New Mexico State
Florida State
11:00 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

What’s at stake

Florida State

  • A win puts Florida State a step closer to a 2% shot at the CFP field.
  • Florida State is coming off a 17-point win.

New Mexico State

  • New Mexico State is still shaking off a 17-point loss.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Florida State leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 1964 · Florida State has won the last 2

  • 2026Florida State 34–17
  • 1964Florida State 36–0

Best players

Florida State

  • Jalen Anderson (DL) · 1 sacks
  • Ashlynd Barker (DB) · 8 tackles
  • Ousmane Kromah (RB) · 115 rushing yards

New Mexico State

  • Sone Aupiu (LB) · 8 tackles
  • Brodrick Malone (WR) · 96 receiving yards
  • Gabe Peterson (DE) · 7 tackles

The line, and the room

New Mexico State fans are feeling better about their season (99th percentile) than Florida State fans are (9th) — even with Florida State favored here.

  • Model · 80%
  • Market · 99%
  • Florida State fans · 9th
  • New Mexico State fans · 99th

Home −31 · O/U 53.5

Conditions

81°F · 0 mph wind · Heavy Rain Shower

Home-field advantage: Elite

Florida State is 63% at home, 32% on the road since 2018 (34-20 home, 12-25 away).

New Mexico State 17 – Florida State 34

Florida State 34: 67%New Mexico State 17: 33%

Called it — picked Florida State to win.

Players to watch

Florida State

  • Jalen Anderson DL1 Sacks
  • Ashlynd Barker DB8 Tackles
  • Ousmane Kromah RB115 Rushing yards
  • Chris Jones LB6 Tackles
  • Ashton Daniels QB202 Passing yards

New Mexico State

  • Sone Aupiu LB8 Tackles
  • Brodrick Malone WR96 Receiving yards
  • Gabe Peterson DE7 Tackles
  • Nicolas Sessions S7 Tackles
  • Trey Hedden QB272 Passing yards

The market

Spread: −29.5 → −31

Florida State handled New Mexico State 34-17, matching the pregame favorite.