Charlotte

0-2

American Athletic · Tim Albin, year 2 (1-13) · Jerry Richardson Stadium · 15,300 · 13,274 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#132 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #136 (-26.0) · FPI #128
The marketApp State by 17.5at App State · our model 17% Charlotte · a number, not a pick

LastL 9–41 at Ole Miss · Sat Sep 12 · Collin Gill 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 5 tackles

Nextat App State · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET · Kidd Brewer Stadium · App State by 17.5 · series 0-4, lost the last 4 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Charlotte · 2026 schedule & results0-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#166#203-20.5The CitadelL 41–43 1370-10-0
2Sep 12#179#11+44.5@Ole MissL 9–41 1190-20-0
3Sep 19#162#88+17.5@App State
4Sep 26#162#36Louisiana
5Oct 3Memphis
6Oct 10@North Texas
7Oct 17@Temple
9Oct 30Tulane
10Nov 7@UAB
11Nov 14East Carolina
12Nov 21@Tulsa
13Nov 28Navy
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@Ole MissL 9–41322137:14+0.04336.1%100.2%
Sep 5The CitadelL 41–43538230:15+0.28646.2%149.0%
Season average (2 games)4301.5+0.16541.1%124.6%
Verdict Begins·Live

Charlotte is the youngest program in the Power footprint — football didn't exist here until 2013 — trying to build, almost from scratch, a tradition the rest of the sport had a century-long head start on.

Standard GapA 2019 bowl bid in just the program's seventh season vs a 2025 collapse…

Niner fans say the rest of the sport treats a program this young like it doesn't count — and they point to the biggest, fastest-growing city in the Carolinas and ask why a metro this size shouldn't ev…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Charlotte-App Stateat App State · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 1-11 · last season

Game feel51rock fightscombined pts / game13th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 12)14th most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin-22.0outgunnedavg scoring margin14th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.22grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd13,564avg attendance14th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Charlotte has lost five straight.

Hibernating. 0-10 over the last 10, and lost the last ten.

Streak L10Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-10
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs App State · away

PoorPoorBend-don't-break

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#128 in field+1000000
AAC title#14 in market+25000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Charlotte · the story right now 10 storylines developing

What Charlotte's identity shift is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

identitythis cycle~readnew

Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.

what happenedCharlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.

what happenedCharlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

portal2025-05-08~readnew

Grayson Loftis (QB) and Conner Harrell (QB) arrive as Charlotte's answer to 1-11, diagnosing a passing game that couldn't escape the bottom of the American Athletic.

what happenedCharlotte signed a top-48 transfer-portal class — 34 additions headlined by Grayson Loftis (QB) from Duke and Conner Harrell (QB) from North Carolina. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Tim Albin inherits a 1-11 losing record at Charlotte, a program still defining its identity since its 2013 FBS debut, with coordinator changes reshaping key units.

what happenedCharlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle✓ factnew

Sean Brown is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.

our readdeveloping

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Sean Brown is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Cameren Smith: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Javen Nicholas does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Rod Gainey Jr.: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Tim Albin inherits a 1-11 roster with just 24% production returning — Charlotte's fourth coach in five years faces an ascent built on instability.

what happenedTim Albin took over as Charlotte's head coach, replacing Biff Poggi. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredCharlotte's head-coaching hire held for another season.
ReplacedCharlotte's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downCharlotte's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Charlotte · 2026

Charlotte's most likely season is 5-7 — no postseason. The floor is 3-9; the ceiling is 8-5.

Floor3-9No postseason, 2 fewer wins.
Base5-7No postseason.
Ceiling8-5A bowl game.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Charlotte · Developing Confidence

Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.

Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.

The saga so far~1 month old
last weekWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 12d after "Coach suspended with pay"
last weekWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 11d after "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 10d after "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) holding steady right after "Coach suspended with pay"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.
Source of record: Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Niners Bested by No. 9 Ole Miss, 41-9”
Charlotte Athletics · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Charlotte falls to No. 9 Ole Miss, 41-9”
Niner Times · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Jamouri Nichols, a state champion QB at West Charlotte, found a new home at Chambers”
highschoolot.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“GOAL! Allan Saint-Maximin Finds Liel Abada to Put Us Back Level ” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“GOAL! Allan Saint-Maximin Finds Liel Abada to Put Us Back Level | Charlotte FC at FC Cincinnati: September 12, 2026”
Charlotte FC · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards13% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (57%).

This event was in 108 of 821 board posts (13%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Charlotte Athletics Charlotte Athletics Football History vs Appalachian State University Charlotte Football History vs Appalachian State University 7 posts - 5 participants Read fu"
Niner Nation ~ fan take
"Hey guys Im a freshman I never went Charlotte Downtown and I want to explore it with my friends. Idk where to go to any reccomendations? I plan on going with CATS and lightrail."
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take

Board health this week (77 posts): 19% positive · 49% neutral · 32% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Following now · Charlotte · Developing Confidence

Charlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Charlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

The saga so far~1 month old
last weekWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 12d after "Coach suspended with pay"
last weekWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 11d after "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 10d after "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "Coach suspended with pay"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 2.5) holding steady right after "Coach suspended with pay"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.
Source of record: Charlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Niners Bested by No. 9 Ole Miss, 41-9”
Charlotte Athletics · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Charlotte falls to No. 9 Ole Miss, 41-9”
Niner Times · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Jamouri Nichols, a state champion QB at West Charlotte, found a new home at Chambers”
highschoolot.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“GOAL! Allan Saint-Maximin Finds Liel Abada to Put Us Back Level ” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“GOAL! Allan Saint-Maximin Finds Liel Abada to Put Us Back Level | Charlotte FC at FC Cincinnati: September 12, 2026”
Charlotte FC · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards13% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (57%).

This event was in 108 of 821 board posts (13%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Charlotte Athletics Charlotte Athletics Football History vs Appalachian State University Charlotte Football History vs Appalachian State University 7 posts - 5 participants Read fu"
Niner Nation ~ fan take
"Hey guys Im a freshman I never went Charlotte Downtown and I want to explore it with my friends. Idk where to go to any reccomendations? I plan on going with CATS and lightrail."
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take

Board health this week (77 posts): 19% positive · 49% neutral · 32% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

App State
Bullish
+24
Charlotte-App State

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Charlotte is the American Athletic program whose 2013 program founding + 2019 first bowl appearance + Jerry Richardson Stadium define what most-recent-FBS-newcomer-ascent looks like.

Offense: PoorDefense: PoorDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Tim Albin
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Charlotte

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production41%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#104 nationally247 composite 576.8
Portal Additions19Primary repair: TE
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#103Depth class
WRin 4 - Jaden Barnes3.60out 4 - Javen Nicholas3.70Downgrade
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Slot Technician2025 profileReturn threatwins underneath on volume and route precision a house-call threat every time he fields it
Transferred in
OTin 2 - J'ven Williams3.60out 4 - Umar Rockhead3.49Starter Risk
IOLin 2 - Luke Sandy3.50out 4 - Mo Clipper Jr.3.50Starter Risk
current room: 303 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Khamani Alexander3.49out 3 - Don Chaney Jr.3.60Even
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 2 - Devin Ancrum3.50out 2 - Xavier Miles3.49Even
current room: 265 lbs avg (2025 roster)
TEin 2 - Lane Wadle3.40out 1 - Jake Young1.00Upgrade
current room: 252 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Complete TE2025 profileshows up in the passing game from any alignment
Full roster (112 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Charlotte

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    WR out for season with knee injury

    Brazzell was already thin depth at receiver — losing a rookie to a knee before he plays a snap tightens a room that couldn't afford it at a program already sliding in SP+.

    Jul 30Reported
  2. Coaching

    Coach suspended with pay

    Tim Albin suspended with pay at a program already sliding in SP+ and leaning on a #103 class to patch IOL depth — this isn't a good look when the roster can't afford front-office noise right now.

    Aug 22Reported
  3. Coaching

    Win total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 12d after "Coach suspended with pay"

    The market hasn't budged since "Coach suspended with pay" broke on 2026-08-22 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.

    Sep 3
  4. Coaching

    Win total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 11d after "Coach suspended with pay"

    The market hasn't budged since "Coach suspended with pay" broke on 2026-08-22 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.

    Sep 2
  5. Coaching

    Win total (line at 2.5) still unmoved 10d after "Coach suspended with pay"

    The market hasn't budged since "Coach suspended with pay" broke on 2026-08-22 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.

    Sep 1
  6. Coaching

    Win total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "Coach suspended with pay"

    It's been 9d since "Coach suspended with pay" and the line hasn't moved. Worth checking again in a few days to see if the books are just slow.

    Aug 31
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-2.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: -14.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
EDGE
-7.0
starter risk
TE
+5.7
LB
-4.5
starter risk
OT
-4.3
starter risk
IOL
-4.2
starter risk
LS
+3.0
low confidence
WR
-2.5
DL
+2.4
K
-1.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
RB
-0.6
S
-0.3
CB
-0.1
QB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jaylen White
QB · Clearwater, FL
#1211 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Colin Bussey
EDGE · Douglasville, GA
#1523 national
★★★☆☆
Cody Taylor
IOL · Greenwood, AR
#1566 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

27
GA · 9MS · 3NC · 3AR · 2FL · 2SC · 2AZ · 1IN · 1+4 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

81 signees across 21 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI2NYMA1ORNVWYSDIAILIN1OH2PA2NJCTCA2UTCO1NEMOKYWVVA3MD8DERIAZ1NMKS1AR2TN1NC8SC4DCOK1LA1MS8ALGA17AKHITX5FL10
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Charlotte player grew up 321 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

64th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%159–530 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi19%20 of 103 players
Farthest2,113 miLuke McNulty · Pasadena, CA
Closest5 miIsaiah Bullerdick · Harrisburg, NC

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Jerry Richardson Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 103 of 112 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns NC · 2026 roster

20% of the Charlotte roster grew up in NC.

21 of 106 players, drawn from 27 states in all. That is the 105th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 10% of the last 4 classes were from NC, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 10 points back toward home.

GA · 21NC · 21FL · 11MS · 7SC · 6MD · 4TX · 4OH · 3+19 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

106 players across 27 states. Biggest pull outside NC: GA (21).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MI2NY1MA2ORNVWYSDIAIL2IN2OH3PA1NJCTCA1UTCO2NE2MOKY1WVVA2MD4DE1RIAZ1NMKSAR2TN2NC21SC6DC1OKLA1MS7AL2GA21AKHITX4FL11
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] USF Defeats Charlotte 54-26
503 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Postgame Thread] Army Defeats Charlotte 24-7
51 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] Charlotte @ USF (7:00 PM ET)
50 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 40% never transferred. F
See the class →
Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
39th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
1.5
Vegas O/U wins
(0th among FBS)
Fans 39pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The penalty battle is a wash: 13 penalties committed vs. 9 drawn on opponents.

74 penalty yards committed vs. 62 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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