cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keelan Marion /Miami

Keelan Marion

WR · Miami · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

746 REC YDS · 57 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Miami

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

WR · MIAMI · ACC

Keelan Marion

  • 4
  • 6-0 | 195 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#177

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R12 All-American · 2024

2021

UConn · WR

2022

UConn · WR

2023

BYU · WR

2024

BYU · WR

R12 · All-American

Elite

2025

Miami · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
4742021
89.02022
2162023
3462024
7462025

+57%

Up 57% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#3390 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-0 | 195 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 7 recruit
Composite rating 0.8085 PrepSchool
Signed with UConn 2020
Origin Duplicate Lawrenceville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8085 No. 7 recruit | PrepSchool | UConn
2019 2-star | 0.7794 No. 3390 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#177Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#163Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UConn

Composite

0.8085

#7 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keelan Marion

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

61

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 9 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 9 mentions · belief +22 · "The number five Miami Hurricanes make another STATEMENT WIN, blowing up 18th ran"Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Miami WR Keelan Marion blames self for Carson Beck interception: 'All on me'"National
  • Own fans · n=9
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keelan Marion

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 16g
746Rec yards
57Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
46.6Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
746Rec yards
57Receptions
2Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 746.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Keelan Marion already has 6 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #177 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 57 2 rec TD | #78/1110 (93rd pct)
Receiving yards 746 13.1 per catch | #85/1107 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 771 Total offensive yardage | #85/1107 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
57 93rd
YDS
746 92nd
YPR
13.1 60th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
25 72nd
YPC
6.3 70th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
293 85th
KR AVG
24.4 83rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 16 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame3299.7014
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman177.007
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida68113.5036
Wk 4W 26-7vs Florida188.008
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville5336.6015
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford2189.0011
Wk 10L 20-26@ SMU57715.4021
Wk 11W 38-10vs Syracuse311638.7161Season-high 116 yds
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State79613.7035
Wk 13W 34-17@ Virginia Tech67913.2032
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh2136.508
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M33311.0020
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State5367.2014
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss711416.3152
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana166.006
Total5774612.1261
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UConn1-11HC: Lou Spanos · Balanced
2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023BYU5-7HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2024BYU11-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami5774613.12--
2024BYU2434614.41--
2023BYU2021610.80--
2022UConn48922.21--
2021UConn2847416.95--
Career5 loaded seasons1331,87114.19--
SeasonTeam
2025Miami425293----
2024BYU2196472----
2023BYU940393----
2022UConn----------
2021UConn----16124--
Career5 loaded seasons341611,174124--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.9% 15.9% pass-game share | #204/1137 (82nd pct)
Return yards 293 0 return TD | #36/238 (85th pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 57 #78/1110 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 746 #85/1107 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.1 #441/1106 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 293 #36/238 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.9% #204/1137 82nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 25 #113/397 72nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 22 #56/346 84th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.3 #118/393 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 61 #167/1105 85th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 24.4 #41/236 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 12 #44/243 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.1% #93/1137 92nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.0% #96/1137 92nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.0% #116/1137 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.9% #221/1137 81st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #284/1137 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.6% #474/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.8% #225/1137 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 16 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g3.548.513.30.1
Road8g3.644.810.80.1

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins13g3.548.512.80.2
Losses3g3.738.79.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-79g3.034.99.80.1
Weeks 8+7g4.361.714.70.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

65Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (85th). Strength: rec yards (84th).

Receptions#78 / 558 · 85th pct
57rece
Rec yards#85 / 558 · 85th pct
746rece
Long catch#149 / 558 · 73rd pct
61rece
Rush yards#95 / 287 · 67th pct
25rush
Yards / catch#268 / 558 · 51st pct
13.1rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Keelan MarionMiamiSean WilsonDelaware· 89% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 88% simRyan DavisUtah· 86% sim
Receptions
85
Marion
94
Wilson
95
III
91
Davis
Rec yards
85
Marion
91
Wilson
90
III
83
Davis
Long catch
73
Marion
58
Wilson
68
III
67
Davis
Rush yards
67
Marion
80
III
Yards / catch
51
Marion
49
Wilson
44
III
36
Davis
Rec TDs
42
Marion
57
Wilson
68
III
68
Davis
Rush TDs
39
Marion
39
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Meredith’s 2025 season.

Josh Meredith

89%match

Washington State · 2025

#2

Jared Brown

Coastal Carolina · 2023

All-Sun Belt
84%
#3

Trell Harris

Virginia · 2025

81%
#4

Kyri Shoels

San José State · 2025

78%
#5

Zakhari Franklin

Illinois · 2024

78%

Matches Josh on

EPA / play (adj)
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Josh on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Keagan Johnson's graduate season at New Mexico (2025).

Keagan Johnson

80%match

New Mexico · 2025

#2

Michael Jackson III

Purdue · 2025

63%
#3

Bryce Kirtz

Northwestern · 2024

63%
#4

Cam Ross

Virginia · 2025

62%
#5

C.J. Daniels

LSU · 2024

61%

Matches Keagan on

Yards / reception
Weight
TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jess Simpson
Miami
2022
Mario Cristobal
Miami
era →
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Coaching transition mid-career: Jess Simpson → Mario Cristobal. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

6 entries
🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2024)

5 selectors honored him

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

5 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big 12 all_conference BYU | Big 12 RET
2024 All-America (USA Today) all_america BYU | USA Today AP-RET
2024 All-America (PFF) all_america BYU | PFF AP-RET
2024 All-America (CBS) all_america BYU | CBS AP-RET
2024 All-America (WCFF) all_america BYU | WCFF AP-RET
2024 All-America (FWAA) all_america BYU | FWAA AP-RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 BYU WR4 #177 #163 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 BYU WR4 #1556 #1945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 UConn WR4 #2027 #2508 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 UConn WR4 #925 #1376 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC WR 4 6-0 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 BYU Big 12 WR 4 6-0 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 BYU Big 12 WR 4 6-0 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 UConn FBS Independents WR 4 6-0 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2021 UConn FBS Independents WR 4 6-0 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA