
yesterdayWin total — no reprice yet on "$55M gift terminated amid investigation"
last week$55M gift terminated amid investigation — Reported
2 weeks agoTemple updates depth chart — Reported
Jul 10Kromah seeks fifth year eligibility — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Near-consensus preview optimism means the expectations bar just moved. A season that matches the rating reads as meeting a floor, not a breakthrough.
Source of record: Temple enters 2026 rated No. 88 in 2025 SP+ (-5.1), up 39 spots from 2024 — top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“The Good, The Bad & The Ugly: Reviewing Penn State football’s 27” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“The Good, The Bad & The Ugly: Reviewing Penn State football’s 27-9 win over Temple”
Centre Daily Times · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“The Good, Bad and Ugly of Penn State's Week 2 Win Over Temple”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“The Penn State Football Report Card After a Perfunctory Win Over Temple”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“The Best Notes, Quotes and Anecdotes From Penn State's Win Over Temple”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Week 2 report card | Offense takes time, defense keeps steady in Penn State’s win over Temple”
The Daily Collegian · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards26% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (62%).

This event was in 327 of 1255 board posts (26%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"I’ve peen trying to tell people that Temple isn’t as putrid this year as they have been in years past I really think they could make some noise in the American"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"I went in to pay off some of my balance. I checked and noticed my balance jumped from $7,401 to $8,013. I’m like WTF! I checked my statement numbers and it seems they raised a few"
r/Temple ~ fan take

Board health this week (217 posts): 18% positive · 58% neutral · 24% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

Villanova
Uneasy
-12
Mayor's Cup

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Temple is the American Athletic program whose 2016 10-4 + AAC championship under Matt Rhule + Lincoln Financial Field NFL-stadium-shared identity define what Philadelphia-G5-football looks like.

Offense: SolidTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Poor
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired K.C. Keeler
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Temple

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production37%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#80 nationally247 composite 631.1
Portal Additions23Primary repair: S
Portal Losses26Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#68Depth class
DLin 5 - Quante Gillians3.50out 6 - Sekou Kromah3.60Even
current room: 288 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 4 - Jayce Freeman3.60out 5 - Ian Stewart3.49Even
current room: 188 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 1 - John Stone3.50out 4 - Ken Meir3.00Starter Risk
current room: 297 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 3 - Jaeden Gould4.28out 1 - Zavien Bryant3.49Need Filled
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2023 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
RBin 1 - Samuel Brown V3.40out 3 - Terrez Worthy3.50Starter Risk
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Power Back2024 profilewears you down at the goal line
LBin 2 - Cookie Desiderio3.20out 2 - London Hall3.49Even
current room: 225 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (119 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Temple

4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    $55M gift terminated amid investigation

    A $55M gift yanked mid-investigation is the last thing a program at #68 nationally and already sweating IOL depth needed — Keeler's rebuild just lost a financial floor it was counting on.

  2. News

    Temple updates depth chart

    Keeler's April depth chart drops with IOL pressure still unresolved and a class ranked 68th nationally — the Fordham tape showed the Owls can fight, but the interior needs bodies before that fight means anything in the AAC.

    Aug 29Reported
  3. News

    Kromah seeks fifth year eligibility

    Kromah chasing a fifth year while K.C. Keeler's IOL room is already thin at #123 nationally — Temple can't afford to lose the depth it does have along that line.

    Jul 10Reported
  4. News

    Win total — no reprice yet on "$55M gift terminated amid investigation"

    It's been 6d since "$55M gift terminated amid investigation" and the line hasn't moved. Worth checking again in a few days to see if the books are just slow.

    Sep 14
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +2.8 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
+5.8
S
+5.3
need filled
RB
-4.6
starter risk
IOL
-4.5
starter risk
CB
-4.5
starter risk
TE
+3.5
low confidence
QB
+3.4
LS
+3.0
low confidence
LB
-2.8
EDGE
-2.5
DL
+1.3
WR
-0.6
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jude Okeleke
DL · Watertown, CT
#704 national
Profiles like a typical incoming interior lineman — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Two-Gap Base archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Coen Logan
WR · Baltimore, MD
#1114 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 12 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
R.J. Blount
RB · Pennsauken, NJ
#1308 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

34
PA · 10MD · 8NJ · 6FL · 2AR · 1CT · 1DE · 1MA · 1+4 more

PA leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

110 signees across 22 states, 2023-2026. PA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MINY3MA1ORNVWYSDIAILINOH3PA26NJ17CT1CA9UTCO1NEMOKYWVVAMD13DE1RIAZNMKSAR1TNNC6SC1DCOK1LAMS1ALGA2AKHITX3FL16
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 8.8% of every high-school FBS signee PA produced over those cycles — second only to Penn State, 3 signees back. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Temple player grew up 96 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

4th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%32–436 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi51%55 of 107 players
Farthest2,510 miEric Stuart · East Palo Alto, CA
Closest4 miSamuel Brown V · Philadelphia, PA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Lincoln Financial Field. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 107 of 119 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns PA · 2026 roster

26% of the Temple roster grew up in PA.

29 of 111 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 82nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

PA · 29NJ · 25MD · 11FL · 8NC · 5OH · 5NY · 4CA · 3+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

111 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside PA: NJ (25).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI2NY4MAORNVWYSDIA1IL1IN1OH5PA29NJ25CT2CA3UTCONEMOKYWVVA2MD11DE2RI1AZ1NMKSAR2TNNC5SCDC1OKLAMSALGA2AKHITX3FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 8 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Navy Defeats Temple 32-31
273 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Postgame Thread] Army Defeats Temple 14-13
164 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] ECU Defeats Temple 45-14
55 upvotes · Nov 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 59% never transferred. D
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

80th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
80th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
Fans 54pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 67% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~51% league rate.

4 of 6 own fumbles recovered themselves; 6 of 10 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Losing the penalty battle: 8 penalties committed vs. 8 drawn on opponents, a 42-yard deficit.

80 penalty yards committed vs. 38 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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