The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Temple 33%
Win out <1% · expect 1.0 of 4 more wins
Rice's chance to win each game left, from our model: North Texas 24%, Tulane 30%, Temple 33%, Army 18%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Standing14th in the American Athletic · 0-4 in conference play · All standings
LeadersPassing Jacurri Brown 471 · Rushing Jacurri Brown 668 · Receiving Jordan Clark 257 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 8
Follow Rice:athletics siteAmerican AthleticX@RiceAthletics
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #181 | #257 | −22.5✓ +5.5 | Houston Christian | W 31-3 138 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Ochoa 17 · Rush Byars 104 · Rec Clark 11 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #178 | #1 | +44.5✗ −7.5 | @Notre Dame | L 0-52 111 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 64 · Rush Brown 32 · Rec Jackson Jr. 30 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #147 | #22 | +8.5✓ +1.5 | Western Michigan | L 21-28 125 | 1-2 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 121 · Rush Brown 128 · Rec Jackson Jr. 47 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #147 | #53 | +12.5✗ −1.5 | @Fresno State | L 24-38 131 | 1-3 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 119 · Rush Brown 141 · Rec Mosey 40 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #143 | #17 | +11.5✓ +9.5 | UTSA | L 14-16 132 | 1-4 | 0-1 | Pass Brown 88 · Rush Brown 96 · Rec Grice 40 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #128 | #75 | +10✗ −6 | @East Carolina | L 12-28 140 | 1-5 | 0-2 | Pass Ochoa 48 · Rush Byars 111 · Rec Clark 69 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #133 | #111 | +3.5✗ −17.5 | Tulsa | L 17-38 125 | 1-6 | 0-3 | Pass Brown 47 · Rush Brown 154 · Rec Clark 52 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #152 | #115 | +9.5✓ +7.5 | @Florida Atlantic | L 49-51 139 | 1-7 | 0-4 | Pass Ochoa 80 · Rush Ochoa 259 · Rec Walker 71 |
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | #161 | #55 | +16.5 | @North Texas | 4 pm ET · ESPNU24% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | #163 | #85 | Tulane | time TBA30% to win | ||||
| 12 | Nov 19 | @Temple | 7:30 pm ET · ESPN33% to win | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | Army | time TBA | ||||||
Win chances are our model for Rice, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Rice: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | @Florida Atlantic | L 49-51 | 608 | 1 | 29:03 | +0.330 | 48.4% | 1.72 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 17 | Tulsa | L 17-38 | 351 | 1 | 29:32 | +0.087 | 41.3% | 1.25 | |
| Oct 10 | @East Carolina | L 12-28 | 233 | 2 | 29:45 | -0.292 | 26.9% | 0.84 | |
| Oct 3 | UTSA | L 14-16 | 232 | 1 | 27:54 | -0.132 | 31.1% | 1.29 | One-score loss |
| Sep 26 | @Fresno State | L 24-38 | 463 | 2 | 27:22 | +0.178 | 51.6% | 1.27 | |
| Sep 19 | Western Michigan | L 21-28 | 330 | 0 | 27:07 | +0.093 | 43.5% | 1.05 | One-score loss |
| Sep 12 | @Notre Dame | L 0-52 | 128 | 4 | 27:42 | -0.316 | 21.3% | 1.60 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 5 | Houston Christian | W 31-3 | 493 | 0 | 39:32 | +0.233 | 53.7% | 0.94 | Best success rate |
| Season average (8 games) | 355 | 1.4 | +0.023 | 39.7% | 1.24 | ||||
Rice's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses
Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 4. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
What fans said
Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last seven.
Range of outcomes · Rice · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 30%; 2 wins 43%; 3 wins 22%; 4 wins 5%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
This week and this season
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-7
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Rice is the brain of college football — the most selective school in the sport, where 1,000 students still major in being an Owl, and where a win over a team that recruits ten times your enrollment is the whole reward.
Rice fans carry less of a grudge than a knowing smile: they will tell you their Owls graduate, beat schools ten times their size on a good Saturday, and answer to a standard nobody else in the sport…
Rice · Game-day weather
Typical at Rice Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 93, 3:30 pm Saturdays 77
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read it.
At kickoff, regular-season Saturdays, 2018 to 2025: 113 at noon, 113 at 3:30 pm, 112 at 7:30 pm. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Rice is the Houston private university whose 1953 Cotton Bowl championship + 2008 Texas Bowl + Rice Stadium 70,000 capacity define what historic-academic-private-football looks like.
The program ledger
since 2025Roster and recruiting
Top 1 commits
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fans and ratings
Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program
65th percentile among FBS programs
Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data
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Each link was checked against two outside sites.
Range of outcomes · Rice · 2026