Eric Morris' 12-2 season vaulted North Texas into dynasty territory, but the market projects just 6 wins — a skepticism gap after a historic G5 run.
our readfront page
American Athletic · Neal Brown, year 1 (1-1) · DATCU Stadium · 30,850 · 20,331 avg in 2026
LastW 44–6 vs UNLV · Sat Sep 12 · Jahiem White 124 rush yds, 1 TD, 34 rec yds
Nextat Texas State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Bobcat Stadium (TX) · Texas State by 3 · series 0-1 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #135 | #8 | +40.5✓ | @Indiana | L 16–52 113 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #123 | #89 | +3✓ | UNLV | W 44–6 139 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #121 | #32 | +3 | @Texas State | |||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #119 | #221 | Houston Christian | ||||
| 5 | Oct 2 | @Tulsa | ||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | Charlotte | ||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Navy | ||||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | Florida Atlantic | ||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rice | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @UTSA | ||||||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Tulane | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | UAB |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | UNLV | W 44–6 | 444 | 0 | 32:15 | +0.345 | 44.9% | 135.1% | |
| Sep 5 | @Indiana | L 16–52 | 367 | 1 | 37:22 | +0.135 | 34.8% | 154.8% | |
| Season average (2 games) | 406 | 0.5 | +0.240 | 39.9% | 145.0% | ||||
North Texas is the program named for Joe Greene's 'Mean Green' that broke a 66-year ranking drought in 2025 — 12 wins, a poll appearance, and then the coach who built it gone to Oklahoma State before the celebration ended.
Fans note that the moment North Texas finally got good — the first ranking since 1959, 12 wins, a Burlsworth Trophy quarterback — a power-conference school simply reached down and took the coach and t…
The season in chapters
What fans said
Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown
What it is like to watch them2025 · 12-2 · last season
✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025
Mixed. 8-2 over the last 10, and won the last one.
North Texas is not the same team as last year. Coach Eric Morris and the majority of the team moved on to Oklahoma State
Next Sep 19
vs Texas State · away
~ our read on style
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14
the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?
Eric Morris' 12-2 season vaulted North Texas into dynasty territory, but the market projects just 6 wins — a skepticism gap after a historic G5 run.
our readfront page
Neal Brown, who led West Virginia to a 12-2 season, inherits a 2% production returning roster at North Texas — the churn defines the challenge, not the name.
our readdeveloping
Tayven Jackson arrives at North Texas as Eric Morris' second straight top-25 portal class aims to replace 82% of QB production after a historic 12-2 season.
our readbackground
Eric Morris enters his third season with a 12-2 record and a #23 AP finish, anchoring North Texas as the historic Texas G5 program redefining its identity in Conference USA.
our readdeveloping
Eric Morris' top-2 portal class targets CB, DL, and EDGE — addressing the defensive gaps that followed key departures in a 12-2 season.
our readfront page
Neal Brown's first season at North Texas follows a 12-2 record, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshaping raise questions about sustaining the AP's #23 finish.
our readdeveloping
Neal Brown inherits a 12-2 winning record at North Texas, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshapes raise questions about sustaining the Mean Green's historic G5 identity.
our readdeveloping
Neal Brown, who led West Virginia to a 12-2 season, inherits a 2% production returning roster at North Texas — the program's third coach in five years, and the fanbase.
our readfront page
Eric Morris enters his third season with a 12-2 record and a #23 AP finish, positioning North Texas to sustain its historic-Texas-G5-football identity as a rising middle-tier program.
our readdeveloping
Caleb Hawkins does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
our readdeveloping
Ashton Gray sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
our readbackground
Kiefer Sibley: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Tre Williams III is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Wyatt Young is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Wyatt Young: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Outcome band · North Texas · 2026
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.
North Texas has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 63% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 63% a year ago. It is a 22-15 record over the last three regular seasons. Three-year power ratings tell a structural story — the room is split on whether the schedule will confirm it.
The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.
The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.
Drew Svoboda took over as North Texas's head coach, replacing Eric Morris. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. The hire has receded from the front page. The roster and recruiting pipeline are the real measure now. The discourse has moved on; what's left is the quiet work of building something.
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
More in this tab
North Texas is the American Athletic program whose Joe Greene 'Mean Green' identity + Apogee Stadium + Eric Morris 2024 7-6 bowl appearance define what historic-Texas-G5-football looks like.
The program ledger
since 2025North Texas names starting QB
Morris spent an offseason in the film room fixing fourth-down decisions — naming a starter early is the kind of structural clarity a 5.5-win market needs to believe the offense is actually fixed.
North Texas releases depth chart
Depth chart out and the OT line is the story — class rank #135 nationally doesn't patch a pressure spot, and the market already dropped a full win off the board this offseason.
Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation
Morris just dropped his win total to 5.5 and lost a key piece off a roster already thin at OT — Becks' dismissal isn't just a culture note, it's a depth problem on a team that couldn't afford one.
Win total: 6.5 → 5.5 (▼1)
Win total dropped from 6.5 to 5.5 with conference peers flat — the books see something program-specific.
North Texas loses top cornerback
Neal Brown's secondary just took a hit — losing your top corner in the AAC with a class ranked #135 nationally isn't a depth problem, it's a starting gap with nowhere to backfill from.
Isaiah Rasheed commits to North Texas
The McClain connection closed this one — Rasheed's bond with the WRs coach matters when a class ranked 112th nationally needs recruits who chose the program, not just the offer.
Top 3 commits
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
TX leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 3 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
77 signees across 11 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.
Miles from home · 2026 roster
The median North Texas player grew up 231 miles from campus.
Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.
Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to DATCU Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 105 of 108 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program
88th percentile among FBS programs
60% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~46% league baseline.
3 of 5 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
19 penalties committed, 13 drawn on opponents — ceding 40 yards of field position.
152 penalty yards committed vs. 112 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.