The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Urban Meyer

Followed Luke Fickell. Urban Meyer kept Ohio State a national power for 7 seasons.

The empire-builder
187–32
2001–2018 · 4 stints
← all coaches

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Dynasty in his 8th career season — faster than 40% of the 15 FBS coaches who have ever reached Dynasty (rank #9 of 15 by seasons-to-arrival).

Bowling Green, 2 seasons
+5.1
Regional Program III → Regional Program II.
Utah, 2 seasons
+11.1
National Program II → Power Program III.
Florida, 6 seasons
+13.9
Blue Blood → Blue Blood.
Ohio State, 7 seasons
+6.0
Blue Blood → Blue Blood.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Ohio State2012–2018▲ 12.5pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Ohio State13.3pt#73 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

23–4 against his rivals. Just 1–2 against Tommy Tuberville.

Rivalry record
23–4
85.2% · 6 rivals
One-score games
38–14
73.1% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
1–0
100.0%
Rivalry ledger
Penn State5–183%
Michigan6–0100%
Georgia5–183%
Toledo1–150%
BYU1–0100%
The toughest matchup
3 meetings, 2006–2014
’06 L’07 L’14 W · erased a 7-pt deficit
33% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Dynasty
1–0 100.0%
Blue Blood
11–8 57.9%
Power Program
46–12 79.3%
National Program
31–8 79.5%
Regional Program
63–3 95.5%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.27
#66 of 319 · more than most
Defense marginal impact
+0.36
#27 of 325 · more than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2012–2018
Ohio Statesustainer
Blue Blood → Blue Blood
Urban Meyer kept Ohio State a national power for 7 seasons.

4th-best Ohio State tenure of 12 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+4.3 pts
#92 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+9.7 pts
#68 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Luke Fickell (2011–2011).

Season2012201320142015201620172018Trend
Record & result
Record12–012–214–112–111–212–210–1
PostseasonCHAMPIONW bowlCFP lossW CFPW bowl
Recruiting rank#3#7#4#2#2
Style — pass rate
Pass rate37.236.441.242.849.7
Coordinators
OCEd Warinner / Tom HermanEd Warinner / Tim BeckEd Warinner / Tim BeckKevin Wilson / Ryan DayKevin Wilson / Ryan Day
DCChris Ash / Luke FickellChris Ash / Luke FickellGreg Schiano / Luke FickellGreg SchianoAlex Grinch / Greg Schiano
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense9979479093
Defense8084989549
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%42.533.938.641.641.9
Red-zone pass%37.120.231.044.348.3
4th-down go%opp. territory32.627.833.340.033.3
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: co-Ed Warinner / Tom Herman → Ed Warinner / co-Tim Beck · 2015
99th pct79th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 42.5% → 33.9% (-8.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 82% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: co-Chris Ash / co-Luke Fickell → co-Greg Schiano / Luke Fickell · 2016
84th pct98th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: co-Greg Schiano / Luke Fickell → Greg Schiano · 2017
98th pct95th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2014: Beat Alabama 42–35 Allstate Sugar Bowl - Semifinal2014: Beat Oregon 42–20 Cfp National Championship Game Pres. By At&T2015: Beat Notre Dame 44–28 Battlefrog Fiesta Bowl2016: Lost to Clemson 0–31 CFP2017: Beat USC 24–7 CFP2018: Beat Washington 28–23 Rose Bowl Game Presented By Northwestern Mutual

53 NFL Draft picks: Mike Adams (2012), DeVier Posey (2012), Dan Herron (2012), Nate Ebner (2012), Johnathan Hankins (2013), John Simon (2013), Reid Fragel (2013), Ryan Shazier (2014) + 45 more

83–9
2005–2010
Floridatransformerborderline
Blue Blood → Blue Blood
Urban Meyer took Florida from Blue Blood to Blue Blood — 1 Dynasty season.

1st-best Florida tenure of 22 by the numbers.

Followed Ron Zook (2002–2004) · succeeded by Will Muschamp (2011–2014).

Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints

33 NFL Draft picks: Channing Crowder (2005), Ciatrick Fason (2005), Reynaldo Hill (2005), Chad Jackson (2006), Jeremy Mincey (2006), Dee Webb (2006), Jarvis Moss (2007), Reggie Nelson (2007) + 25 more

65–15
2003–2004
Utahcaretakerborderline
National Program II → Power Program III
Urban Meyer moved Utah from National Program II to Power Program III in 2 seasons.

4th-best Utah tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Ron McBride (1990–2002).

8 NFL Draft picks: Jordan Gross (2003), Lauvale Sape (2003), Antwoine Sanders (2003), Alex Smith (2005), Sione Pouha (2005), Chris Kemoeatu (2005), Paris Warren (2005), Jonathan Fanene (2005)

22–2
2001–2002
Bowling Greencaretaker
Regional Program III → Regional Program II
Urban Meyer moved Bowling Green from Regional Program III to Regional Program II in 2 seasons.

10th-best Bowling Green tenure of 14 by the numbers.

Followed Gary Blackney (1991–2000) · succeeded by Gregg Brandon (2003–2008).

17–6

Defining games during this era

2014 NCG · Ohio State 42, Oregon 202019 Rose Bowl · Ohio State 28, Washington 232014 Sugar Bowl semifinal · Ohio State 42, Alabama 352014 Big Ten Championship · Ohio State 59, Wisconsin 02018 Big Ten Championship · Ohio State 45, Northwestern 24

In this company

Other coaches who reached Blue-Blood-or-better at multiple programs: Nick Saban, Lane Kiffin, Ed Orgeron.