American Athletic · Will Hall, year 1 (1-1) · Yulman Stadium · 30,000 · 24,323 avg in 2026
LastW 28–24 vs South Alabama · Sat Sep 12 · Jaylin Lucas 214 rush yds, 1 TD
Nextat Kansas State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Kansas State by 20.5 · series 2-1, last win 2022 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #75 | #67 | +9.5✗ | @Duke | L 3–17 133 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #73 | #61 | -9.5✗ | South Alabama | W 28–24 123 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #71 | #26 | +20.5 | @Kansas State | |||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #71 | #59 | Southern Miss | ||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Army | ||||||
| 7 | Oct 16 | Memphis | ||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | UTSA | ||||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @Charlotte | ||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Tulsa | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Rice | ||||||
| 12 | Nov 21 | North Texas | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 27 | @South Florida |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | South Alabama | W 28–24 | 424 | 0 | 22:20 | +0.407 | 36.5% | 215.1% | |
| Sep 5 | @Duke | L 3–17 | 258 | 1 | 23:25 | +0.004 | 30.9% | 79.7% | |
| Season average (2 games) | 341 | 0.5 | +0.205 | 33.7% | 147.4% | ||||
Tulane helped found the Sugar Bowl and the SEC, then nearly drowned — a hurricane-battered, win-starved program that came back from the dead to make the first 12-team Playoff, becoming the first Louisiana team ever to crash the field.
Across town and up the road sits LSU, the SEC giant that swallowed all of Louisiana's football oxygen after Tulane walked away from the conference. Fans believe the state forgot the Green Wave existed…
The season in chapters
What fans said
Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown
What it is like to watch them2025 · 11-3 · last season
✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025
Mixed. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Next Sep 19
vs Kansas State · away
~ our read on style
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14
the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?
Will Hall, who led Southern Miss to an 11-3 season and a #17 AP ranking, inherits a 15% production roster at Tulane — the program's third head coach in five.
our readbackground
Will Hall's first season at Tulane begins with a 11-3 winning record and a 70th national talent rank, raising questions about sustaining success amid a 1.0-win drop in projected output.
our readdeveloping
Anthony Brown is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
our readdeveloping
Jamauri McClure: a closer signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Javin Gordon: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Omari Hayes is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Shazz Preston is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Tulane enters 2025 at No. 45 in SP+ — the 11-3 record under Jon Sumrall sets a high bar for a team replacing nearly all its production.
our readbackground
Tulane enters 2026 — bottom-quintile returning production creates a stark contrast to the 11-3 record and #17 AP finish that defined Jon Sumrall's first season at the helm.
our readbackground
Jon Sumrall's second season at Tulane follows an 11-3 campaign and a #17 AP finish, with coordinator changes reshaping units as the program builds on its historic-southern-football identity.
our readdeveloping
Sumrall's second season opens with a 11-3 record — the question is whether Tulane's new identity can sustain its historic-southern-football legacy beyond the Fritz era.
our readdeveloping
Outcome band · Tulane · 2026
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.
Will Hall took over as Tulane's head coach, replacing Jon Sumrall. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
This event was in 121 of 1140 board posts (11%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (67 posts): 24% positive · 43% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
Tulane win total fell from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier C). It is win total down 1.0 from 7.5 to 6.5. The coverage is pushing back on the drop. The fan base is running warmer than the market. The coverage runs bullish despite the drop.
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.
The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 301 of 1140 board posts (26%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (67 posts): 24% positive · 43% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
More in this tab
Tulane is the New Orleans private university whose 1925 Sugar Bowl founding + Willie Fritz 2022 12-2 Cotton Bowl championship + Yulman Stadium urban-campus identity define what historic-southern-football looks like.
The program ledger
since 2025Win total: 7.5 → 6.5 (▼1)
Win total dropped from 7.5 to 6.5 with conference peers flat — the books see something program-specific.
AAC title odds: +600 → +1000 (▼5.2pp implied)
Aac title odds dropped 5.2pp without an obvious public catalyst.
AAC title odds: +1000 → +600 (▲5.2pp implied)
Aac title odds improved 5.2pp without an obvious public catalyst.
Tulane freshman receiver arrested
A 7.5-to-6.5 win total slide already had Green Wave fans nervous — losing a depth receiver to an arrest only tightens a roster that ranked 64th nationally and can't afford attrition at the skill spots.
Tulane releases unofficial depth chart
Chriss-Gremillion gets the nod at QB, but the real pressure is on a DL room that's a #64 class trying to hold weight in an AAC title chase — this depth chart shows where Hall's roster math is still unsolved.
Tulane sets depth chart deadline
Hall's putting a clock on the roster bubble — with DL depth already thin and the class sitting at #64, the Green Wave can't afford to carry bodies who aren't committed to the room.
Top 3 commits
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
GA leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 11 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
79 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. LA leads the pull.
Miles from home · 2026 roster
The median Tulane player grew up 382 miles from campus.
Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.
Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Yulman Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 115 of 119 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
68th percentile among FBS programs
19 penalties committed, 14 drawn on opponents — ceding 35 yards of field position.
134 penalty yards committed vs. 99 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Outcome band · Tulane · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026