The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Duke 39%, No. 23 South Carolina 40%, Syracuse 62%
Win out 8% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins
Clemson's chance to win each game left, from our model: Syracuse 62%, Georgia Tech 89%, Duke 39%, South Carolina 40%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Bowl chance went from 94% to 98%, peaking at 98% before a game
Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.
StandingTied for 5th in the ACC · 3-2 in conference play · All standings
LeadersPassing Tait Reynolds 1,287 · Rushing Gideon Davidson 528 · Receiving Bryant Wesco Jr. 411 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
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| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #11 | #31 | +10✗ −31 | @LSU | L 10-51 142 Loud | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Vizzina 83 · Rush Green 21 · Rec Moore 31 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #12 | #98 | −20.5✗ −5.5 | Georgia Southern | W 22-7 140 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Reynolds 178 · Rush Davidson 62 · Rec Moore 103 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #19 | #112 | −3✓ +5 | North Carolina | W 28-20 135 | 2-1 | 1-0 | Pass Reynolds 215 · Rush Davidson 105 · Rec Wesco Jr. 77 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | #23 | #72 | −2.5✓ +11.5 | @California | W 24-10 127 | 3-1 | 2-0 | Pass Reynolds 108 · Rush Davidson 159 · Rec Brown 29 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #27 | #8 | +14✗ −14 | Miami | L 13-41 137 | 3-2 | 2-1 | Pass Reynolds 295 · Rush Johnson Jr. 32 · Rec Wesco Jr. 152 |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #34 | #197 | −42.5✗ −5.5 | Charleston Southern | W 37-0 131 Firestorm | 4-2 | 2-1 | Pass Reynolds 127 · Rush Davidson 59 · Rec Bentancur 74 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #41 | #52 | −3✗ −7 | Virginia Tech | L 16-20 132 | 4-3 | 2-2 | Pass Reynolds 153 · Rush Reynolds 63 · Rec Brown 62 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | #43 | #59 | +4.5✓ +16.5 | @Florida State | W 36-24 138 | 5-3 | 3-2 | Pass Reynolds 189 · Rush Reynolds 85 · Rec Brown 74 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | #43 | #97 | −2.5 | @Syracuse | 12 pm ET · ESPN262% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | #42 | #127 | Georgia Tech | time TBA · The CW89% to win | ||||
| 12 | Nov 20 | @Duke | 7:30 pm ET · ESPN39% to win | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | −3 | South Carolina | time TBA | |||||
Win chances are our model for Clemson, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Clemson: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Florida State | W 36-24 | 351 | 0 | 34:11 | +0.064 | 33.8% | 1.36 | Most explosive |
| Oct 24 | Virginia Tech | L 16-20 | 288 | 0 | 27:36 | -0.057 | 38.1% | 1.17 | One-score loss |
| Oct 17 | Charleston Southern | W 37-0 | 438 | 2 | 31:56 | +0.015 | 44.8% | 0.96 | Best success rate |
| Oct 3 | Miami | L 13-41 | 350 | 2 | 27:31 | -0.078 | 40.0% | 1.30 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 25 | @California | W 24-10 | 363 | 2 | 34:07 | +0.057 | 36.4% | 1.33 | |
| Sep 19 | North Carolina | W 28-20 | 401 | 2 | 26:28 | +0.194 | 41.8% | 1.30 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | Georgia Southern | W 22-7 | 347 | 2 | 31:42 | -0.113 | 32.5% | 1.00 | |
| Sep 5 | @LSU | L 10-51 | 145 | 1 | 23:51 | -0.268 | 24.0% | 0.95 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Season average (8 games) | 335 | 1.4 | -0.023 | 36.4% | 1.17 | ||||
Clemson's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses
Sportsbook odds · Oct 19. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
What fans said
Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Once you saw what happened last night against Clemson, which, by the way, he would have to run the table to get to eight wins, you saw the way they lost
1% now · ▲ 1 point in the last week
Our simulation, 20,000 seasons a night, counted from the first full week of games.
Range of outcomes · Clemson · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 2%; 6 wins 17%; 7 wins 40%; 8 wins 32%; 9 wins 8%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
This event was in 720 of 6277 board posts (11%) over the last 60 days, a modest share of the conversation. Fan text is shown verbatim and credited to the community it came from; posters stay anonymous.
Board health this week (92 posts): 15% positive · 52% neutral · 33% negative. This is the team's mood for the whole week, across all topics. Board posters are a vocal, self-selected slice of the fanbase.
More in this tab
This week and this season
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-3
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among ACC teams the same season
Clemson is the dynasty a town of 17,000 built in the pines — now watching the architect who never left try to climb back to the standard he set himself.
The coastal panels never believed a champion could be raised in the upstate pines; the fanbase says they wrote the obituary in 2011 and again every down year, and Clemson built two titles answering…
Clemson · Game-day weather
Typical at Memorial Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 95, 3:30 pm Saturdays 90
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read it.
At kickoff, 110 regular-season Saturdays at each kickoff time, 2018 to 2025. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Clemson is the program that built a dynasty in a town nobody knew how to find.
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Range of outcomes · Clemson · 2026