Jaylen Raynor

#1 · QB · Sr. · Iowa State6′1″ · 208 lb · Winston-Salem, NC · East Forsyth

ZPR4373rd of 119 QBsLast gameW 51–49vs Oklahoma State · Oct 31
Nextat BaylorSat Nov 7 · 12 pm ET
via cyclones.com ↗

Iowa State is 4-4 in the eight games played. A mobile passer.

Strongest: 14% of throws gain 20 or more yards, 25th best of 158 starters.

Passing yards

1,416

111 of 186, 60%

TD–INT

10–5

7.6 per throw

NCAA rating

136.0

71st of 119

ZPR

43

73rd of 119

How ZPR works

One rough passing grade, at BYU.

  • 1-4 against ranked teams, 167 passing yards a game.

Best by our grade: Oklahoma State. Lowest: at BYU, sacked 3 times. Biggest game: at BYU, No. 8. Best play: Completion for 2 yards, touchdown, against Oklahoma State, Q2 12:17. Win chance 17% to 43%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Season

Gets better after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Dashed outlines on the Season row are last season’s average. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Mobile passer

Also: big-play arm

Why this word
Runs5.9 a gameRarelyA lot
Throws9.4 yards past the lineShortDeep
Completes59% by play-by-playFewerMore
Takes sacks5% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 5.9 carries a game. Closest matches: Hayes, Wilson, Nelson, Sellers.

Where the throws go

Behind the line12%typical 17%
Short50%typical 47%
Middle18%typical 22%
Deep19%typical 14%

Runs 5.9 times a game; 68% of starters run less.

Closest in style

HayesWilsonNelsonSellersThis QB

Nearer the middle means more alike.

  • Hayes North Dakota State · Gunslinger
    1,710 yards, 13 TD, 8 INT so far. Both score a lot and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Wilson Colorado · Mobile passer
    1,164 yards, 7 TD, 7 INT so far. Both hit big plays and throw interceptions.
  • Nelson Syracuse · Balanced
    532 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT so far. Both throw interceptions.
  • Sellers South Carolina · Dual-threat
    1,849 yards, 16 TD, 7 INT so far. Both throw interceptions and score a lot.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

  • RecordIowa State is 4-4.
  • Last gameOct. 31 · a win over Oklahoma State, 309 passing yards.
  • Fans after Oklahoma State

    Raynor ran toward the space instead of the defenders. Baby steps.

    Iowa State fan

  • Next gameat Baylor · Sat Nov 7

What’s being said

6 stories this week, from 4 outlets.

Oct 31: 1Nov 1: 5W 51-49 vs Oklahoma StateWOct 29Nov 4Most in a day: 5
Oct 31: 1Nov 1: 5W 51-49 vs Oklahoma StateWOct 29Nov 4Most in a day: 5
Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

Jaylen Raynor Stepped up for Iowa State With Back Against the Wall

Sports Illustrated Nov 1

All 85 stories this season

Worth knowing

  • Jaylen Raynor spent three seasons at Arkansas State before this one.

His most important play this season

  1. Q2, 12:17 · Iowa State down 7, ties itJaylen Raynor finds Easton Miller for a 2-yard touchdownOklahoma State at Iowa State, week 9Q2, 12:17 · Iowa State 14, Oklahoma State 14Iowa State tied the game in the second quarterIowa State tied the game in the second quarterJ.Raynor pass complete short right to E.Miller caught at OSU02, for 2 yards to the OSU00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playCFB ON FOX

All 12 of his plays on video

Jaylen Raynor

QB · Iowa State · #1

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Jaylen Raynor takes over from Rocco Becht at Iowa State.

1,416passing yards10passing TD193rushing yards

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-24

perception vs production percentile · 2026

The name carries 67th-percentile weight; the snaps grade out 43rd. The gap is the open question.

Read the story so far

Jaylen Raynor lines up at QB for Iowa State.

On the field, the headline is 1,416 pass yds, with 10 pass td.

Jaylen Raynor inherited the QB job from Rocco Becht (3-star).

The number to watch: -24 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromRocco Becht 3★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04