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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / T.J. Moore /Clemson

T.J. Moore

WR · Clemson · So · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

837 REC YDS · 52 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Clemson for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Clemson for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Clemson · editorial

Returning around him

  • 83% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 9 Clemson players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (11 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Biletnikoff

Clemson · Last season: 7-6 (AP #12) · Talent rank #7 · 2026 recruiting class #26

WR · CLEMSON · ACC

T.J. Moore

  • 2
  • #1
  • 6-3 | 200 lb
  • Key West, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

76

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#264

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
6512024
8372025

+29%

Up 29% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#23 national
CFB
College
Clemson
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey1
Measurements6-3 | 200 lb
HometownKey West, FL
Primary teamClemson

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 23 recruit
Composite rating 0.9887 HighSchool
Signed with Clemson 2024
Origin Tampa Catholic Tampa, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 5-star | 0.9887 No. 23 recruit | HighSchool | Clemson

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#264Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#305Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (837).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to Clemson

Composite

0.9887

#23 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on T.J. Moore

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +50 · "The national narrative around LSU has completely flipped after the Tigers’ gritt"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about T.J. Moore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #62 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 88th

Why it matters

#62 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.1 yards per reception (52 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.1 (88th)

HIGH · n=52 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#52 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 8 vs SMU — 124 ypr

Result L 24-35

The week the volume broke through — put up 124 yds vs SMU.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
837Rec yards
52Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
64.4Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
837Rec yards
52Receptions
4Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 837.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

T.J. Moore's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Clemson, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #264 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 23 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 52 4 rec TD | #109/1110 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 837 16.1 per catch | #55/1107 (95th pct)
Scrimmage yards 845 Total offensive yardage | #55/1107 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
52 90th
YDS
837 95th
YPR
16.1 82nd
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
8 45th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 10-17vs LSU45513.8026
Wk 2W 27-16vs Troy111.001
Wk 3L 21-24@ Georgia Tech2168.009
Wk 4L 21-34vs Syracuse89211.5020
Wk 6W 38-10@ North Carolina510821.6175
Wk 7W 41-10@ Boston College11111.0011
Wk 8L 24-35vs SMU512424.8262Season-high 124 yds
Wk 10L 45-46vs Duke29246.0175
Wk 11W 24-10vs Florida State33712.3024
Wk 12W 20-19@ Louisville66811.3022
Wk 13W 45-10vs Furman34916.3019
Wk 14W 28-14@ South Carolina610116.8031
BowlL 10-22vs Penn State68313.8044
Total5283716.0475
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Clemson10-4HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Clemson7-6HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson5283716.14--
2024Clemson4565114.55--
Career2 loaded seasons971,48815.39--
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson28------
2024Clemson----------
Career2 loaded seasons28------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.9% 16.0% pass-game share | #202/1137 (82nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 52 #109/1110 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 837 #55/1107 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.1 #197/1106 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.0% #202/1137 82nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 8 #220/397 45th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 5 #261/346 25th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #47/1105 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.3% #172/1137 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.2% #212/1137 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.4% #113/1137 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.9% #149/1137 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.3% #213/1137 81st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.0% #148/1137 87th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g4.066.617.40.4
Road5g4.060.813.70.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.653.612.90.1
Losses6g4.577.019.70.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.952.311.50.1
Weeks 8+6g4.278.521.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

76All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (90th). Strength: rec yards (90th).

Long catch#43 / 558 · 91st pct
75rece
Rec yards#55 / 558 · 90th pct
837rece
Yards / catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
16.1rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Receptions#109 / 558 · 80th pct
52rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Rush yards#165 / 287 · 41st pct
8rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
T.J. MooreClemsonCorey RuckerArkansas State· 88% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 87% simCooper BarkateDuke· 86% sim
Long catch
91
Moore
85
Rucker
65
McMillan
93
Barkate
Rec yards
90
Moore
97
Rucker
96
McMillan
98
Barkate
Yards / catch
85
Moore
65
Rucker
84
McMillan
79
Barkate
Fumbles lost
81
Moore
Receptions
80
Moore
98
Rucker
90
McMillan
97
Barkate
Rec TDs
68
Moore
68
Rucker
57
McMillan
92
Barkate
Rush yards
41
Moore
55
Rucker
Rush TDs
39
Moore
39
Rucker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gunner Romney’s 2020 season.

Gunner Romney

71%match

BYU · 2020

#2

Corey Xavier Sutton

App State · 2021

76%
#3

Chase Roberts

BYU · 2024

76%
#4

Michael Jefferson

Louisiana · 2022

All-Sun Belt
74%
#5

Lawrence Arnold

Kansas · 2022

74%

Matches Gunner on

Weight
Height
Reception volume

Differs from Gunner on

Class year (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dillon Stoner’s path through Oklahoma State.

Dillon Stoner

100%match

Oklahoma State · 2020

#2

Josh Palmer

Tennessee · 2020

98%
#3

Blayne Taylor

Abilene Christian · 2024

98%
#4

Joshua Derry

Monmouth · 2025

98%
#5

Ben Ratzlaff

Houston Christian · 2020

97%

Matches Dillon on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Erik Ezukanma's sophomore season at Texas Tech (2021).

Erik Ezukanma

74%match

Texas Tech · 2021

#2

Braden Pegan

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West
75%
#3

Mike Matthews

Tennessee · 2025

73%
#4

Terrell Anderson

NC State · 2025

73%
#5

Hayden Eligon II

Northwestern · 2025

71%

Matches Erik on

TD rate
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Erik on

Weight (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dabo Swinney

Pass share

53.8%

474 pass / 407 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2025
Dabo Swinney
Clemson

Played his entire career under Dabo Swinney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKey West, FL
Height6'3"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Clemson WR2 #264 #305 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Clemson ACC WR 2 No. 1 | 6-3 | 200 lb | Key West, FL
2024 Clemson ACC WR 2 No. 1 | 6-3 | 200 lb | Key West, FL