Next game: vs Rice
North Texas’s best edge on Rice is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
North Texas offense against Rice defense
Rice offense against North Texas defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.46 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 194 / 268 | 72.4 | 2568 #3 FBS | 9.6 | 22 #6 FBS | 5 | 176.2 | 84 | 77.3 | 10.1 | 1.5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — 268 pass attempts and 30 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Jackson operates within the system without forcing anything. McCown is the one who picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.5 93th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %72.2% 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tayven Jackson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.64 EPA/play | 9 | 4 | 14 / 19 | 73.7 | 159 | 8.4 | 1 | 0 | 161.3 | — | 16.4 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete Back · +0.34 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 143 | 1043 #2 FBS | 7.3 | 13 #4 FBS | 84 | 14.7 | 21.0 | |
Yards by week → Complete backThreatens defenses in every dimension — rushing, receiving, third-down. Impact starter — 143 carries and 29 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than nearly every FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB White beats you as a runner and a receiver. Peterson is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry7.2 96th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate9.1% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jahiem White's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.02 EPA/play | 29 | 6 | 41 | 171 | 4.2 | 2 | 15 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 41 carries and 1 catch in 6 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Haygood does a little of everything without one standout trait. Peterson is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry4.1 bottom 14th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share2.4% bottom 7th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Brendon Haygood's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.81 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 50 | 781 #11 FBS | 15.6 | 8 #9 FBS | 53 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Money-downRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Impact starter — 50 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Stevenson wins underneath on volume and route precision. Allen is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume50 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)47.8 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justin Stevenson's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.65 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 24 | 335 | 14.0 | 3 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. Starter — 24 catches and 2 carries in 7 games, more catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Reese creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Jr. is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception14.2 81th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume24 80th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Max Reese's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.58 EPA/play | — | 5 | 20 | 325 | 16.2 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Milliner beats you over the top. Allen is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception16.3 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate5.0% bottom 28th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Corri Milliner's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.71 EPA/play | 14 | 6 | 28 | 324 | 11.6 | 6 #23 FBS | 39 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 28 catches in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Koch moves the chains on third down. Allen is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception11.2 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate21.4% 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kyle Koch's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +1.18 EPA/play | 80 | 7 | 14 | 208 | 14.9 | 3 | 75 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Boom-or-bustStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine This week's matchup — WR Tipton beats you over the top. Allen is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception18.6 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.2 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Baron Tipton's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.10 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 15 | 182 | 12.1 | 0 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Martin moves the chains on third down. Allen is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception10.4 bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Josiah Martin's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.65 EPA/play | 17 | 6 | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 0 | 26 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Long shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Jr. is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception9.8 bottom 38th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 13th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brec Long's full player page | ||||||||
| +1.02 EPA/play | 3 | 6 | 8 | 101 | 12.6 | 1 | 23 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.27 EPA/play | 19 | 3 | 5 | 88 | 17.6 | 0 | 43 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 10 | 8 | 32 | 14 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Impact starter — 32 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate17.2% 57th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View David Onuoha's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 8 | 20 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Justin Benton's full player pageTFL rate2.5% bottom 13th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 42 | 7 | 20 | 9 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.5% 87th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brayden Knox's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 91 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 6.5 | 4 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate43.3% 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Davion Rhodes's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 98 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 41th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Curlee Thomas IV's full player page | |||||||
| 44 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 58 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 88 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 93 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 3 | 8 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume60 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate4.2% bottom 24th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zakye Barker's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 36 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Aaron Alexander's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 34 | 7 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Brenden Reese's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 17 | 7 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cedric Roberts's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 4 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 55 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume55 97th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View CJ Coombes's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | — | 8 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 47 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume47 90th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Brandon Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 21 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 30 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume30 bottom 46th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jason Cross Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 24 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 27 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate14.8% 54th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Peyton Taylor's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 19 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cover corner· Takeaway threatSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jaden Allen's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 9 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.3% 77th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cameren Jenkins's full player page | |||||||
| 14 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Cover Corner | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.3% bottom 31th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Keshawn Davila's full player page | |||||||
| 12 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 90 | 8 | 11/14 | 78.6 | 45/45 | 78 | 48 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 8 | 18 | 743 | 41.3 | 55 | 7 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.19 EPA/play | 20 | 4 | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | 0 | 28 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 4 | 7 | 93 | 13.3 | 0 | 58 |
Biggest plays from North Texas’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in North Texas’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 9:38 · North Texas up 3Jahiem White runs 59 yards for a touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q4, 9:38 · North Texas 49, Navy 39Jahiem White's 25th career rushing touchdownJahiem White's 25th career rushing touchdownJ.White rush right for 59 yards gain to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football
Q4, 10:49 · Navy down 10Michael Barrow runs 4 yards for a touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q4, 10:49 · Navy 39, North Texas 42▲20%Navy’s chance to win, 14% to 34%▲20%Navy’s chance to win, 14% to 34%M.Barrow rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football- Q1, 10:05 · North Texas tiedTayven Jackson finds Justin Stevenson for a 45-yard touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q1, 10:05 · North Texas 7, Navy 0North Texas opened the scoringNorth Texas opened the scoringT.Jackson pass complete deep middle to J.Stevenson caught at Navy02, for 45 yards to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q4, 6:45 · North Texas breaks the tieTayven Jackson finds Justin Stevenson for a 13-yard touchdownNorth Texas at Tulsa, week 5Q4, 6:45 · North Texas 38, Tulsa 31Go-ahead touchdown for North Texas in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for North Texas in the fourth quarterT.Jackson pass complete short middle to J.Stevenson caught at TLS00, for 13 yards to the TLS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 7:55 · North Texas up 11Zakye Barker returns a fumble 63 yards for a touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q3, 7:55 · North Texas 35, Navy 1763Fumble return touchdown63Fumble return touchdownFumble return touchdownZakye Barker 63 yd Fumble Return (Dominic De Freitas Kick)▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
Q2, 11:55 · Tulsa up 4Baylor Hayes finds Javon Ross for an 18-yard touchdownNorth Texas at Tulsa, week 5Q2, 11:55 · Tulsa 14, North Texas 3▲16%Tulsa’s chance to win, 66% to 82%▲16%Tulsa’s chance to win, 66% to 82%B.Hayes pass complete short right to J.Ross caught at UNT00, for 18 yards to the UNT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
North Texas lost 2 of 8 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was at Tulsa, down to 10%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave North Texas during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · North Texas
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · North TexasJahiem White leads North Texas with 1,043 rushing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+21 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
North Texas fields an elite offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
North Texas reads strongest in passing EPA (top 2%) and EPA / play (top 3%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where North Texas sits at the 1st percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
North Texas is worth +3.7 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 40th percentile of 133 programs
59% at home, 46% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (26-18 home, 23-27 away). Interval ±4.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, North Texas has beaten the number by +3.4 more at home than away over 103 games. That is inside the ±6.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
DATCU Stadium seats 30,850 and has averaged 68% full (21,098, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 475 miles to get here since 2018 — 61st-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 40% of the 2026 roster (42 of 106 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 53 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeCaleb Hawkins does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Garbage timeAshton Gray sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
- Deep threatTre Williams III is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatWyatt Young is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jahiem White and Brendon Haygood split the carries (143/183 vs 40/183) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jahiem White owns the receiving work.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Justin Stevenson (WR) and Max Reese (TE) split the targets (57/84 vs 27/84) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How North Texas actually scores
99th percentile quality, 1st percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
North Texas’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 59th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 65th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does North Texas hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
95th percentile success on standard downs, 84th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
North Texas by half
1st-half offense ranks 97th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 92nd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of North Texas’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.34; 97th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.13. The widest gap came in week 10: 0.34 raw vs. 0.13 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), North Texas’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (73.1% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 243-play sample) — most aggressive underneath, 134 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), North Texas’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 174-play sample) — mid-pack, 94 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
29% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.
2 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 6 of 12 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
21% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
6 interceptions of 28 disrupted passes (22 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
67 penalties committed, 41 drawn on opponents — ceding 183 yards of field position.
551 penalty yards committed vs. 368 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · North Texas
Most similar programs · North TexasReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 61°, between 49° and 74° in about 7 in 10 games (32 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 71°, and 8 in 10 ran between 50° and 83° (49 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.