Louisiana Tech

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Sun Belt · Sonny Cumbie, year 5 (20-32) · Joe Aillet Stadium · 28,019 · 13,108 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#80 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #80 (-3.8) · FPI #94
The marketBaylor by 19.5at Baylor · our model 22% Louisiana Tech · a number, not a pick

LastL 14–45 at LSU · Sat Sep 12 · Alonzo Jackson Jr. 3 sacks, 3.5 TFL, 12 tackles

Nextat Baylor · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · McLane Stadium · Baylor by 19.5 · series 1-5, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Louisiana Tech · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#88#261-44.5Northwestern StateW 80–6 1201-00-0
2Sep 12#90#27+34.5@LSUL 14–45 1401-10-0
3Sep 19#80#34+19.5@Baylor
5Oct 3Army
6Oct 10Louisiana
7Oct 17@UL Monroe
8Oct 24Old Dominion
9Oct 31@South Alabama
10Nov 7@Troy
11Nov 14Southern Miss
12Nov 21Arkansas State
13Nov 28@Georgia Southern
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@LSUL 14–45140325:51-0.28114.3%154.3%
Sep 5Northwestern StateW 80–6528024:52+0.59946.7%181.5%
Season average (2 games)3341.5+0.15930.5%167.9%
Verdict Begins·Live

Louisiana Tech is the little Ruston school that produced Terry Bradshaw and a national title — a program that doesn't chase glamour but quietly carries a pedigree most of its peers will never have.

Title DroughtSince 2011 · 15 yrs

Fans are tired of their program being treated as a footnote — they'll remind anyone who'll listen that the sport's most famous quarterback came from Ruston, and that the Bulldogs have a national title…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 8-5 · last season

Game feel48rock fightscombined pts / game12th highest-scoring of 12 in the Conference USA
Heart rate1-2rarely closein one-score games (3 of 13)12th most one-score games of 12 in the Conference USA
Margin+6.5comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 12 in the Conference USA
Tempo65methodicaloffensive plays / game10th fastest of 12 in the Conference USA
Big plays1.20grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 12 in the Conference USA
Home crowd21,514avg attendance1st biggest crowds of 11 in the Conference USA

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Conference USA teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Louisiana Tech has won four of its last five.

Warming. 5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Baylor · away

SoftRun-heavy, ground-controlElite

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#111 in field+100000
Sun Belt title#5 in market+850

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Louisiana Tech · the story right now 4 storylines developing

What Louisiana Tech's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Louisiana Tech leaped 33 spots in SP+ — 8-5 under Cumbie proves the ceiling is higher than Conference USA's historic-North-Louisiana-football identity suggests.

what happenedLouisiana Tech enters 2025 rated No. 77 in SP+ (-1.3), up 33 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Andrew Burnette sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Eli Finley is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Louisiana Tech leaped 33 spots in SP+ — the 8-5 record and Joe Aillet Stadium legacy suggest a return to prominence, but the 116th talent rank raises questions about sustaining.

what happenedLouisiana Tech enters 2026 rated No. 77 in 2025 SP+ (-1.3), up 33 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downLouisiana Tech's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
ReplacedLouisiana Tech's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →

Outcome band · Louisiana Tech · 2026

Louisiana Tech's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Louisiana Tech · Season outlook Confidence

One of the biggest jumps in the country. Louisiana Tech has to prove the model right.

Louisiana Tech enters 2025 rated No. 77 in SP+ (-1.3), up 33 spots from 2024. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers6 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 19% volume · mostly neutral
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Louisiana Tech leaped 33 spots in SP+ — 8-5 under Cumbie proves the ceiling is higher than Conference USA's historic-North-Louisiana-football identity suggests.
Source of record: Louisiana Tech enters 2025 rated No. 77 in SP+ (-1.3), up 33 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“The Good, Bad and Ugly of LSU's Win to Louisiana Tech” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“The Good, Bad and Ugly of LSU's Win to Louisiana Tech”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Sam Leavitt Bounces Back After 1st Half From Hell To Burn Louisiana Tech”
TigerRag.com | · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Everything Lane Kiffin said after Louisiana Tech”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Where is LSU football ranked after hard-fought win v Louisiana Tech in Week 2?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“PALMER: Run game now a concern as monster matchups loom” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“PALMER: Run game now a concern as monster matchups loom”
Louisiana Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“"It's football, you will have bad plays," LSU Football players on learning from mistakes LA Tech win”
lsureveille.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards19% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (62%).

This event was in 40 of 209 board posts (19%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"i know i’m scraping the bottom of the barrel but lsu twitter fans are dumb as rocks. a tech account posted some lighthearted trash talk and all the replies are tiger fans talking a"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Im in a dorm with built in wifi and I got a wireless printer for us to use but I couldn't for the life of me find out how to get it working on the wifi. The printer I have is a Can"
r/LouisianaTech ~ fan take

Board health this week (78 posts): 28% positive · 40% neutral · 32% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

Southern Miss
Mixed
+2
Rivalry in Dixie

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Louisiana Tech is the Conference USA program whose Terry Bradshaw 1968-1969 + 2014 C-USA West Division title + Skip Holtz era + Joe Aillet Stadium define what historic-North-Louisiana-football looks like.

Offense: SoftRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlDefense: Elite
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Louisiana Tech

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production64%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#124 nationally247 composite 543.0
Portal Additions11Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses24Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#99Depth class
WRin 2 - Talyn Shettron3.60out 5 - Marlion Jackson3.50Starter Risk
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Deep Threat2024 profilebeats you over the top
Sin 2 - Ty Jones3.50out 4 - Michael Richard Jr.3.50Starter Risk
RBin 2 - Jaden Miller3.50out 4 - Clay Thevenin3.50Starter Risk
current room: 205 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Demario Bookhart3.50out 4 - Demarcus Griffin-Taylor3.49Starter Risk
current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 1 - Justice Williams1.00out 2 - Christian Davis3.50Downgrade
current room: 266 lbs avg (2025 roster)
QBin 0out 2 - Evan Bullock3.49Starter Risk
current room: 219 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (112 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Louisiana Tech

1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Alonzo Jackson Jr.: 12 tackles · 3.5 TFL · 3 sacks at LSU

    Top 1% tackles for loss game since 2021. at LSU (FBS) L 14-45.

    Sep 12
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-14.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: -35.1 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
WR
-7.9
starter risk
S
-7.1
starter risk
DL
-5.8
RB
-4.6
starter risk
QB
-4.5
starter risk
CB
-4.3
starter risk
EDGE
+3.6
low confidence
LB
-3.6
low confidence
OT
+3.5
low confidence
IOL
-3.5
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Demarcus Belton
RB · Alvarado, TX
#1114 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
AJ Tarvin
CB · Hattiesburg, MS
#1336 national
★★★☆☆
Kenny Thomas
RB · Stonewall, LA
#1566 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

24
TX · 10LA · 9CA · 2CO · 1MD · 1MS · 1

TX leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

94 signees across 10 states, 2023-2026. LA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCA8UT1CO1NEMOKYWVVAMD1DERIAZNMKS4ARTNNCSCDCOKLA35MS10AL1GA2AKHITX31FL
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Louisiana Tech player grew up 236 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

39th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%104–338 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi25%27 of 109 players
Farthest1,704 miKaden McIver · Oakland, CA
Closest1 miJadon Mayfield · Ruston, LA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Joe Aillet Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 109 of 112 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns LA · 2026 roster

39% of the Louisiana Tech roster grew up in LA.

43 of 111 players, drawn from 14 states in all. That is the 43rd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

LA · 43TX · 32CA · 8FL · 7MS · 6OK · 4GA · 3CO · 2+6 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

111 players across 14 states. Biggest pull outside LA: TX (32).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOH1PANJCTCA8UTCO2NEMO1KYWVVAMD1DERIAZNMKSAR1TNNCSC1DCOK4LA43MS6AL1GA3AKHITX32FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] WKU Defeats Louisiana Tech 28-27 (OT)
259 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] WKU @ Louisiana Tech (7:30 PM ET)
27 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 57% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

77th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
77th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
Fans 51pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

29% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~18% league average.

4 interceptions of 14 disrupted passes (10 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

7 penalties committed, 16 drawn on opponents — netting a 100-yard field-position edge.

65 penalty yards committed vs. 165 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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