BYU's 26-11 run sparks dynasty talk, but CFP rankings remain low
- 1 new takes in the last 7 days
- Coverage leans bullish, with real dissent
- Win total 10.5 — line up since open
- Sitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its ti…
How it developed newest first
6 days ago
Big 12 addresses UCF fan chants at BYU.
Why it mattersKalani Sitake enters his 11th season with a 12-2 record, but the program's uneasy fan belief state and Big 12 competition test whether sustained success can continue under his leadership.
2 weeks ago
Judge grants injunction for fifth year eligibility.
Why it mattersKalani Sitake enters his 11th season with a 12-2 record and a #12 AP finish, but unease lingers as an outside ruling reshapes the program's trajectory.
2 weeks ago
BYU Big 12 championship odds shortened — implied probability moved from 14.3% to 25.0% (+10.7pp) between Oct 15 and Oct 16, 2026 (tier B).
win total up 0.1 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction
Why it mattersKalani Sitake's 11th season begins with a 12-2 record and a drop in Big 12 championship odds, signaling unease amid a #59 talent rank and a program that hasn't won.
Kelly Poppinga replaced Jay Hill as BYU's defensive coordinator.
Why it mattersKalani Sitake enters his 8th season with a 12-2 record and a national title legacy, balancing BYU's religious identity and Big 12 ambitions as coordinator changes reshape key units.
BYU signed a top-21 recruiting class.
a top-2 recruiting class in the Big 12
Why it mattersRyder Lyons (#38 QB) joins a program with 93% QB production returning and a 12-2 record — Kalani Sitake’s class is an addition, not a rescue, to a core already built for sustained success.
BYU has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 16% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 33% a year ago.
a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons
Why it mattersSitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its title era, but the market projects just 8.5 wins this season.
BYU enters 2025 rated No. 18 in SP+ (+15.9).
top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back
Why it mattersBYU enters 2025 at No. 18 in SP+ — the 12-2 record under Kalani Sitake raises the question of whether top-quintile returning production can sustain this ceiling.
Watch next
The non-obvious thing to track
BYU's rise in power rating suggests its program is now consistently competing at a level that historically defines dynasty teams, not just having occasional strong seasons. Watch whether BYU's non-conference schedule this season includes enough high-level opponents to sustain its recent success without relying on weak competition.
Our read of the beats above.
Rooms tap to switch
The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.
The 'wait and see' counter: power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.
The range the bull case vs the counter
“BYU lands inside top 10 in the initial CFP rankings reveal”
“Key Takeaways From BYU's Disappointing First CFP Ranking”