The Index

Four offseason signals — fan confidence, market expectations, portal balance, recruiting class — composited into one score per program. Not a power ranking. A momentum board.

SMU

Leads the board — strongest in portal balance

+69 pts

Boston College

Fans rank Boston College 69 percentile points higher than Vegas does this offseason

6/13

Mid-American

Programs in the top third of The Index — most of any conference

Fan belief 30% Market expectation 30% Portal balance 25% Recruiting class 15% ■ Top third ■ Bottom third

#	Program	Score	Fan belief	Market	Portal	Recruiting
1	SMU ACC	84	81	87	88	78
2	UL Monroe Sun Belt	80	99	—	95	17
3	Houston Big 12	79	95	70	80	63
4	Indiana Big Ten	79	52	97	96	66
5	Missouri State Conference USA	78	97	—	100	4
6	Marshall Sun Belt	76	96	—	91	13
7	Memphis American Athletic	76	84	80	74	57
8	Texas SEC	76	66	96	50	100
9	Buffalo Mid-American	74	86	—	83	34
10	Georgia State Sun Belt	72	99	—	53	52
11	Texas Tech Big 12	72	29	99	94	66
12	Western Kentucky Conference USA	72	98	—	64	31
13	Ball State Mid-American	71	77	—	97	14
14	Virginia Tech ACC	71	70	55	92	72
15	Iowa Big Ten	70	58	61	93	73
16	Delaware Conference USA	69	78	—	98	3
17	UTEP Mountain West	68	94	—	49	50
18	Liberty Conference USA	67	74▲	—	76	38
19	Miami (OH) Mid-American	67	89	—	58	40
20	Toledo Mid-American	67	88	—	55	47
21	Akron Mid-American	66	93▲	—	69	7
22	Fresno State Pac-12	66	67	—	90	26
23	Massachusetts Mid-American	66	83	—	84	1
24	San Diego State Pac-12	66	80	—	63	44
25	Kansas State Big 12	65	65	77	45	75
26	LSU SEC	65	4	90	93	93
27	Louisville ACC	65	47	78	78	51
28	Notre Dame FBS Independents	65	69	100	3	92
29	Rice American Athletic	65	82	—	66	28
30	Utah Big 12	64	76	86	20	72
31	Georgia SEC	63	49	88	29	99
32	Nebraska Big Ten	63	61	45	73	85
33	Ole Miss SEC	63	20	81	77	89
34	Temple American Athletic	62	80	—	72	11
35	Arizona State Big 12	60	58	38	85	69
36	Coastal Carolina Sun Belt	60	85	—	47	34
37	Colorado State Pac-12	60	90	—	47	23
38	East Carolina American Athletic	60	100	—	21	45
39	Texas A&M SEC	60	24	83	57	94
40	Florida SEC	59	66	59	28	96
41	Middle Tennessee Conference USA	59	74	—	58	29
42	Tulsa American Athletic	59	93▲	—	42	21
43	Virginia ACC	59	28	67	87	58
44	Kentucky SEC	58	69	12	86	80
45	Mississippi State SEC	58	73	26	65	80
46	South Carolina SEC	58	34	46	82	88
47	James Madison Sun Belt	57	72	—	61	22
48	New Mexico State Conference USA	57	91	—	45	9
49	Northwestern Big Ten	57	53	29	99	53
50	App State Sun Belt	56	96	—	31	16
51	Baylor Big 12	56	48	35	82	74
52	Duke ACC	56	71	42	43	79
53	Hawai'i Mountain West	56	43	—	99	10
54	Penn State Big Ten	56	17	94	36	90
55	Southern Miss Sun Belt	56	64	—	66	24
56	Arizona Big 12	55	64	57	36	64
57	Minnesota Big Ten	55	51	25	89	65
58	Ohio State Big Ten	55	25	91	23	98
59	Wyoming Mountain West	55	55	—	67	36
60	Oregon Big Ten	54	28	93	12	97
61	USC Big Ten	54	50	84	1	91
62	Georgia Southern Sun Belt	53	37	—	80	42
63	Miami ACC	53	60	—	23	91
64	San José State Mountain West	53	91	—	31	15
65	Tennessee SEC	53	42	65	28	93
66	Wake Forest ACC	53	61	36	64	55
67	New Mexico Mountain West	52	45	—	91	0
68	North Texas American Athletic	51	88	—	27	19
69	Tulane American Athletic	51	68	—	32	47
70	BYU Big 12	50	55	74	9	61
71	Missouri SEC	50	8▼	54	74	86
72	Troy Sun Belt	50	87▼	—	12	41
73	Wisconsin Big Ten	49	9	51	77	81
74	Auburn SEC	48	45	39	33	95
75	Sam Houston Conference USA	48	63	—	52	12
76	NC State ACC	47	18	43	69	76
77	North Carolina ACC	47	62	28	38	71
78	Florida Atlantic American Athletic	46	59	—	34	39
79	Louisiana Sun Belt	46	82▼	—	4	42
80	Oklahoma State Big 12	46	36	14	85	62
81	Utah State Pac-12	46	15	—	88	37
82	Washington State Pac-12	46	35	—	56	49
83	Alabama SEC	45	14	72	19	99
84	UCLA Big Ten	45	23	49	55	67
85	West Virginia Big 12	45	34	33	60	69
86	California ACC	44	21	41	71	50
87	Illinois Big Ten	44	27	52	39	68
88	Jacksonville State Conference USA	44	13	—	96	20
89	Kansas Big 12	44	41	22	72	48
90	Cincinnati Big 12	43	54	19	50	56
91	Colorado Big 12	43	53	7	54	74
92	South Alabama Sun Belt	43	92	—	2	15
93	Oklahoma SEC	42	22	64	13	88
94	Oregon State Pac-12	42	57	—	17	54
95	South Florida American Athletic	42	31▼	—	48	53
96	TCU Big 12	42	33	48	22	83
97	Eastern Michigan Mid-American	41	75	—	6	30
98	Pittsburgh ACC	41	20	71	16	64
99	Louisiana Tech Sun Belt	40	77	—	7	20
100	Michigan Big Ten	40	7	62	18	96
101	Ohio Mid-American	40	56	—	39	12
102	Boise State Pac-12	39	23	75	5	55
103	Boston College ACC	39	72	3	30	58
104	North Dakota State Mountain West	39	85	—	4	4
105	Rutgers Big Ten	39	26	0	79	77
106	UNLV Mountain West	39	12▼	—	75	31
107	Clemson ACC	38	6▼	58	26	82
108	Navy American Athletic	38	79	—	8	5
109	Washington Big Ten	38	9▼	68	11	84
110	Kennesaw State Conference USA	37	19▼	—	81	1
111	UTSA American Athletic	37	47	—	34	23
112	Arkansas SEC	35	31	6	51	77
113	Maryland Big Ten	35	32▼	23	25	82
114	Bowling Green Mid-American	33	50	—	14	32
115	UConn FBS Independents	33	12▼	—	68	18
116	Vanderbilt SEC	33	40	32	20	45
117	Charlotte American Athletic	32	39	—	42	2
118	Army American Athletic	31	36	—	41	6
119	Georgia Tech ACC	31	7▼	9	53	85
120	Purdue Big Ten	31	38	1	59	28
121	Arkansas State Sun Belt	30	10▼	—	44	46
122	Iowa State Big 12	30	44	10	18	61
123	Michigan State Big Ten	30	39	13	24	59
124	Syracuse ACC	30	16	17	40	70
125	UCF Big 12	30	18	30	35	43
126	Texas State Pac-12	29	3▼	—	61	27
127	Western Michigan Mid-American	29	4▼	—	62	25
128	Sacramento State Mid-American	27	11▼	16	70	8
129	Northern Illinois Mountain West	26	42	—	0	39
130	Stanford ACC	26	46	4	9	60
131	Florida International Conference USA	24	30	—	10	35
132	Florida State ACC	23	1▼	20	15	87
133	Air Force Mountain West	22	26	—	26	7
134	Nevada Mountain West	21	1▼	—	37	36
135	UAB American Athletic	20	5▼	—	46	9
136	Old Dominion Sun Belt	17	15	—	15	26
137	Kent State Mid-American	10	2▼	—	7	33
138	Central Michigan Mid-American	4	0▼	—	1	18

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~ our read. Fan belief from r/cfb discourse analysis (CardiffNLP sentiment, percentile-ranked within FBS). Market = current median win total across major books. Portal balance = net talent-point delta from transfer activity. Recruiting = 2025 247Sports composite class rating. All dimensions normalized to 0–100 percentile rank within FBS. Composite = weight-renormalized mean of available signals. Conference labels reflect 2024–25 realignment. ▲▼ on fan belief = movement vs. prior week.