Iowa State routs Southeast Missouri State 38-10
Team pages: Southeast Missouri State · Iowa State
Iowa State routed Southeast Missouri State 38-10. Share this game
We had Iowa State favored. It won.
Next: Southeast Missouri State lost to Southern Illinois 34-20, Sat Sep 12
Top comment in the game thread
Ngoyi showcasing why he started out as a WR in the Campbell program
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Iowa State a 71% chance, and the closing betting line (Iowa State was a 29.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
Iowa State led by 14 after the first quarter and by 21 at the half.
Iowa State 38-10 Southeast Missouri State
Iowa State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Southeast Missouri State 10-38 Iowa StateSoutheast Missouri State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q1 10:08Jaylen Raynor runs for a touchdown to give Iowa State a 7-0 lead
THAT'S A JAYLEN RAYNOR TOUCHDOWNNNN
r/CFB game thread - Q1 8:50Iowa State fans mock their special teams after Flora muffing a punt
Okay that’s your one and done to get out your system Flora
r/CFB game threadWe’re a real Iowa State team now! This feels like home
r/CFB game thread - Q2 4:14Ngoyi intercepts Ragland as Iowa State fans hail it a historic catchQuoted at the top of the page.
- Q4 12:26Iowa State fans react to failed onside kick attempt
So why did they get to re-kick it? If that’s the rule, then we should just onside it every time. If you think the other team is gonna bite, just pick it up early.
r/CFB game thread
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Iowa State -29.5), at 98% for Iowa State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Iowa State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 13:02Ragland sacked for a 6-yd lossQ1, 13:02 · Iowa State 0, Southeast Missouri State 00-0score after the play0-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 7:50Ragland sacked for a 8-yd lossQ1, 7:50 · Iowa State 7, Southeast Missouri State 07-0score after the play7-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 2:27Raynor 24-yd TD pass to BenettiIowa State leads 14-0Q1, 2:27 · Iowa State 14, Southeast Missouri State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 10:39Wilson 7-yd TD runcuts it to 14-7Q2, 10:39 · Iowa State 14, Southeast Missouri State 714-7score after the play14-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 6:52Ragland sacked for a 10-yd lossturnover on downsQ2, 6:52 · Iowa State 14, Southeast Missouri State 714-7score after the play14-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 4:54Flora 11-yd TD runIowa State leads 21-7Q2, 4:54 · Iowa State 21, Southeast Missouri State 721-7score after the play21-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 4:14Ragland intercepted by Ngoyi at the ISU45Q2, 4:14 · Iowa State 21, Southeast Missouri State 721-7score after the play21-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 2:50Raynor 10-yd TD pass to MillerIowa State leads 28-7Q2, 2:50 · Iowa State 28, Southeast Missouri State 728-7score after the play28-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 13:18Ragland sacked for a 8-yd lossQ3, 13:18 · Iowa State 28, Southeast Missouri State 728-7score after the play28-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 6:41Ragland 8-yd pass to BryantfumbledQ3, 6:41 · Iowa State 28, Southeast Missouri State 728-7score after the play28-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive
Iowa State scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Southeast Missouri State on 2 of its 13.
Iowa State’s drives are teal, Southeast Missouri State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“Was not expecting the possible INT of the year in a Week 1 FBS-FCS game.”
When fans got loud
Busy
Fans had the most to say in the second quarter.
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Iowa State 38, Southeast Missouri State 10
Southeast Missouri State covered +29.5 by 1.5. The total, 48, stayed under 52.5.
| Team totals | Southeast Missouri State | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 209 | 303 |
| Passing | 17 of 22, 142 yds | 9 of 17, 195 yds |
| Rushing | 45 for 67 yds | 31 for 108 yds |
| First downs | 14 | 15 |
| Third down | 5 of 16 | 4 of 10 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Penalties | 7 for 57 yds | 4 for 40 yds |
| Time of possession | 36:52 | 23:08 |
Southeast Missouri State leaders
- Passing Braylen Ragland 17 of 22, 142 yds, 1 INT
- Rushing Khyair Spain 16 for 72 yds; Tyrell Reed Jr. 9 for 27 yds
- Receiving John Anthony 1 for 40 yds; Jobe Bryant 7 for 40 yds
Iowa State leaders
- Passing Jaylen Raynor 8 of 16, 184 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Aiden Flora 7 for 45 yds, 1 TD; Jaylen Raynor 7 for 32 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Dominic Overby 2 for 85 yds; Omari Hayes 2 for 54 yds
Kickoff came 30 minutes late
82° at kickoff · feels like 85° to 100° · no rain recorded
A feels-like 100° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.
Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
No thunder was reported at Ames airport (1.9 miles away) around the delay.
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 65 other games played at Jack Trice Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 73°, with about 7 in 10 games between 64° and 86°.
September game-day temperatures at Jack Trice Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Ames airport, 1.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Southeast Missouri State · 4-8
Rated 226th in our preseason ratings, 226th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 13-30 vs Lindenwood #178 of 667
lost by 17 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 22-17 @ Western Illinois #237 of 667
won by 5 as an 8-point favorite
L 24-27 @ Gardner-Webb #167 of 667
lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 17-23 vs Charleston Southern #210 of 667
lost by 6 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 23-42 @ Tennessee Tech #82 of 667
lost by 19 as a 21.5-point underdog
W 42-13 vs Eastern Illinois #236 of 667
won by 29 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 28-12 vs Tennessee State #242 of 667
won by 16 as a 16.5-point favorite
L 10-34 @ UT Martin #173 of 667
lost by 24 as a 3-point favorite
L 31-59 vs Southern Illinois #130 of 667
lost by 28 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 14-41 @ North Dakota State #125 of 667
lost by 27 as a 31.5-point underdog
W 30-21 vs North Alabama #205 of 667
won by 9 as a 15.5-point favorite
L 24-42 @ Arkansas State #97 of 667
lost by 18 as a 15.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Iowa State · 8-4
Rated 162nd in our preseason ratings.
W 20-13 @ Oklahoma State #155 of 667
won by 7 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 38-14 vs Kansas #67 of 667
won by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 20-17 @ TCUTop 25 #33 of 667
won by 3 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 19-24 vs Arizona StateTop 25 #43 of 667
lost by 5 as an 8.5-point favorite
L 27-41 vs BYUTop 25 #31 of 667
lost by 14 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 17-24 @ Colorado #53 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 30-38 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #41 of 667
lost by 8 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 39-14 vs ArizonaTop 25 #76 of 667
won by 25 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 24-16 @ Arkansas State #123 of 667
won by 8 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 16-13 vs IowaTop 25 #40 of 667
won by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 55-7 vs South Dakota #110 of 667
won by 48 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 24-21 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #38 of 667
won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog
The series
Iowa State leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2022 · Iowa State won the last meeting
- 2022Iowa State 42-10
Each line is Iowa State’s chance to win through that meeting.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Iowa State’s chances here.
Iowa State favored by 29.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go
Iowa State by 29.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The total fell 1 point.
Total: 53.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 2.7%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 93° at kickoff.
Southeast Missouri State at Iowa State · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium, Ames
- 93°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 53weather score, Rough
- Middleof the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was in the middle of the day's seven kickoff times. At Jack Trice Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 77, against 53 at noon.
- 11 am: 57, Rough
- noon: 53, Rough (this game)
- 2:30 pm: 45, Harsh
- 3:15 pm: 44, Harsh
- 4 pm: 43, Harsh
- 6 pm: 63, Rough
- 7 pm: 77, Mixed
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Iowa State is worth +3.9 points (±3.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 47th percentile.
65% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (32-17 home, 21-21 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.2 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 392 miles to get here.