The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: No. 13 Texas Tech 18%
Win out 1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Oklahoma State's chance to win each game left, from our model: Kansas State 26%, Texas Tech 18%, Arizona State 48%, Kansas 53%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.
Bowl chance went from 6% to 76%, peaking at 92% before a game
Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.
