CFB Zeitgeist
SLSam Leavitt

Sam Leavitt

Two years ago Sam Leavitt dragged Arizona State to a Big 12 title and the Playoff as a redshirt freshman. Then injuries stole his 2025. Now he's the first quarterback of the Lane Kiffin era at LSU.

QB · Arizona State · Cl 2 · #10

CFB Zeitgeist 50transferred_college

Two years ago Sam Leavitt dragged Arizona State to a Big 12 title and the Playoff as a redshirt freshman. Then injuries stole his 2025. Now he's the first quarterback of the Lane Kiffin era at LSU.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Aura tax +40aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 90th percentile of QBs; the tape says 50th — more hype than the tape.
Aura — fan perception90th pctl
Production — on-field50th pctl
n=99 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Leavitt's college career has been a spike and a setback. As a redshirt freshman in 2024 he was the engine of one of the sport's best turnaround stories, leading Arizona State to a Big 12 championship and a Playoff berth. His 2025 never got going -- a broken stretch of seven games before injuries ended it.

So he hit the portal as its top quarterback and chose the highest-pressure landing spot available: Baton Rouge, as the first starter of Lane Kiffin's LSU. The fit is the story -- a mobile, gunslinging passer handed the keys to an offense built by one of the sport's sharpest play-callers, on a roster expected to return to the Playoff in Year 1.

The forward question is health and fit: a full, healthy season of the 2024 version of Leavitt makes LSU a contender and Kiffin's debut a hit. Anything less, and a new era opens with a familiar question at quarterback.

PLAY STYLE

Leavitt is a dual-threat whose legs are the headline -- and the 2025 numbers say so emphatically. In an injury-shortened season his passing graded middling (28th percentile in completion, 41st in efficiency), but as a runner he was elite: top-3% in the country in rushing success rate and yards per carry, 90th percentile in explosive runs. He's a problem the instant the pocket moves. The fit at LSU is the whole story: Lane Kiffin builds explosive, quarterback-friendly attacks, and Leavitt's mobility adds a dimension Kiffin's recent passers haven't had -- if the arm catches up to the legs. The caveats are health and consistency as a thrower, and 2026 is his first year in a new system. Click early and it's the SEC's most fun offense; if the passing stays middling, defenses make him a runner and find the ceiling.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#311 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big 12

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State

Played his entire career under Kenny Dillingham.

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to LSU

2025Arizona State
2026LSU

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023Michigan State4-8HC: Mel Tucker · Balanced
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

50Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (82nd).

Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Rush yards#53 / 183 · 71st pct
306rush
Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct
5rush
Pass yards#106 / 183 · 42nd pct
1628pass
Pass TDs#105 / 183 · 40th pct
10pass
Completion %#111 / 183 · 39th pct
60.7%pass
Yards / att#110 / 183 · 38th pct
6.8pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Awards

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big 12

Career stats

Passing

Season-by-season quarterback passing line in a familiar scoreboard layout.

Season Team CMPATTCMP%YDSY/ATDINTRATELNGSACK
2025 Arizona StateFinal snapshot 14523960.7%1,6286.8103129.2----
2023 Michigan StateFinal snapshot 152365.2%1396.022127.3----
Career 2 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 16026261.1%1,7676.7125129.0----

Rushing

Ground contribution that rounds out the quarterback profile.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 Arizona StateFinal snapshot 733064.25--
2023 Michigan StateFinal snapshot 13675.20--
Career 2 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 863734.35--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 8 · 2025

W 26–22

vs Texas Tech

319 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT  ·  QBR 70.6  ·  3 rush yds (12 car)

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 4 at home.

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 38-19vs Northern Arizona25/39257216.650.5
Wk 2L 20-24@ Mississippi State10/2282123.734.8
Wk 3W 34-15vs Texas State15/25188207.569.0
Wk 4W 27-24@ Baylor22/32221106.977.6
Wk 5W 27-24vs TCU27/39291207.574.1Clean 2-TD game
Wk 8W 26-22vs Texas Tech28/47319106.870.6Season-high 319 yds
Wk 9L 16-24vs Houston18/35270107.748.2
Total145/23916281036.760.7

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

50Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (82nd).

Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Rush yards#53 / 183 · 71st pct
306rush
Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct
5rush
Pass yards#106 / 183 · 42nd pct
1628pass
Pass TDs#105 / 183 · 40th pct
10pass
Completion %#111 / 183 · 39th pct
60.7%pass
Yards / att#110 / 183 · 38th pct
6.8pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Leavitt is a dual-threat whose legs are the headline -- and the 2025 numbers say so emphatically. In an injury-shortened season his passing graded middling (28th percentile in completion, 41st in efficiency), but as a runner he was elite: top-3% in the country in rushing success rate and yards per carry, 90th percentile in explosive runs. He's a problem the instant the pocket moves. The fit at LSU is the whole story: Lane Kiffin builds explosive, quarterback-friendly attacks, and Leavitt's mobility adds a dimension Kiffin's recent passers haven't had -- if the arm catches up to the legs. The caveats are health and consistency as a thrower, and 2026 is his first year in a new system. Click early and it's the SEC's most fun offense; if the passing stays middling, defenses make him a runner and find the ceiling.

Perception vs tape

Two years ago Sam Leavitt dragged Arizona State to a Big 12 title and the Playoff as a redshirt freshman. Then injuries stole his 2025. Now he's the first quarterback of the Lane Kiffin era at LSU.

Leavitt's college career has been a spike and a setback. As a redshirt freshman in 2024 he was the engine of one of the sport's best turnaround stories, leading Arizona State to a Big 12 championship and a Playoff berth. His 2025 never got going — a broken stretch of seven games before injuries ended it.

So he hit the portal as its top quarterback and chose the highest-pressure landing spot available: Baton Rouge, as the first starter of Lane Kiffin's LSU. The fit is the story — a mobile, gunslinging passer handed the keys to an offense built by one of the sport's sharpest play-callers, on a roster expected to return to the Playoff in Year 1.

The forward question is health and fit: a full, healthy season of the 2024 version of Leavitt makes LSU a contender and Kiffin's debut a hit. Anything less, and a new era opens with a familiar question at quarterback.

How he plays

Leavitt is a dual-threat whose legs are the headline — and the 2025 numbers say so emphatically. In an injury-shortened season his passing graded middling (28th percentile in completion, 41st in efficiency), but as a runner he was elite: top-3% in the country in rushing success rate and yards per carry, 90th percentile in explosive runs. He's a problem the instant the pocket moves. The fit at LSU is the whole story: Lane Kiffin builds explosive, quarterback-friendly attacks, and Leavitt's mobility adds a dimension Kiffin's recent passers haven't had — if the arm catches up to the legs. The caveats are health and consistency as a thrower, and 2026 is his first year in a new system. Click early and it's the SEC's most fun offense; if the passing stays middling, defenses make him a runner and find the ceiling.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bo Nix’s 2021 season.

Bo Nix

72%match

Auburn · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 12
#2

Conner Harrell

Charlotte · 2025

70%
#3

Spencer Sanders

Oklahoma State · 2022

All-Big 12
70%
#4

Avery Johnson

Kansas State · 2025

70%
#5

Sean Clifford

Penn State · 2021

NFL Rd 5
68%

Matches Bo on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Height

Differs from Bo on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Rush usage (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Payton Thorne’s path through Auburn.

Payton Thorne

92%match

Auburn · 2024

#2

Ian Book

Notre Dame · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 4
90%
#3

Brock Domann

Louisville · 2022

85%
#4

Tyler Huff

Jacksonville State · 2024

85%
#5

Sean Clifford

Penn State · 2022

NFL Rd 5
85%

Matches Payton on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Avery Johnson's junior season at Kansas State (2025).

Avery Johnson

69%match

Kansas State · 2025

#2

Conner Harrell

Charlotte · 2025

67%
#3

JC French

Georgia Southern · 2025

65%
#4

Broc Lowry

Western Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
64%
#5

Bishop Davenport

South Alabama · 2025

63%

Matches Avery on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Height

Differs from Avery on

Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Sam LeavittArizona StateAvery JohnsonKansas State· 80% simBryson BarnesUtah State· 75% simRyan BrownePurdue· 73% sim
Interceptions
82
Leavitt
56
Johnson
67
Barnes
14
Browne
Rush yards
71
Leavitt
80
Johnson
93
Barnes
61
Browne
Rush TDs
68
Leavitt
81
Johnson
91
Barnes
59
Browne
Pass yards
42
Leavitt
61
Johnson
75
Barnes
56
Browne
Pass TDs
40
Leavitt
72
Johnson
72
Barnes
33
Browne
Completion %
39
Leavitt
33
Johnson
32
Barnes
29
Browne
Yards / att
38
Leavitt
46
Johnson
75
Barnes
23
Browne
Fumbles lost
38
Leavitt
66
Johnson
18
Barnes
18
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#10 in market · 6 books

+14006.7% implied▼ lengthened from +1200

Development

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
1392023
1,6282025

+1071%

Up 1071% from first season to most-recent.