cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marlion Jackson /Louisiana Tech

Marlion Jackson

WR · Louisiana Tech · Jr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

370 REC YDS · 20 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Louisiana Tech → Virginia Tech for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Virginia Tech

2025Louisiana Tech
2026Virginia Tech

WR · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA

Marlion Jackson

  • 3
  • #9
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Flowery Branch, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4983

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1612023
3702025

+130%

Up 130% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey9
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownFlowery Branch, GA
Primary teamLouisiana Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Virginia Tech 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Louisiana Tech -> Virginia Tech 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4983Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5496Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (370).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marlion Jackson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Josh Poslusny projects Virginia Tech Football's two-deep depth chart. Read more "RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marlion Jackson

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

18.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #14 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 98th

Why it matters

#14 of 531 All FBS WRs at 18.5 yards per reception (20 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 18.5 (98th)

MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#335 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 9 vs Western Kentucky — 103 ypr

Result L 27-28

The week the volume broke through — put up 103 yds vs Western Kentucky.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
370Rec yards
20Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
37Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
481Rec yards
26Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 370): needs 110/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 370): needs 210/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 13.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marlion Jackson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisiana Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4983 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 20 2 rec TD | #417/1110 (63rd pct)
Receiving yards 370 18.5 per catch | #310/1107 (72nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 389 Total offensive yardage | #310/1107 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
20 63rd
YDS
370 72nd
YPR
18.5 91st
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
19 64th
YPC
6.3 70th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 7-23@ LSU
Wk 3W 49-14vs New Mexico State14242.0142
Wk 5W 30-11@ UTEP34414.7027
Wk 7L 7-35@ Kennesaw State34916.3028
Wk 9L 27-28vs Western Kentucky610317.2041Season-high 103 yds
Wk 10W 55-14vs Sam Houston22613.0020
Wk 11L 24-25@ Delaware11818.0018
Wk 13W 34-28vs Liberty
Wk 14W 42-30@ Missouri State111.001
BowlW 23-14vs Coastal Carolina38729.0152
Total2037018.9252
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025Louisiana Tech8-5HC: Sonny Cumbie · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech2037018.52--
2023Louisiana Tech1216113.40--
Career2 loaded seasons3253116.62--
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech319------
2023Louisiana Tech21------
Career2 loaded seasons520------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 10.2% pass-game share | #478/1137 (58th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 20 #417/1110 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 370 #310/1107 72nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 18.5 #98/1106 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.2% #478/1137 58th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 19 #142/397 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #122/346 65th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.3 #118/393 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.6% #637/1137 44th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.5% #597/1137 48th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.0% #560/1137 51st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.4% #618/1137 46th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.9% #827/1137 27th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.8% #225/1137 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.451.625.30.4
Road5g1.622.412.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g1.733.319.90.3
Losses4g2.542.517.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.044.425.50.4
Weeks 8+5g2.029.612.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

51Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (96th). Concern: receptions (23rd).

Yards / catch#21 / 558 · 96th pct
18.5rece
Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct
52rece
Rush yards#115 / 287 · 60th pct
19rush
Rec yards#310 / 558 · 45th pct
370rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Receptions#417 / 558 · 24th pct
20rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Marlion JacksonLouisiana TechHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 66% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 63% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 62% sim
Yards / catch
96
Jackson
78
III
44
III
59
Duplessis
Long catch
60
Jackson
65
III
68
III
81
Duplessis
Rush yards
60
Jackson
20
III
80
III
60
Duplessis
Rec yards
45
Jackson
94
III
90
III
91
Duplessis
Rec TDs
42
Jackson
68
III
68
III
78
Duplessis
Rush TDs
39
Jackson
39
III
39
III
39
Duplessis
Fumbles lost
36
Jackson
36
III
36
III
Receptions
24
Jackson
90
III
95
III
92
Duplessis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaden Bray’s 2021 season.

Jaden Bray

84%match

Oklahoma State · 2021

#2

Donavon Greene

Virginia Tech · 2025

82%
#3

Brenden Rice

Colorado · 2021

NFL Rd 7
80%
#4

Chas Nimrod

South Florida · 2025

78%
#5

Treon Sibley

Liberty · 2024

78%

Matches Jaden on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume

Differs from Jaden on

TD rate (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tre Nixon’s path through UCF.

Tre Nixon

100%match

UCF · 2020

NFL Rd 7
#2

Beau Kelly

Portland State · 2022

99%
#3

Will Vereen

South Carolina State · 2021

99%
#4

Jaivon Heiligh

Coastal Carolina · 2021

All-Sun Belt
97%
#5

Joseph Williams

Colorado · 2025

96%

Matches Tre on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Mark Walker's junior season at Navy (2022).

Mark Walker

81%match

Navy · 2022

#2

Jordan Kerley

SMU · 2023

80%
#3

Chas Nimrod

South Florida · 2025

78%
#4

Daniel Jackson

Iowa State · 2023

77%
#5

Ayden Greene

Virginia Tech · 2025

76%

Matches Mark on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Reception volume

Differs from Mark on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Cumbie

Pass share

37.1%

311 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech
2025
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech

Played his entire career under Sonny Cumbie.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFlowery Branch, GA
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech WR3 #4983 #5496 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Louisiana Tech WR3 #3700 #4362 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Louisiana Tech WR3 #5451 #5968 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisiana Tech Conference USA WR 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Flowery Branch, GA
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA WR 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Flowery Branch, GA
2023 Louisiana Tech Conference USA WR 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Flowery Branch, GA
2022 Louisiana Tech Conference USA WR 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Flowery Branch, GA