The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Eastern Illinois 50%, Southeast Missouri State 54%
Win out 21% · expect 1.8 of 3 more wins
Charleston Southern's chance to win each game left, from our model: UT Martin 78%, Southeast Missouri State 54%, Eastern Illinois 50%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Jared Echols 564 · Rushing Hakeem Watters 585 · Receiving Mehki Larronte Campfield 256 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | @Lindenwood | L 17-20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Powell 208 · Rush Wright 58 · Rec Dorsey 46 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Georgia Southern | L 0-31 137 | 0-2 | 0-1 | Pass Powell 69 · Rush Wright 14 · Rec Dorsey 42 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @The Citadel | W 26-20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | Pass Powell 84 · Rush Watters 56 · Rec Kindell 24 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | Point University | W 65-0 | 2-2 | 0-1 | Pass Powell 153 · Rush Watters 123 · Rec Kindell 64 |
| 4 | Bye week | |||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | Gardner-Webb | L 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-2 | Pass Powell 33 · Rush Watters 102 · Rec Kindell 21 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | South Carolina State | W 49-39 | 3-3 | 0-2 | Pass Echols 194 · Rush Watters 72 · Rec Campfield 82 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @Clemson | L 0-37 131 Firestorm | 3-4 | 0-2 | Pass Echols 50 · Rush Watters 46 · Rec Warren 38 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Tennessee State | W 20-7 | 4-4 | 1-2 | Pass Echols 199 · Rush Watters 46 · Rec Dorsey 46 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | Western Illinois | L 35-42 | 4-5 | 1-3 | Pass Clay 84 · Rush Watters 124 · Rec Smith 25 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | UT Martin | 2 pm ET78% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Southeast Missouri State | 2 pm ET54% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Eastern Illinois | 1 pm ET50% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Charleston Southern, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Western Illinois | L 35-42 | — | — | — | −0.187 | 27.1% | 1.49 | One-score loss |
| Oct 24 | @Tennessee State | W 20-7 | — | — | — | −0.089 | 41.5% | 0.91 | |
| Oct 17 | @Clemson | L 0-37 | 76 | 1 | 28:04 | −0.362 | 21.7% | 1.07 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 10 | South Carolina State | W 49-39 | — | — | — | +0.180 | 40.7% | 1.26 | |
| Oct 3 | Gardner-Webb | L 10-12 | — | — | — | −0.282 | 28.8% | 1.32 | One-score loss |
| Sep 19 | Point University | W 65-0 | — | — | — | +0.548 | 54.5% | 1.65 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @The Citadel | W 26-20 | — | — | — | −0.146 | 42.4% | 0.91 | One-score win |
| Sep 5 | @Georgia Southern | L 0-31 | 117 | 2 | 24:04 | −0.295 | 17.5% | 1.54 | Defense's roughest night |
| Aug 27 | @Lindenwood | L 17-20 | — | — | — | +0.005 | 42.4% | 1.18 | One-score loss |
| Season average (9 games) | 96 | 1.5 | −0.070 | 35.2% | 1.26 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Range of outcomes · Charleston Southern · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 5%; 5 wins 29%; 6 wins 45%; 7 wins 21%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-5
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among OVC teams the same season
Charleston Southern is the Lowcountry Buccaneer program climbing into FCS relevance, reborn from the Coastal Carolina rivalry and building a new identity.
Charleston Southern is the Lowcountry Buccaneer program climbing into FCS relevance, reborn from the Coastal Carolina rivalry and building a new identity.
Range of outcomes · Charleston Southern · 2026