Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-10vs Southeast Missouri State | 8/16 | 184 | 2 | 0 | 11.5 | — | Season-high 184 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 13-16@ Iowa | 10/19 | 117 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 18/35 | 301 | 3 | 0 | 8.8 | 50.0 |
#1
Jaylen Raynor
Senior quarterback for Iowa State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
6′1″ · 208 lb · Winston-Salem, NC · East Forsyth
CFB Index 39 · #96 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceTransferred Arkansas State → Iowa State for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
301
passing yards · 2026
3 TD · 0 INT · 8.6 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 383 yds · 6 TD -- top 0.1% passing TDs game. -- Best game: 184 pass yds, 2 TD, 32 rush yds, vs Southeast Missouri State
The play that turned itSwung Arkansas State from 13% to 90% to win.Texas State at Arkansas State · 31-30
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
4 quarterback for Iowa State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed with Arkansas State in 2023.
- Transferred from Arkansas State to Iowa State in 2026.
- Named Sun Belt Freshman Player of the Year in 2023.
Aura™ · Him Watch
Aura tax
+32aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 37th percentile of QBs; the tape says
6th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=35
— more hype than the tape.Aura — fan perception37th pctl
Production — on-field6th pctl
n=35 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our passing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Attention percentile: 38th · Production percentile: 6th
He's mentioned more than 38% of qualified QBs this season, but his production sits in just the 6th percentile — a gap of 32 points between volume and tape.
38thattention percentile · vs QBs
6thproduction percentile · vs QBs
Also worth knowing:
In Their Words
558 windows · 2026 fan posts
jaylen×171.7iowa×33.4jimmy×218.9fanatic×176.8rogers×86.7raynor×123.8cyclones×204.3cyclone×102.2
“Shades of Matt Campbell's near disastrous loss at the hands of current Iowa State QB JAYLEN RAYNOR”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Jaylen Raynor
Operates within the system without forcing anything. Jaylen Raynor has played for two head coaches across four seasons and two programs. Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Week in 2025 made it three straight seasons on the honors list. The receipt on tape: 184 pass yds, 32 rush yds against Southeast Missouri State, Week 1, 2026.
301 PASS YDS · 3 PASS TD · 50 RUSH YDS
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- head-coach lineage
- recognition record
- game log
His career
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
202311 games
- Signed with Arkansas Stateout of East Forsyth
- Sun Belt Freshman Player of the Yearwinner
202413 games
- All-Sun Belt
2026
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
Career arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-SUN BELT
All-Sun Belt mention (2024)
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
2 coaches2023–2025
Iowa State
2026era →
Jimmy Rogers
Iowa State
Coaching transition mid-career: Matt Campbell → Jimmy Rogers. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Iowa State
2025Arkansas State
2026Iowa State
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2024Arkansas State8-5HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
2026Iowa State1-1HC: Jimmy Rogers · Run-heavy, slow tempo
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Elite: yards / att (92nd percentile). Strength: interceptions (92nd percentile). Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 150 YDS/g, 1.5 TD/g, 8.8 YPA, 0.0 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jimmy Rogers
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State | 18 | 35 | 51.4% | 301 | 8.6 | 3 | 0 | 152.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 332 | 500 | 66.4% | 3,364 | 6.7 | 19 | 11 | 131.1 | 32 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | 259 | 420 | 61.7% | 2,783 | 6.6 | 16 | 10 | 125.1 | 25 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 166 | 285 | 58.2% | 2,543 | 8.9 | 17 | 7 | 148.0 | 64 | -- | -- |
| Career | 775 | 1,240 | 62.5% | 8,991 | 7.3 | 55 | 28 | 133.5 | 37 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State | 15 | 50 | 3.3 | 2 | -- |
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 154 | 428 | 2.8 | 7 | -- |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | 137 | 387 | 2.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 123 | 380 | 3.1 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 429 | 1,245 | 2.9 | 17 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 38–10
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 2&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.63(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #11 D.Overby caught at ISU40, for 40 yards to the SEMO33, out of bounds at SEMO33, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.12(02:31) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #37 V.Benetti caught at SEMO02, for 24 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
- Week 2 · Iowa · 2&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.86(00:06) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #4 C.Pabst caught at ISU49, for 24 yards to the ISU49 (#18 X.Styles), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 3&6 · Q1 · EPA +2.84(10:11) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 7 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:08, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #56 C.Schmidt) #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 2&7 · Q4 · EPA +2.61(10:43) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.51(02:54) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #25 E.Miller caught at SEMO07, for 10 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:50, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
- Week 1 · Southeast Missouri State · 3&13 · Q4 · EPA +2.39(11:34) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 14 yards gain to the SEMO22, out of bounds at SEMO22, 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Iowa · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +2.37(13:35) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #89 T.Claiborne caught at ISU43, for 15 yards to the ISU47 (#33 C.Buffington), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Iowa · 2&4 · Q2 · EPA +2.33(07:54) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #37 V.Benetti caught at IOWA04, for 4 yards to the IOWA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:51. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
- Week 2 · Iowa · 3&3 · Q2 · EPA +2.25(10:42) #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep left to #9 O.Hayes caught at IOWA22, for 28 yards to the IOWA20 (#5 A.Hawkins), 1ST DOWN
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
CFB Index positional classification
DNA match
Player DNA
Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaylen Raynor’s 2024 season.
82%match
All-Sun Belt
Matches Jaylen on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / attempt
Differs from Jaylen on
Class year (higher)
Completion % (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kellen Mond’s path through Texas A&M.
94%match
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 2
Matches Kellen on
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Giovanni Lopez's junior season at North Carolina (2025).
Matches Giovanni on
Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Giovanni on
Class year (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Jaylen Raynor
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #33
Peaked at #33 this season.
Background
Awards & Honors Co-Captain (2026) Sun Belt Conference Freshman of the Year (2023) On3 True Freshman All-American (2023) Big 12 Commissioner's Honor Roll (S26) 2025 (at Arkansas State) Played and started all 13 games … completed 66 percent of his passes (333-for-501) for career-bests of 3,361 yard...
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology