3rd-best Ole Miss tenure of 17 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
+28.8 pts
#15 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
-7.7 pts
#137 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed Matt Luke (2017–2019).
Roster construction · portal era
A portal-built roster.
Portal arrivals
98
3.4★ avg rating
Portal departures
124
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-26
#42 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Kewan Lacy On3 modeled · $2,000,000Princewill Umanmielen On3 modeled · $1,500,000Trinidad Chambliss On3 modeled · $5,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 232 lbs
across 81 of 98 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+6.5 lbs
#54 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Sr
#34 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (14), FL (11), GA (10), MS (8), LA (7)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
66.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
62.8
position-weighted
Net
+3.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Jaxson Dart (QB) from USC
Biggest loss: Grant Tisdale (QB) to the portal
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Jeff Lebby → co-Charlie Weis Jr. / co-John David Baker · 2022the system held
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 44.0% → 37.7% (-6.2 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 3% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: co-D. J. Durkin / co-Chris Partridge → co-Maurice Crum Jr. / co-Chris Partridge · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: co-Maurice Crum Jr. / co-Chris Partridge → Pete Golding · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Pete Golding → co-Bryan Brown / Pete Golding · 2024
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
211 lbs
6′2″ avg · #439 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
205 lbs
5′11″ avg · #491 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
194 lbs
6′0″ avg · #324 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
243 lbs
6′4″ avg · #445 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
317 lbs
6′5″ avg · #105 of 779 · more than most
D-line
294 lbs
6′3″ avg · #181 of 753 · more than most
Edge
251 lbs
6′3″ avg · #110 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
230 lbs
6′1″ avg · #284 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
188 lbs
6′0″ avg · #501 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
191 lbs
5′11″ avg · #300 of 346 · less than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Interior line via the portal
70%
#24 of 224 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
81%
#180 of 223 stints
Postseason detail2020: Beat Indiana 26–20 Outback Bowl2021: Lost to Baylor 7–21 Allstate Sugar Bowl2022: Lost to Texas Tech 25–42 TaxAct Texas Bowl2023: Beat Penn State 38–25 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl2024: Beat Duke 52–20 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl2025: Beat Tulane 41–10 College Football Playoff First Round Game2025: Beat Georgia 39–34 College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl2025: Lost to Miami 27–31 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
25 NFL Draft picks: Elijah Moore (2021), Royce Newman (2021), Sam Williams (2022), Matt Corral (2022), Snoop Conner (2022), Chance Campbell (2022), Mark Robinson (2022), Deane Leonard (2022) + 17 more
4 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Elijah Moore (2020), Chris Paul Jr. (2024), Walter Nolen (2024), Kewan Lacy (2025)
AI Narratives — “Ole Miss's 2025 Season: A Mix of Gains and Losses” and 10 more on the team page.