Kansas

1-1

Big 12 · Lance Leipold, year 6 (28-36) · Memorial Stadium · 47,000 · 31,452 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#75 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #41 (+7.5) · FPI #62
The marketArizona State by 5.5vs Arizona State · our model 33% Kansas · a number, not a pick

LastL 21–38 vs Missouri · Fri Sep 11 · Nik McMillan 52 rec yds, 1 TD

Nextvs Arizona State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Wembley Stadium · Arizona State by 5.5 · series 0-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Kansas · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#87#178-44.5Long Island UniversityW 51–6 1291-00-0
2Sep 12#85#42+4MissouriL 21–38 1381-10-0
3Sep 19#77#46+5.5Arizona State (N)
5Oct 3Middle Tennessee
6Oct 10@Utah
7Oct 17@Kansas State
8Oct 24Baylor
9Oct 31@TCU
10Nov 7UCF
11Nov 14@West Virginia
12Nov 21BYU
13Nov 28@Oklahoma State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12MissouriL 21–38255328:39+0.13429.9%179.1%
Sep 5Long Island UniversityW 51–6613133:06+0.56959.0%129.9%
Season average (2 games)4342.0+0.35144.4%154.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Kansas is a basketball cathedral that, for a few Jalon Daniels seasons, made football matter in Lawrence — every win a bonus on top of a banner-filled gym that never needed the gridiron at all.

Standard GapA program with one of the worst football histories in the Power conferen…

Fans are tired of being told their school only cares from November to March — that football is a hobby in a basketball town. They point at the Orange Bowl banner and the Leipold revival and ask to be…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 16 in the Big 12
Heart rate1-2rarely closein one-score games (3 of 12)14th most one-score games of 16 in the Big 12
Margin+1.3competitiveavg scoring margin10th best margin of 16 in the Big 12
Tempo64methodicaloffensive plays / game13th fastest of 16 in the Big 12
Big plays1.17grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)16th most explosive of 16 in the Big 12
Home crowd39,137avg attendance14th biggest crowds of 16 in the Big 12

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big 12 teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Kansas has won one of its last five.

Cold. 3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
I’ve seen Jaden practice and I know what it’s looked like. It didn’t really look like that today. I’m sure North Carolina had something to do with that…we just didn’t give ourselves a chance
Dykes · Heartland College Sports7 days before Kansas's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Arizona State · neutral site

Season line5.5 winsover +114
StrongMethodical, ball-controlPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 5.5
CFP championship#45 in field+50000
Big 12 title#11 in market+5000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Kansas · the story right now 5 storylines developing

What Kansas's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Kansas enters 2025 at No. 58 in SP+ — the 8-spot drop from 2024 puts Leipold’s progress under the microscope after back-to-back losing records.

what happenedKansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Boden Groen is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Emmanuel Henderson Jr. is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Leshon Williams gets LESS work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict -- not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Leshon Williams: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downKansas's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downKansas's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Kansas · 2026

Kansas' most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Kansas · Season outlook Confidence

Kansas enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Kansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 11% volume
The saga so far~2 months old
2 weeks agoKansas releases first depth chart — Reported
Jul 27Melvin Council Jr. sues NCAA for extra year — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Kansas enters 2025 at No. 58 in SP+ — the 8-spot drop from 2024 puts Leipold’s progress under the microscope after back-to-back losing records.
Source of record: Kansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Monday Night Football Best Bets: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs”
Sports Gambling Podcast · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Mizzou football news conference after win at Kansas”
ABC17NEWS · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Snap counts, PFF grades for Missouri football Border War win over KU”
Columbia Daily Tribune · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Kansas Football PROBLEMS & POSITIVES from Missouri Loss: Top Tak” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Kansas Football PROBLEMS & POSITIVES from Missouri Loss: Top Takeaways from Jayhawks Week 2”
localmemphis.com · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“WSU's offensive struggles come into focus after loss to Kansas State”
The Seattle Times · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
💬The boards11% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 213 of 1989 board posts (11%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"So about the video, how did that work out? If it harkened back to bleeding Kansas days wasn't Drink correct in addressing it?"
r/jayhawks ~ fan take
"I feel like in that scenario, they could base the hype narrative around their actual football team."
r/jayhawks ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-3 vs Lindenwood (Wk 1)L 17-23 vs Illinois (Wk 2)L 20-23 vs UNLV (Wk 3)L 28-32 vs West Virginia (Wk 4)L 27-38 vs TCU (Wk 5)L 31-35 vs Arizona State (Wk 6)W 42-14 vs Houston (Wk 8)L 27-29 vs Kansas State (Wk 9)W 45-36 vs Iowa State (Wk 11)W 17-13 vs BYU (Wk 12)W 37-21 vs Colorado (Wk 13)L 17-45 vs Baylor (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-17 vs Missouri State (Wk 1)W 34-23 vs Illinois (Wk 2)W 31-24 vs Nevada (Wk 3)W 38-27 vs BYU (Wk 4)L 14-40 vs Texas (Wk 5)W 51-22 vs UCF (Wk 6)L 32-39 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 7)W 38-33 vs Oklahoma (Wk 9)W 28-21 vs Iowa State (Wk 10)L 13-16 vs Texas Tech (Wk 11)L 27-31 vs Kansas State (Wk 12)W 49-16 vs Cincinnati (Wk 13)W 49-36 vs UNLV (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 56-10 vs Tennessee Tech (Wk 1)W 55-42 vs West Virginia (Wk 2)W 48-30 vs Houston (Wk 3)W 35-27 vs Duke (Wk 4)W 14-11 vs Iowa State (Wk 5)L 31-38 vs TCU (Wk 6)L 42-52 vs Oklahoma (Wk 7)L 23-35 vs Baylor (Wk 8)W 37-16 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 10)L 28-43 vs Texas Tech (Wk 11)L 14-55 vs Texas (Wk 12)L 27-47 vs Kansas State (Wk 13)L 53-55 vs Arkansas (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 17-14 vs South Dakota (Wk 1)L 14-41 vs Texas Tech (Wk 7)L 23-35 vs Oklahoma (Wk 8)L 3-55 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 9)W 57-56 vs Texas (Wk 11)L 28-34 vs West Virginia (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWk 38Wk 4477th8th
2024 season · 5W-7L2023 season · 9W-4L2022 season · 6W-7L2021 season · 2W-10L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons

Rival pulse

Kansas State
Mixed
+2
Sunflower Showdown
Missouri
Uneasy
-14
Border War

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Kansas is the basketball school whose Lance Leipold rebuild from 1-11 to bowl games + Jalon Daniels Heisman buzz reset what historic-football-disappointment can become.

Offense: StrongTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Poor
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Kansas

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production18%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#62 nationally247 composite 684.5
Portal Additions31Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses26Primary pressure: EDGE
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#61Depth class
LBin 5 - Landyn Watson3.60out 5 - Trey Lathan3.60Even
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2025 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
Third program
Sin 4 - Corey Gordon3.60out 5 - Lyrik Rawls3.60Even
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
RBin 3 - Dylan Edwards3.80out 2 - Harry Stewart III3.49Even
current room: 213 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2024 profilewins in space out of the backfield
IOLin 3 - Connor Stroh3.70out 2 - Tyler Mercer3.50Upgrade
current room: 310 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Roman Pearson3.50out 3 - Aundre Gibson3.50Downgrade
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Centerfielder2025 profileerases the deep middle of the field
Transferred in
DLin 4 - Jibriel Conde3.60out 0Need Filled
current room: 296 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (115 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Kansas

4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Melvin Council Jr. sues NCAA for extra year

    Council lost two EDGE contributors to the draft and ranks 61st in class — a lawsuit buying one more year at that spot isn't a minor procedural move, it's Leipold's most realistic fix for a position the depth chart can't paper over.

    Jul 27Reported
  2. News

    Kansas releases first depth chart

    Depth chart drops with two EDGE contributors already gone and a class ranked 61st nationally — Leipold's pressure-spot rebuild gets its first real stress test before LIU even kicks off.

    Aug 31Reported
  3. News

    Drinkwitz criticizes KU hype video

    Drinkwitz picking a public fight with Kansas over a hype video is the kind of distraction that lands differently when your own program is the one with SP+ concerns and a #61 class trying to replace two drafted EDGEs.

    Sep 12Reported
  4. Recruiting

    Javon Bardwell decommits from Kansas

    Two EDGE contributors already gone and a #61 class behind them — Bardwell walking back his commitment is the last thing Leipold needed at a position already running thin.

    Aug 12Official
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +20.3 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
DL
+14.3
need filled
EDGE
-7.1
starter risk
RB
+4.0
IOL
+3.8
TE
+3.6
K
+3.5
low confidence
CB
-3.4
LS
+2.0
low confidence
S
-0.9
LB
+0.2
WR
+0.1
OT
+0.1
QB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Kaden Snyder
OT · Salina, KS
#379 national
★★★☆☆
Kory Amachree
RB · Haslett, MI
#586 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Hunter Higgins
EDGE · Wichita, KS
#665 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

18
KS · 7IN · 2MO · 2OK · 2TX · 2CA · 1IA · 1MI · 1

KS leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

67 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. KS leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WIMI4NYMAORNVWYSDIA5IL1IN3OHPANJCTCA6UTCO1NE1MO2KYWVVAMDDERIAZ6NMKS14ARTNNCSCDCOK6LAMSALGA2AKHITX11FL4
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 14.0% of every high-school FBS signee KS produced over those cycles — second only to Kansas State, 11 signees back. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Kansas player grew up 448 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

28th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%143–713 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi18%20 of 111 players
Farthest3,800 miTavake Tuikolovatu · Wailuku, HI
Closest1 miCalvin Clements · Lawrence, KS

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Memorial Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 111 of 115 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns KS · 2026 roster

28% of the Kansas roster grew up in KS.

32 of 114 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 77th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

KS · 32TX · 12FL · 9MI · 7MO · 5OK · 5AZ · 4IA · 4+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

114 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside KS: TX (12).

MEVTNHWAID1MTNDMN2WIMI7NY2MA1ORNV1WYSDIA4IL4IN4OH1PANJ1CTCA2UTCONE2MO5KYWVVA1MDDERIAZ4NMKS32AR1TN2NC3SCDCOK5LA1MS1AL2GA3AKHI1TX12FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Kansas Defeats UCF 27-20
269 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] Kansas @ UCF (7:30 PM ET)
37 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 44% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

41st percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
41st
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
Fans 15pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 2 books
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

60% recovery rate on their own fumbles — well above the ~54% league baseline.

3 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves; 2 of 5 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

17 penalties committed, 13 drawn on opponents — ceding 33 yards of field position.

149 penalty yards committed vs. 116 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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