cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mark Hamper /California

Mark Hamper

WR · California · So · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

202 REC YDS · 17 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

WR · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Mark Hamper

  • 2
  • #15
  • 6-2 | 210 lb
  • West Linn, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 38th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
California
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey15
Measurements6-2 | 210 lb
HometownWest Linn, OR
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination California 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Wisconsin -> California 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mark Hamper

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mark Hamper

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
202Rec yards
17Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
33.7Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
437.7Rec yards
37Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 202): needs 71.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 202): needs 114/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 17): needs 6.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 17): needs 9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.4/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mark Hamper's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 4.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 17 0 rec TD | #454/1110 (59th pct)
Receiving yards 202 11.9 per catch | #460/1107 (59th pct)
Scrimmage yards 202 Total offensive yardage | #460/1107 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
17 59th
YDS
202 59th
YPR
11.9 50th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-15@ Oregon State13535.0035
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern56913.8026Season-high 69 yds
Wk 3W 27-14vs Minnesota33511.7029
Wk 4L 0-34@ San Diego State4287.0021
Wk 8W 21-18vs North Carolina11212.0012
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville3237.7012
Total1720214.5035
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California1720211.90--
Career1 loaded season1720211.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.7% 7.7% pass-game share | #639/1137 (44th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 17 #454/1110 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 202 #460/1107 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.9 #556/1106 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.7% #639/1137 44th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #527/1105 52nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.6% #497/1137 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.4% #661/1137 42nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.7% #519/1137 54th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #493/1137 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.3% #604/1137 47th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.3% #478/1137 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g3.038.712.50.0
Road3g2.728.716.60.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g2.634.816.00.0
Losses1g4.028.07.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g3.241.816.90.0
Weeks 8+2g2.017.59.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

20Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (6th).

Yards / catch#344 / 558 · 38th pct
11.9rece
Long catch#436 / 558 · 21st pct
35rece
Receptions#454 / 558 · 18th pct
17rece
Rec yards#459 / 558 · 18th pct
202rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Mark HamperCaliforniaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 57% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 54% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 51% sim
Yards / catch
38
Hamper
9
III
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Long catch
21
Hamper
16
III
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Receptions
18
Hamper
92
III
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
Rec yards
18
Hamper
70
III
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Hamper
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Rodney Harris II’s 2024 season.

Rodney Harris II

92%match

Ohio · 2024

#2

Kyren Lacy

LSU · 2022

86%
#3

Ben Ratzlaff

Western Kentucky · 2021

80%
#4

Caleb Snead

Liberty · 2022

81%
#5

Isaiah Washington

Rutgers · 2021

80%

Matches Rodney on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Xavier Lane’s path through Missouri State.

Xavier Lane

100%match

Missouri State · 2021

#2

Ian Duarte

Idaho State · 2025

100%
#3

T.J. Vasher

Texas Tech · 2020

98%
#4

Amon-Ra St. Brown

USC · 2020

NFL Rd 4
96%
#5

Rico Flores

UCLA · 2025

96%

Matches Xavier on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ben Ratzlaff's sophomore season at Western Kentucky (2021).

Ben Ratzlaff

87%match

Western Kentucky · 2021

#2

Miles Burris

Charlotte · 2025

85%
#3

Perry Thompson

Auburn · 2025

82%
#4

Xavier Daisy

UAB · 2025

80%
#5

Jackson Holman

Wyoming · 2025

79%

Matches Ben on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWest Linn, OR
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC WR 2 No. 15 | 6-2 | 210 lb | West Linn, OR