cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Rodney Harris II /Ohio

Rodney Harris II

WR · Ohio · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

419 REC YDS · 30 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Ohio → Oklahoma State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Oklahoma State

2025Ohio
2026Oklahoma State

WR · OHIO · MID-AMERICAN

Rodney Harris II

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-2 | 211 lb
  • Cincinnati, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1591

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
0.02023
2992024
4192025

+0%

Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1214 national
CFB
College
Ohio
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-2 | 211 lb
HometownCincinnati, OH
Primary teamOhio

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1214 recruit
Composite rating 0.8519 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio 2022
Origin Princeton CINCINNATI, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8519 No. 1214 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oklahoma State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Ohio -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1591Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2136Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ohio

Composite

0.8519

#1214 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Rodney Harris II

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "The Florida State Seminoles face a recruiting crossroads as rivals like Kentucky"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Rodney Harris II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th

Why it matters

#161 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.0 yards per reception (30 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.0 (70th)

HIGH · n=30 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#282 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 9 at Eastern Michigan — 103 ypr

Result W 28-21

The week the volume broke through — put up 103 yds at Eastern Michigan.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
419Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
41.9Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
544.7Rec yards
39Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 419): needs 93.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 419): needs 193.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 30): needs 10/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 30): needs 16.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Rodney Harris II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ohio, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1591 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 30 2 rec TD | #282/1110 (75th pct)
Receiving yards 419 14.0 per catch | #273/1107 (75th pct)
Scrimmage yards 419 Total offensive yardage | #273/1107 (75th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
30 75th
YDS
419 75th
YPR
14.0 68th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 9-37@ Ohio State111.001
Wk 4W 52-35vs Gardner-Webb3279.0016
Wk 5W 35-20vs Bowling Green34515.0034
Wk 6L 14-20@ Ball State45814.5123
Wk 8W 48-21vs Northern Illinois22512.5015
Wk 9W 28-21@ Eastern Michigan610317.2049Season-high 103 yds
Wk 11W 24-20vs Miami (OH)59218.4149
Wk 12L 13-17@ Western Michigan11313.0013
Wk 14W 31-26@ Buffalo22412.0016
BowlW 17-10vs UNLV33110.3013
Total3041912.3249
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Ohio10-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning
2024Ohio11-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-heavy
2025Ohio9-4HC: Brian Smith · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio3041914.02--
2024Ohio2329913.00--
2023Ohio2--0.00--
Career3 loaded seasons5571813.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.9% 15.9% pass-game share | #204/1137 (82nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 30 #282/1110 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 419 #273/1107 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.0 #350/1106 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.9% #204/1137 82nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 49 #283/1105 74th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.3% #216/1137 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.0% #296/1137 74th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.9% #379/1137 67th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.6% #637/1137 44th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.5% #597/1137 48th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.7% #551/1137 52nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.244.013.00.2
Road5g2.839.811.50.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.449.613.50.1
Losses3g2.024.09.50.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.832.410.00.2
Weeks 8+5g3.251.414.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

51Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Yards / catch#201 / 558 · 63rd pct
14.0rece
Long catch#248 / 558 · 55th pct
49rece
Rec yards#273 / 558 · 51st pct
419rece
Receptions#282 / 558 · 48th pct
30rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Rodney Harris IIOhioSean WilsonDelaware· 71% simRyan DavisUtah· 70% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 70% sim
Yards / catch
63
II
49
Wilson
36
Davis
40
Walker
Long catch
55
II
58
Wilson
67
Davis
39
Walker
Rec yards
51
II
91
Wilson
83
Davis
89
Walker
Receptions
48
II
94
Wilson
91
Davis
95
Walker
Rec TDs
42
II
57
Wilson
68
Davis
42
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bub Means’s 2022 season.

Bub Means

92%match

Pittsburgh · 2022

NFL Rd 5
#2

Bub Means

Louisiana Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 5
89%
#3

Chris Bell

Louisville · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
87%
#4

Austin Watkins

UAB · 2020

80%
#5

Jordan King

California · 2025

82%

Matches Bub on

Yards / reception
Height
Reception volume

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kobe Clark’s path through Abilene Christian.

Kobe Clark

98%match

Abilene Christian · 2022

#2

Jarrod Barnes

Central Arkansas · 2023

98%
#3

Darien Chase

Portland State · 2021

97%
#4

Jalen Brooks

South Carolina · 2022

95%
#5

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

94%

Matches Kobe on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaden Bray's junior season at Oklahoma State (2023).

Jaden Bray

82%match

Oklahoma State · 2023

#2

Brionne Penny

San Diego State · 2023

79%
#3

Hudson Clement

Illinois · 2025

79%
#4

Joe Wilkins

Miami (OH) · 2023

78%
#5

Jadon Thompson

Cincinnati · 2022

77%

Matches Jaden on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Jaden on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Smith

Pass share

36.6%

311 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

278 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Tim Albin
Ohio
2024
Tim Albin
Ohio
2025
Brian Smith
Ohio
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Albin → Brian Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCincinnati, OH
Height6'2"
Weight211 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio WR3 #1591 #2136 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Ohio WR3 #2959 #2623 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Ohio WR3 #3924 #3643 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2024 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2023 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2022 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Cincinnati, OH