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Team seasons
78 stories · November 4, 2026
The Arguments
— Machine-found, from real reporting
Team seasons
— Machine-assembled, from the season's real beats
Sagas
— Written by our model, chapter by chapter
Navy
Market moves
22.2
▲ 20.3
Brian Newberry's 4th season opens with a 11-2 record and a 1.0 win total jump, but Navy's #138 talent rank and uneasy fan belief signal tension ahead.
Read the story →
Answered
— the question resolved.
Replaced
— a newer question took over.
All
Coaching
Market moves
Program outlook
Recruiting
Coordinators
Massachusetts
Market moves
4.3
▲ 3.9
Joe Harasymiak enters his second season with a 0-12 losing record to overcome, as UMass fights to prove it belongs in the MAC conversation with #128 talent.
Answered
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FBS-wide
Coordinators
The coordinator carousel: 18 changes across FBS this cycle.
See the coordinator board →
Virginia
Program outlook
No. 31
SP+
Virginia leaped 60 spots in SP+ — the 11-3 record and #20 AP finish suggest momentum, but the #62 talent rank raises questions about sustaining success under Tony Elliott's fourth season.
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Oklahoma
Program outlook
No. 14
SP+
Oklahoma jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Brent Venables has to answer in Big 12 this year.
Replaced
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Air Force
Market moves
7.5
▲ 1
Troy Calhoun enters his 10th season with a 4-8 losing record, facing the challenge of elevating Air Force's program identity beyond its current lower-tier FBS standing.
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Baylor
Market moves
7.5
▲ 1
Dave Aranda enters his sixth season at Baylor with a 5-7 losing record and a talent rank of #35, raising questions about sustaining the program's identity amid a win total.
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Mississippi State
Market moves
4.5
▼ 3
Jeff Lebby's third season begins with a 5-8 losing record and a 1.0 win total jump — the program's patience is tested as bowl eligibility nears but results remain elusive.
Answered
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LSU
Program outlook
Lane Kiffin begins his first season at LSU with a 7-6 record and an uneasy fanbase, as the program reshapes itself under new leadership and a different vision for the night.
Replaced
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BYU
Program outlook
Top 16%
3-yr power rating
Sitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its title era, but the market projects just 8.5 wins this season.
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Jacksonville State
Market moves
23.4
▲ 5.2
Charles Kelly's 9-5 season raises questions about sustaining momentum as Jacksonville State's #93 talent rank and uneasy fanbase watch the CUSA championship odds climb.
Answered
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East Carolina
Market moves
6.1
▼ 5
Blake Harrell's 9-4 season raises the question of whether East Carolina can sustain its upward trajectory with a #83 talent rank and a win total that dipped slightly.
Answered
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Marshall
Market moves
0.4
▼ 7.9
Tony Gibson's 5-7 losing record and Marshall's #97 talent rank create tension — can a middle-tier program revive its 'We Are Marshall' legacy with this roster?
Answered
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Army
Market moves
5.3
▼ 7.2
Jeff Monken's 13th season opens with a 7-6 record and a 0.1-point win total rise, signaling cautious optimism for Army's triple-option offense amid a #136 talent rank challenge.
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Ohio
Market moves
18.2
▲ 5.7
John Hauser begins his tenure with a 9-4 record and a #129 talent rank, signaling a rebuild at a program defined by its historic roots and recent MAC championship odds shift.
Replaced
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Central Michigan
Program outlook
Matt Drinkall's 7-6 debut season marks the start of a new era for Central Michigan, which last won MAC titles in 2009 under Brian Kelly and Butch Jones.
Answered
Read the story →
Delaware
Market moves
2.9
▼ 9.6
Ryan Carty's 7-6 record and Delaware's #134 talent rank highlight a program struggling to match its historic legacy in its second FBS season.
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UAB
Coaching
Mortensen inherits a 4-8 roster and 73% returning production — UAB’s third coach in five years faces the challenge of stabilizing a program defined by cycles of collapse and revival.
Replaced
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Vanderbilt
Program outlook
No. 11
SP+
Vanderbilt leaped 39 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Clark Lea has to answer in the SEC this year.
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Western Michigan
Program outlook
No. 78
SP+
Western Michigan jumped 27 spots in SP+ — the 10-4 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 2025 SP+ rating, raising questions about sustainability under Lance Taylor.
Replaced
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NC State
Market moves
6.5
▼ 1
Doeren's 8-5 season feels like a step back for a program that thrives on QB production and fan passion, now facing a solo market dip.
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Michigan
Market moves
8.5
▲ 2
Kyle Whittingham begins his tenure at Michigan with a 9-4 record and a 7.5-win market projection, but fan optimism outpaces the team's current trajectory.
Replaced
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North Texas
Coaching
Neal Brown, who led West Virginia to a 12-2 season, inherits a 2% production returning roster at North Texas — the program's third coach in five years, and the fanbase.
Replaced
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Georgia Southern
Program outlook
No. 103
SP+
Georgia Southern dropped 27 spots in SP+ — the 7-6 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 2025 ranking, raising questions about Clay Helton’s ability to sustain momentum in the Sun Belt.
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Miami (OH)
Program outlook
No. 82
SP+
Miami (OH) dropped 14 spots in SP+ — the 7-7 record and #87 talent rank reveal a gap between expectations and execution, challenging Chuck Martin to restore the 'Cradle of.
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North Carolina
Program outlook
No. 91
SP+
North Carolina collapsed 42 spots in SP+ — the bottom-quintile returning production and 4-8 record raise one question: can Bill Belichick turn a 138-year football experiment into something more than a footnote?
Answered
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Alabama
Program outlook
Kalen DeBoer's third season at Alabama begins with an uneasy fanbase, despite an 11-4 record and a program that remains the standard by which college football measures itself.
Replaced
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Ole Miss
Program outlook
Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 winning record, but an off-field feud and uneasy fan belief signal tension beneath the program's SEC success.
Answered
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Texas
Market moves
Steve Sarkisian's sixth season at Texas begins with a #2 talent rank, but a 10-3 record and uneasy fan belief signal tension between promise and pressure.
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Washington
Program outlook
Top 25%
3-yr power rating
Washington has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first season outside the top-15% tier raises the question of whether Jedd Fisch's second year can stabilize a program that fell from.
Answered
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Texas Tech
Program outlook
Top 15%
3-yr power rating
Texas Tech has reached elite-tier consistency — the program's peak power-rating run in four years raises the question of whether McGuire's fourth season can hold the top-12% SP+ with a 10.5-win market projection.
Replaced
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Arkansas State
Program outlook
No. 100
SP+
Arkansas State enters 2026 — the 7-6 record and #88 talent rank signal a rare upward trajectory, yet the program's identity as a historic Sun Belt dynasty remains unproven in.
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South Carolina
Program outlook
No. 49
SP+
South Carolina collapsed 35 spots in SP+ — the 4-8 record and lack of returning production raise one question: can Shane Beamer reverse the slide before the program’s next 11-win season?
Replaced
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Syracuse
Program outlook
No. 115
SP+
Syracuse collapsed 70 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record and bottom-quintile returning production raise one question: can Fran Brown’s second season salvage the historic-northeast-football identity before it fades?
Answered
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Texas A&M
Market moves
Mike Elko's third season at Texas A&M begins with a 11-2 record and #7 talent rank, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the program waits to fulfill its cathedral-sized promise.
Answered
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Washington State
Program outlook
Jimmy Rogers begins his tenure at Washington State with a 7-6 record, anchoring a program defined by its Pac-12-collapse holdout identity and remote Pullman legacy.
Replaced
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USC
Market moves
7.1
▲ 5.1
Lincoln Riley's fifth season at USC begins with a 9-4 record and a #9 talent rank, but the Big Ten championship odds have lengthened, signaling market skepticism about sustaining elite performance.
Answered
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Clemson
Program outlook
Dabo Swinney's 11th season at Clemson begins with a 7-6 record and an uneasy fanbase questioning whether the playoff path shift can sustain a national power's legacy.
Replaced
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Georgia State
Program outlook
Dell McGee begins his second season at Georgia State with a 1-11 losing record, raising questions about whether the program's identity as an Atlanta-FBS-newcomer-football standard-bearer can be redefined.
Replaced
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Boston College
Program outlook
No. 97
SP+
Boston College dropped 27 spots in SP+ — the 2-10 record and lack of returning production raise questions about whether the program can reclaim its identity as a Catholic-Northeast football standard-bearer under Bill O'B
Answered
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California
Coaching
Lupoi inherits a 7-6 program with 22% production returning and a talent rank of #36 — the Bay Area’s football identity hangs in the balance as the ACC transition deepens.
Replaced
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Fresno State
Program outlook
No. 66
SP+
Fresno State jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and bottom-quintile returning production create a split screen between momentum and the rebuilding challenge under Matt Entz.
Answered
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Auburn
Program outlook
Auburn's 5-7 losing record and SEC West scheduling challenges test Golesh's ability to stabilize a program that hasn't cracked the top 20 in the AP since 2021.
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Colorado
Program outlook
Deion Sanders inherits a 3-9 losing record and a program mired in off-field tensions, raising questions about whether Colorado's 1990s glory can be revived under his fourth season at the helm.
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Georgia
Market moves
47.6
▼ 50.4
Kirby Smart's 9th season opens with a 12-2 record and #1 talent, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the market projects 10 wins despite rising expectations.
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South Florida
Coaching
Hartline, who led Ohio State to a national title, inherits a 9-4 South Florida roster with 100% production returning — the third coach in five years faces the challenge of.
Replaced
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Miami
Recruiting
No. 9
With Jackson Cantwell (OT, #4 nationally) arriving, Cristobal's top-9 class faces extreme rebuild — 9 NFL exits and 6% QB production returning as Miami redefines its legacy amid near-total roster turnover.
Answered
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Notre Dame
Recruiting
No. 5
Rodney Dunham (EDGE, #12 nationally) arrives as Marcus Freeman's best class in five years — but with 6% QB production returning, the question lingers over a program that knows what.
Replaced
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Ohio State
Recruiting
No. 4
With Chris Henry Jr. (WR, #10 nationally) arriving, Ohio State's fifth straight top-5 class faces a rival Michigan with a top-12 haul — a program that still must prove it.
Replaced
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Oregon
Recruiting
No. 3
With Immanuel Iheanacho (#16 nationally, IOL) arriving, Oregon's third straight top-5 class faces the challenge of rebuilding nearly everything after seven NFL exits and a rival, Washington, signed a top-13 class.
Replaced
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Oklahoma State
Market moves
8.5
▲ 3
Mike Gundy's 10th season opens with a 1-11 losing record and a #49 talent rank, raising questions about whether Oklahoma State can cross into bowl eligibility with its current trajectory.
Replaced
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Utah
Program outlook
Top 20%
3-yr power rating
Utah has reached elite-tier consistency — the 23-13 record over three seasons raises the question of whether Kyle Whittingham's 10th year can sustain a top-14% power rating with the market.
Answered
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Iowa
Program outlook
Top 13%
3-yr power rating
Ferentz's 26-11 run has Iowa in dynasty territory for the first time since 2021, but the market's 7.5-win projection suggests skepticism about sustaining that grind.
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UCF
Program outlook
Scott Frost inherits a 5-7 losing record at UCF, a program that once went 13-0 but now faces questions about sustaining its Big 12 ascent.
Answered
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Tennessee
Program outlook
Josh Heupel enters his sixth season at Tennessee with an 8-5 record and an uneasy fanbase questioning whether the program can sustain its upper-tier status after the SEC's recent punishment.
Answered
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Ball State
Program outlook
Mike Uremovich begins his second season at Ball State with a 4-8 losing record and a program that last won a MAC title in 1996, raising questions about whether this.
Answered
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Cincinnati
Program outlook
Scott Satterfield enters his fourth season at Cincinnati, where a 7-6 record and pending $1M lawsuit highlight the tension of proving the Big 12 move was worth it.
Replaced
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Nebraska
Program outlook
Rhule's 4th season opens with a 7-6 record and a fanbase uneasy after Raiola's exit, raising questions about stability in a program still seeking its next national title run.
Replaced
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Kentucky
Program outlook
Will Stein inherits a 5-7 losing record and a program that refuses to leave its football roots, raising questions about whether this uneasy fanbase will embrace his vision.
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Arizona
Market moves
7.5
▼ 1
Brent Brennan's third season opens with Arizona's win total projected at 7.5, a drop from 8.5, raising questions about sustaining the program's recent upward trajectory.
Answered
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Louisiana
Program outlook
Louisiana's 6-7 losing record this season marks a stark contrast to the 2018-2021 Napier era, raising questions about sustaining the Cajun Field identity under Desormeaux's fifth season.
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UCLA
Program outlook
Bob Chesney inherits a 3-9 losing record at UCLA, where patience with the program's alumni legacy clashes with the urgency of a new Big Ten era.
Replaced
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Southern Miss
Program outlook
Southern Miss, under Blake Anderson's first season, faces the challenge of reviving a program defined by its historic 1988-2010 winning streak, now 7-6 after a reshaped season.
Replaced
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Florida
Program outlook
Top 20%
3-yr power rating
Florida has reached elite-tier consistency — a 4-8 losing record last season contradicts its top-14% power rating, raising questions about whether Sumrall’s first year can bridge the gap between sustained excellence and
Replaced
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Arkansas
Program outlook
Silverfield, who previously coached at Memphis, inherits a 2-10 losing record and a program with no in-state rival, raising questions about his ability to unify a fractured fanbase.
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Penn State
Program outlook
Matt Campbell begins his tenure at Penn State, inheriting a 7-6 record and a program that must redefine its identity without its legacy-builder.
Replaced
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Arizona State
Program outlook
Kenny Dillingham's 4th season opens with an 8-5 record and a #24 AP finish, but the fanbase remains uneasy as Arizona State navigates its identity shift in the Big 12.
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Louisville
Program outlook
Jeff Brohm enters his fourth season at Louisville, inheriting a 9-4 record but facing the challenge of shifting the fanbase's identity beyond Lamar Jackson's legacy.
Answered
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TCU
Program outlook
Sonny Dykes enters his fifth season with a 9-4 record, but TCU's fanbase remains uneasy as the program's identity shifts amid lingering questions about sustaining 2022's national title-game run.
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Virginia Tech
Coaching
Franklin, who led Penn State to a national title, inherits a 3-9 roster and 50% returning production — Virginia Tech's identity as a program with a 1999 hangover hangs in the balance.
Replaced
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Tulane
Coaching
Will Hall, who led Southern Miss to an 11-3 season and a #17 AP ranking, inherits a 15% production roster at Tulane — the program's third head coach in five.
Answered
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Oregon State
Coaching
JaMarcus Shephard inherits a 2-10 roster and a program identity built on survival — the third head coach in five years faces the challenge of proving Oregon State can still.
Answered
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Michigan State
Coaching
Fitzgerald, who led Northwestern to a 9-4 record, inherits a 4-8 roster at Michigan State — the program that beat Michigan when nobody else thought to, now tasked with steadying.
Answered
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Stanford
Coaching
Tavita Pritchard inherits a 4-8 roster and a program that hasn't won a conference title since 2013 — the admissions office identity clashes with a rebuild demanding results, not just tradition.
Replaced
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West Virginia
Recruiting
No. 25
Rich Rodriguez's first class at West Virginia is the program's highest-ranked haul since 2022 — but with 16% QB production returning, it's the most extreme rebuild in a state where.
Answered
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North Dakota State
Program outlook
North Dakota State's 12-1 record marks its first winning season in FBS, but the program's FCS legacy raises questions about whether its identity can translate beyond the Fargodome dynasty.
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Kent State
Program outlook
Mark Carney's 5-7 turnaround capped by reclaiming the Wagon Wheel from Akron offers a rare spark for a program mired in a 1-23 slide across 2023-2024.
Answered
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UNLV
Program outlook
Dan Mullen begins his first season at UNLV with a 10-4 record under Barry Odom, but the fanbase remains uneasy as the program navigates its evolving identity in Las Vegas.
Answered
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