cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / JK Johnson /Oklahoma State

JK Johnson

CB · Oklahoma State · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma State → Florida Atlantic for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Florida Atlantic

2025Oklahoma State
2026Florida Atlantic

CB · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

JK Johnson

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • St. Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10690

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#50 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownSt. Louis, MO
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 50 recruit
Composite rating 0.9745 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2021
Origin DeSmet St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9745 No. 50 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida Atlantic 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 12, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma State -> Florida Atlantic 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2025 LSU -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2023 Ohio State -> LSU 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10690Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10555Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.9745

#50 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on JK Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about JK Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
16Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 10.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 14/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

JK Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oklahoma State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10690 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 50 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 11 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-7vs UT Martin110.00.00
Wk 2L 3-69@ Oregon220.00.00
Wk 4L 12-19vs Tulsa110.00.00
Wk 5L 27-45vs Baylor440.00.01
Wk 6L 13-41@ Arizona510.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 12L 6-14vs Kansas State220.00.01
Wk 13L 14-17@ UCF100.00.00
Total16110.00.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2024LSU9-4HC: Brian Kelly · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State16110.00.02----
2024LSU320.00.0------
2022Ohio State110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons20140.00.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g2.00.00.00.5
Road3g2.70.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins1g1.00.00.00.0
Losses6g2.50.00.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.60.00.00.2
Weeks 8+2g1.50.00.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

29Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
JK JohnsonOklahoma StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 56% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 53% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 52% sim
Passes defended
67
Johnson
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
35
Johnson
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Sacks
24
Johnson
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Johnson
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Tackles
21
Johnson
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
Johnson
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dreyden Norwood’s 2023 season.

Dreyden Norwood

88%match

Missouri · 2023

#2

Noah Avinger

San Diego State · 2021

86%
#3

Jamorri Colson

Washington State · 2025

85%
#4

Tyson Russell

Vanderbilt · 2021

85%
#5

Alexander Smith

Wisconsin · 2022

84%

Matches Dreyden on

Weight
PD rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jahari Rogers's junior season at SMU (2022).

Jahari Rogers

94%match

SMU · 2022

#2

Jamorri Colson

Washington State · 2025

91%
#3

Doneiko Slaughter

Tennessee · 2022

90%
#4

Ronald Clarke

App State · 2023

90%
#5

Ar'mani Johnson

SMU · 2022

90%

Matches Jahari on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2024
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. Louis, MO
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 LSU CB4 #10690 #10555 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 LSU CB4 #10969 #10645 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Ohio State CB4 #4561 #4133 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma State Big 12 CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | St. Louis, MO
2024 LSU SEC CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | St. Louis, MO
2023 LSU SEC CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | St. Louis, MO
2022 Ohio State Big Ten CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | St. Louis, MO