Clemson 36-24 Florida State (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Clemson · Florida State

Clemson5-336

Florida State3-524Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Fla. · Crowd 60,472

Clemson beat Florida State 36-24.

We had Florida State favored. Clemson won.

Next: Clemson at Syracuse, Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Clemson favored by 2.5

Next: Florida State at Boston College, Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Florida State favored by 7

That might be our best QB run since the one Trevor popped in the Fiesta Bowl

A Clemson fan

How it swung

The turning point: Reynolds 79-yd TD run, Clemson leads 36-24 (Q4, 3:17). Clemson went from 68% to 94% to win. Fans right then: “Washington flexing like he didn’t just give up a 50 yard TD” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Clemson a 50% chance, and the closing betting line (Clemson was a 4.5-point underdog) put it at 36%.

A tight one: Clemson bottomed out at 30% and won.

Up to 70% in the first quarter, then Florida State lost it.

79-yard TD run

Clemson · Q4 3:17

FinalClemson 36-24 Florida StateClemson wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 3:17Reynolds 79-yd TD run, Clemson leads 36-24Clemson 68% → 94% (+26)
2Q4 1:03InterceptionDaniels intercepted by Washington at the CLM00Clemson 96% → 70% (−26)

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 3:17Reynolds 79-yd TD run, Clemson leads 36-24Florida State 32% → 6% (−26)
2Q4 1:03InterceptionDaniels intercepted by Washington at the CLM00Florida State 4% → 30% (+26)

Washington flexing like he didn’t just give up a 50 yard TD

Q4 5:30 · A Clemson fan · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 1:38Reynolds 4-yd TD pass to Patt-Henry, Clemson leads 20-10You can throw 2 touchdowns?r/CFB game thread
Q3 4:15Daniels fumbles, Clemson recovers; fans mock FSU's collapse and Norvell's jobI think...I think Daniels might be in on it now. He's trying to get Norvell fired tonight.r/CFB game thread
Q4 5:30Daniels throws a 41-yard touchdown pass to Lopez, making it 29-24

Clemson’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Florida State -4.5), at 31% for Clemson (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Florida State or Clemson flair (440 and 797); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Clemson’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Clemson scored on 8 of its 14 drives; Florida State on 4 of its 13.

Clemson’s drives are teal, Florida State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Florida State’s side

Florida State’s best moment: Daniels intercepted by Washington at the CLM00 (Q4 1:03). It lifted Florida State’s win chance by 26 points.

How Florida State fans took it: “Surely this is the nail in the Norvel coffin” r/CFB game thread

How fans reacted

Steady

It came down to the finish, and so did the noise.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Clemson fans

hauser“Nolan Hauser is 4 field goals away from tying Clemsons single season record”

Florida State fans

norvell“We had a few certified skill issues from the players but I still contend that Mike Norvell is poop from a butt”

white“Oh how I wish UCLA would've taken Tony White off our hands before his defense started getting exposed on an almost weekly basis.”

fire“Everyone asking if we are going to fire our coach like we wouldn’t have done it by now if we had the money 😭”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: back, getting, two, put.

What it cost

Clemson’s chance to win the conference rose from 0% to 1%.

Win the conference

Clemson · won0% → ▲1%

Florida State · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.

Clemson plays at Syracuse on Sat Nov 7 with a 1% chance to win the conference.

Box score

Clemson 36, Florida State 24

Clemson covered +4.5 by 16.5. The total, 60, went over 50.5.

Team totals	Clemson	Florida State
Total yards	351	415
Passing	18 of 32, 189 yds	21 of 33, 350 yds
Rushing	44 for 162 yds	29 for 65 yds
First downs	19	21
Third down	4 of 17	1 of 10
Fourth down	2 of 2	0 of 1
Turnovers	0	4
Penalties	6 for 70 yds	6 for 43 yds
Time of possession	34:11	25:49

Clemson leaders

Passing Tait Reynolds 18 of 32, 189 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Tait Reynolds 14 for 85 yds, 1 TD; Jarvis Green 9 for 37 yds
Receiving Tyler Brown 5 for 74 yds; T.J. Moore 3 for 36 yds

Florida State leaders

Passing Ashton Daniels 21 of 33, 350 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
Rushing Tre Wisner 13 for 43 yds; Ashton Daniels 15 for 21 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Micahi Danzy 4 for 108 yds, 1 TD; Jayvan Boggs 2 for 64 yds

No rain, gusts to 31 mph

79° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 14 mph from the east-northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 31

A 31 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 95% of games since 2018.

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

The usual here around this date is 69°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 77°.

October game-day temperatures at Doak Campbell Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 3:17 left10:30 p.m.

Clemson 36, Florida State 24 · Florida State 6% to win

no rain · wind 12 mph from the east-northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 18 · 73°

Reynolds 79-yd TD run, Clemson leads 36-24

Measured at Tallahassee Rgnl airport, 4.2 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Clemson · 4-3

Rated 11th in our preseason ratings, 43rd now, down 32 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 16-20 vs Virginia Tech No. 53 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 3-point favorite

W 37-0 vs Charleston Southern No. 194 of 668 teams

won by 37 as a 42.5-point favorite

L 13-41 vs MiamiTop 25 No. 7 of 668 teams

lost by 28 as a 14-point underdog

W 24-10 @ California No. 74 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 28-20 vs North Carolina No. 100 of 668 teams

won by 8 as a 3-point favorite

W 22-7 vs Georgia Southern No. 85 of 668 teams

won by 15 as a 20.5-point favorite

L 10-51 @ LSUTop 25 No. 27 of 668 teams

lost by 41 as a 10-point underdog

Last three games

Florida State · 3-4

Rated 82nd in our preseason ratings, 59th now, up 23 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 31-point win over Virginia as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 35-43 @ MiamiTop 25 No. 5 of 668 teams

lost by 8 as a 20.5-point underdog

L 20-44 @ LouisvilleTop 25 No. 36 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 4-point underdog

W 38-7 vs VirginiaTop 25 No. 53 of 668 teams

won by 31 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 34-7 vs Central Arkansas No. 207 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 45.5-point favorite

L 36-50 @ AlabamaTop 25 No. 16 of 668 teams

lost by 14 as an 18.5-point underdog

L 24-27 vs SMUTop 25 No. 15 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 3-point underdog

W 34-17 vs New Mexico State No. 148 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 30.5-point favorite

Week by week

Florida State

Wk 3Lat Alabama36-50
Wk 4Wvs Central Arkansas34-7
Wk 5Wvs Virginia38-7
Wk 6Lat Louisville20-44
Wk 7Lat Miami35-43

Clemson

Wk 3Wvs North Carolina28-20
Wk 4Wat California24-10
Wk 5Lvs Miami13-41
Wk 7Wvs Charleston Southern37-0
Wk 8Lvs Virginia Tech16-20

Power rating by week

Clemson is rated 2.1 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Clemson’s success rate against Florida State, 33 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Clemson’s success rate against Florida State’s defense
Clemson offense, 6th percentile · Florida State defense, 39th
Florida State’s rushing EPA against Clemson’s defense
Florida State offense, 79th percentile · Clemson defense, 52nd
Florida State’s explosive plays against Clemson’s defense
Florida State offense, 94th percentile · Clemson defense, 78th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

ClemsonFlorida State

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Florida State leads the series 21-17

38 meetings since 1970 · Clemson has won the last 2

2025Clemson 24-10
2024Clemson 29-13
2023Florida State 31-24
2022Clemson 34-28
2021Clemson 30-20

Each line is Florida State’s chance to win through that meeting. Florida State is 1-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Clemson fans are in a better mood than Florida State fans (31st percentile vs 1st among FBS fanbases), even with Florida State favored.

Florida State favored by 4.5 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

Florida State by 4.5: the game against the usual path

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 426 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 6 points toward Florida State.

The total fell 1 point.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Florida State is worth +7.0 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 93rd percentile.

57% at home, 30% on the road against FBS opponents (29-22 home, 12-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.2 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 305 miles to get here.

The story going in

Florida State fires AD Michael AlfordOct 28, 2026
Clemson, UNC support college sports billOct 27, 2026

Last meeting in our History pages

Florida State 31, Clemson 24Sep 23, 2023

Our History pages cover 3 of their meetings since 2016.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Florida State17th1-3
Clemson8th2-2

Full ACC standings

Clemson beats Florida State 36-24