cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Spencer Sanders /Ole Miss

Spencer Sanders

QB · Ole Miss · Sr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSOle Miss 2023 alumnus

QB · OLE MISS · SEC

Spencer Sanders

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-1 | 210 lb
  • Denton, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#91

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2021

2021

Oklahoma State · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2022

Oklahoma State · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Ole Miss · QB

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
2,8392021
2,6422022
2782023

-90%

Sharp dropoff (-90%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#171 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-1 | 210 lb
HometownDenton, TX
Primary teamOle Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 171 recruit
Composite rating 0.9311 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma State 2018
Origin Ryan Denton, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 4-star | 0.9311 No. 171 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#91Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#65Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma State

Composite

0.9311

#171 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Spencer Sanders

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Spencer Sanders

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Spencer Sanders already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #91 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 54.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 171 recruit

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 278 3 TD | 0 INT | #212/382 (45th pct)
Completion rate 65.5% 19/29 completions | #126/383 (67th pct)
Yards/attempt 9.6 Explosiveness through the air | #37/382 (91st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientVertical threat

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
19 42nd
ATT
29 43rd
CMP%
65.5% 67th
Y/A
9.6 91st

Passing Production

YDS
278 45th
TD
3 57th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
11 38th
YDS
45 54th
YPC
4.1 66th
TD
0 44th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oklahoma State11-2HC: Mike Gundy · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Ole Miss11-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Ole Miss192965.5%2789.630180.2----
2022Oklahoma State21236857.6%2,6427.2179128.3----
2021Oklahoma State24339162.1%2,8397.32012133.9----
Career3 loaded seasons47478860.2%5,7597.34021133.0----
SeasonTeam
2023Ole Miss11454.10--
2022Oklahoma State1073913.78--
2021Oklahoma State1466684.66--
Career3 loaded seasons2641,1044.214--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 45 0 rush TD | #189/408 (54th pct)
Usage 54.1% 96.0% pass share | 23.1% rush share | #48/428 (89th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.46 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #11/200 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 278 #212/382 45th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 3 #178/407 57th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 19 #225/383 42nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 65.5% #126/383 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 9.6 #37/382 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 45 #189/408 54th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.46 #11/200 95th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 429 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 54.1% #48/428 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 29 #233/407 43rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #218/391 45th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 11 #254/408 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.1 #138/407 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 96.0% #15/428 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 67.8% #49/428 89th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 66.7% #65/428 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 53.2% #58/428 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 49.3% #39/428 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 48.9% #41/428 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 23.1% #45/428 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.36 #22/140 85th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 140 weighted playsvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lane Kiffin

Pass share

48.2%

521 pass / 560 run

Plays / game

72.1

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

330 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2022
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2023
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss

Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDenton, TX
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2022)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2022 All-Big 12 all_conference Big 12 QB
2021 All-Big 12 all_conference Big 12 QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Ole Miss QB4 #91 #65 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Oklahoma State QB4 #76 #114 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Oklahoma State QB4 #22 #21 1.7% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Ole Miss SEC QB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Denton, TX
2022 Oklahoma State Big 12 QB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Denton, TX
2021 Oklahoma State Big 12 QB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Denton, TX