Virginia Tech

2-0

ACC · James Franklin, year 1 (2-0) · Lane Stadium · 65,632 · 65,632 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#42 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #25 (+12.4) · FPI #31
The marketVirginia Tech by 3at Maryland · our model 50% Virginia Tech · a number, not a pick

LastW 44–21 vs Old Dominion · Sat Sep 12 · Mylachi Williams 2 sacks, 3.5 TFL, 4 tackles

Nextat Maryland · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 pm ET · SECU Stadium · Virginia Tech by 3 · series 15-17, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Virginia Tech · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#51#265-54.5VMIW 73–3 1281-00-0
2Sep 12#50#64-17.5Old DominionW 44–21 1382-00-0
3Sep 19#43#66-3@Maryland
4Sep 26#42#134@Boston College
5Oct 2Pittsburgh
6Oct 10@California
7Oct 17Georgia Tech
8Oct 24@Clemson
10Nov 7@SMU
11Nov 14Stanford
12Nov 21@Miami
13Nov 28Virginia
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Old DominionW 44–21416238:24+0.20837.1%153.4%
Sep 5VMIW 73–3619228:33+0.53764.9%110.2%
Season average (2 games)5182.0+0.37351.0%131.8%
Verdict Begins·Live

Virginia Tech is the program that runs out to Enter Sandman in front of 65,000 still chasing the altitude of the Frank Beamer years — and just bet its restoration on James Franklin, hired the same fall both he and the Hokies hit bottom.

Title DroughtSince 2010 · 16 yrs

Hokie fans are tired of being written up as a faded name, a program whose best days are spoken about in the past tense. They say the foundation never left — it just needed a coach who could finally us…

settled
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 73–3 vs VMI · Sat Sep 5
Ahead
Fri Nov 6AP #16 SMUat SMU · on the road
Sat Nov 21Miami-Virginia Techat AP #5 Miami · on the road
Sat Nov 28Commonwealth Cupvs AP #25 Virginia · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 3-9 · last season

Game feel52even gamescombined pts / game10th highest-scoring of 17 in the ACC
Heart rate2-1rarely closein one-score games (3 of 12)15th most one-score games of 17 in the ACC
Margin-8.8outgunnedavg scoring margin15th best margin of 17 in the ACC
Tempo64methodicaloffensive plays / game16th fastest of 17 in the ACC
Big plays1.26some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)9th most explosive of 17 in the ACC
Home crowd59,946avg attendance4th biggest crowds of 17 in the ACC

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among ACC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Virginia Tech has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 4-6 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Maryland · away

Season line7.0 winsover +100
SolidPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 7▲0.5 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#31 in field+25000
ACC title#7 in market+2200

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Virginia Tech · the story right now 10 storylines developing

What Virginia Tech's rivalry reset is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

rivalrythis cycle~readnew

James Franklin inherits a 3-9 losing record at Virginia Tech, where the program's identity hinges on legacy and the need to reverse a long-standing rivalry streak.

what happenedVirginia Tech: a rivalry result reversing the streak. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Franklin, who led Penn State to a national title, inherits a 3-9 roster and 50% returning production — Virginia Tech's identity as a program with a 1999 hangover hangs in the balance.

what happenedJames Franklin took over as Virginia Tech's head coach, replacing Brent Pry. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Brent Pry (16-24)

our readdeveloping

identitythis cycle~readnew

Brent Pry's fourth season opens with a 3-9 losing record — the program's identity hinges on whether the Lunch Pail defense can reclaim its legacy amid shifting fan expectations.

what happenedVirginia Tech: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

James Franklin inherits a 3-9 losing record at Virginia Tech, where the program's identity hinges on legacy and the need to rebuild after a coordinator change.

what happenedVirginia Tech: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

market_swing2026-09-10✓ factnew

Virginia Tech win total rose from 6.5 to 7 (+0.5 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier C).

the contextwin total up 0.5 from 6.5 to 7.0

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle✓ factnew

Ayden Greene is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.

our readdeveloping

portal2025-05-05~readnew

Brent Pry's highest-ranked portal class on record arrives as Virginia Tech rebuilds after a 3-9 season, with Ethan Grunkemeyer (QB) addressing a QB room that returns 89% of its production.

what happenedVirginia Tech signed a top-39 transfer-portal class — 30 additions headlined by Garret Rangel (QB) from Oklahoma State and Caleb Brown (CB) from Hawai'i. ✓ fact
the contextprogram's highest-ranked portal class on record

our readdeveloping

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Virginia Tech collapsed 75 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the ACC this cycle, and Brent Pry's job is to prove it isn't structural with No. 40 talent.

what happenedVirginia Tech enters 2025 rated No. 105 in SP+ (-10.1), down 75 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Brent Pry enters his fourth season at Virginia Tech, a program defined by its legacy, after a 3-9 losing record that contrasts with its storied past.

what happenedVirginia Tech: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Virginia Tech collapsed 75 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record and 40th talent rank reveal a program stuck between its 1999 legacy and a modern reality Brent Pry must reconcile this season.

what happenedVirginia Tech enters 2026 rated No. 105 in 2025 SP+ (-10.1), down 75 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedVirginia Tech's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downVirginia Tech's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Virginia Tech · 2026

Virginia Tech's most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Virginia Tech · Developing Confidence

Virginia Tech: a rivalry result reversing the streak.

Virginia Tech: a rivalry result reversing the streak.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers8 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 5% volume · mostly neutral
Developing1 new this week
5 days agoWin total: 6.5 → 7 (▲0.5)
2 weeks agoPenn State transfer named starting QB — Reported
3 weeks agoS DQ Smith transfer commits from South Carolina — CFBD /player/portal
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
James Franklin inherits a 3-9 losing record at Virginia Tech, where the program's identity hinges on legacy and the need to reverse a long-standing rivalry streak.
Source of record: Virginia Tech: a rivalry result reversing the streak.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Virginia Tech G Montavious Cunningham Suspended for First Half o” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Virginia Tech G Montavious Cunningham Suspended for First Half of Maryland Game”
The Tech Lunch Pail · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“The Good, the Bad and the Ugly From Virginia Tech's 44-21 Win Over Old Dominion”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers8 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“James Franklin's postgame statement should put future Virginia Tech opponents on notice”
Fighting Gobbler · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“CC On Sunday: Virginia Tech Wins With Passing”
TechSideline · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Virginia Tech claims revenge on Old Dominion in 44-21 win”
Collegiate Times · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards5% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (73%).

This event was in 172 of 3634 board posts (5%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Virginia Tech receives 11 votes. Expected to not be in the top 25, interesting to track as the season goes on though, especially after Maryland next week."
r/hokies ~ fan take
"I feel like you’re insinuating that Virginia Tech is going to hire Dan Lanning next year?"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (892 posts): 23% positive · 44% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Following now · Virginia Tech · Coaching Confidence

The James Franklin story at Virginia Tech won't sit still.

James Franklin took over as Virginia Tech's head coach, replacing Brent Pry. It is replaces 4-year head coach Brent Pry (16-24). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.

Developing4 new this week
2 days agoJames Franklin's postgame statement should put future Virginia Tech opponents on notice — Fighting Gobbler
2 days agoVirginia Tech cruises past Old Dominion 44-21 to start Franklin era 2-0 — Yahoo Sports
2 days agoTop prospects left Lane Stadium more sold on James Franklin and Virginia Tech than when they arrived — On3
5 days agoWin total: 6.5 → 7 (▲0.5)
2 weeks agoPenn State transfer named starting QB — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
James Franklin Head coach
“James Franklin's postgame statement should put future Virginia Tech opponents on notice” — Fighting Gobbler · 2026-09-13
Brent Pry Out
James Franklin Press
“James Franklin Press Conference (9/12/26)” — Virginia Tech Athletics · 2026-09-12
Fans React
““NCAA is Unamerican”: Fans React as James Franklin Fumes at Punishment for High-Fiving Military Personnel” — sports.yahoo.com · 2026-09-08
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Franklin, who led Penn State to a national title, inherits a 3-9 roster and 50% returning production — Virginia Tech's identity as a program with a 1999 hangover hangs in the balance.
Source of record: James Franklin took over as Virginia Tech's head coach, replacing Brent Pry — replaces 4-year head coach Brent Pry (16-24).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quietThe Dominoes active
🎪The circus“No. 1 in-state OL Devan Reed was given a poignant message from c” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“No. 1 in-state OL Devan Reed was given a poignant message from coach James Franklin during his visit”
247Sports · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“James Franklin's postgame statement should put future Virginia Tech opponents on notice”
Fighting Gobbler · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Virginia Tech Post-Game Quotes That Matter From James Franklin After Old Dominion Win”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“‘That team in Blacksburg is special’: Priority targets rave about James Franklin, Virginia Tech’s fast start”
On3 · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards4% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (73%).

This event was in 134 of 3634 board posts (4%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"The hate from PSU fans on here is so absurd to me…. We actually helped them by nearly removing the buy out from them. They act like we pulled some dirty tricks to get Franklin whil"
r/hokies ~ fan take
"The goal has been 7-5 and good vibes into 2027 (good recruiting, keep good players, good portal etc). The players Franklin got is for a 2027 peak."
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (892 posts): 23% positive · 44% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

🔗The dominoes12 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Penn State Transfer Luke Reynolds Stars for Virginia Tech”
The Key Play · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“ODU aims for another upset of Virginia Tech as coaching staff ties run deep - The Virginian-Pilot”
news · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
Belief EKG
2020 season2019 seasonL 27-34 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 1)W 37-17 vs Old Dominion (Wk 3)W 42-21 vs Boston College (Wk 8)W 21-6 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 9)L 28-31 vs Duke (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2024 season2019 seasonW 45-24 vs NC State (Wk 4)W 38-31 vs Duke (Wk 5)L 45-56 vs North Carolina (Wk 6)W 40-14 vs Boston College (Wk 7)L 16-23 vs Wake Forest (Wk 8)W 42-35 vs Louisville (Wk 9)L 35-38 vs Liberty (Wk 10)L 24-25 vs Miami (Wk 11)L 14-47 vs Pittsburgh (Wk 12)L 10-45 vs Clemson (Wk 14)W 33-15 vs Virginia (Wk 15)HIGHLOW
2024 season2020 seasonL 28-35 vs Boston College (Wk 1)W 31-17 vs Old Dominion (Wk 2)W 24-17 vs Furman (Wk 3)L 10-45 vs Duke (Wk 5)W 42-35 vs Miami (Wk 6)W 34-17 vs Rhode Island (Wk 7)W 43-41 vs North Carolina (Wk 8)L 20-21 vs Notre Dame (Wk 10)W 36-17 vs Wake Forest (Wk 11)W 45-0 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 12)W 28-0 vs Pittsburgh (Wk 13)L 30-39 vs Virginia (Wk 14)L 30-37 vs Kentucky (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonStory arc: Virginia Tech AD Brian White makes bold predictions about James FranklinStory arc: Standout Slot Receiver Cam Wade Commits to Virginia Tech Over Florida State…Story arc: Iowa and Virginia Tech to meet in Sioux City this fallWk 39Wk 4495th38th
2024 season · 6W-7L2020 season · 5W-6L2019 season · 8W-5L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsStory arc

Rival pulse

Virginia
Uneasy
-7
Commonwealth Cup
Face-off →
Miami
Mixed
+1
Miami-Virginia Tech

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Virginia Tech is the program with Enter Sandman, the Lunch Pail defense, and the heaviest 1999 hangover in college football.

Offense: SolidDefense: Poor
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired James Franklin
  • 2025Philip Montgomery departs (interim)3-6
  • 2025Brent Pry departs16-24
  • 2025Hired Philip Montgomery (interim)
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Virginia Tech

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production37%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#27 nationally247 composite 769.1
Portal Additions29Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#30Development class
EDGEin 6 - Daniel Jennings3.70out 3 - James Jennette3.60Need Filled
WRin 4 - Que'Sean Brown4.38out 5 - Micah Matthews3.60Downgrade
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession ReceiverBoom-or-bustmoves the chains on third down his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
CBin 3 - Jaquez White3.60out 4 - Dante Lovett3.60Even
current room: 182 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Perimeter Tackler2025 profileTakeaway threatgets targeted often and tackles in space the kind of DB who takes it back the other way
our read Unranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile
LBin 1 - Keon Wylie3.70out 4 - Caleb Woodson3.60Starter Risk
current room: 224 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2025 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
Homegrown
OTin 3 - Justin Terry3.60out 1 - Hannes Hammer3.40Need Filled
DLin 2 - Randy Adirika3.60out 2 - Jahzari Priester1.00Upgrade
current room: 271 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (122 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Virginia Tech

4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. Portal

    Penn State transfer named starting QB

    Franklin inherits the keys day one — a Penn State transfer at QB is the fastest possible answer to an offense that needed a proven system operator before those 2028 recruits show up and see what they're walking into.

    Aug 31Reported
  2. Portal

    S DQ Smith transfer commits from South Carolina

    Safety room lost Ellis and hasn't rebuilt the position — Smith arriving from SEC competition fills that gap on day one, but Franklin's era at VT starts with a portal dependency that Blacksburg will be watching closely.

    Aug 23CFBD /player/portal
  3. Recruiting

    Dani Robinson commits to Virginia Tech

    Pry's building through development now — a #39 class ranking with LB pressure still on the board means Robinson isn't depth filler, he's part of the identity reset after 2024's power-rating freefall.

  4. News

    Win total: 6.5 → 7 (▲0.5)

    Win total climbed from 6.5 to 7 without a clear public catalyst — worth watching as the offseason firms up.

    Sep 10
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+6.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: +20.9 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
EDGE
+12.8
need filled
LB
-10.5
starter risk
OT
+7.3
need filled
DL
+5.2
TE
+4.6
S
+4.2
RB
-3.4
WR
-2.5
LS
+2.0
QB
+1.2
CB
-1.1
P
+1.0
low confidence
IOL
+0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Terry Wiggins
LB · Coatesville, PA
#198 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 12 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Messiah Mickens
RB · Harrisburg, PA
#253 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 12 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Davion Brown
WR · Richmond, VA
#293 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

23
VA · 10PA · 3NJ · 2AL · 1CA · 1DC · 1MD · 1MI · 1+3 more

VA leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 11 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

89 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. VA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WIMI1NYMA1ORNVWYSDIAILIN1OH3PA4NJ3CTCA1UTCONEMOKYWV1VA44MD5DERIAZNMKSARTN5NC8SC4DC1OKLAMSAL1GA2AKHITX1FL1
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 16.7% of every high-school FBS signee VA produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Virginia is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Virginia Tech player grew up 228 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

35th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%165–332 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi11%13 of 119 players
Farthest2,091 miTroy Huhn · Carlsbad, CA
Closest29 miIsrael Hairston · Vinton, VA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Lane Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 119 of 122 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns VA · 2026 roster

39% of the Virginia Tech roster grew up in VA.

48 of 122 players, drawn from 24 states in all. That is the 41st-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day tells a more local story: 49% of the last 4 classes were VA kids, but churn — transfers in, locals out — has drifted the roster 10 points away from home.

VA · 48NC · 12MD · 9PA · 7GA · 6NJ · 6SC · 6OH · 5+16 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

122 players across 24 states. Biggest pull outside VA: NC (12).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WI1MI2NYMA3ORNVWYSDIAIL1IN1OH5PA7NJ6CT1CA1UTCONEMOKY1WV3VA48MD9DERIAZNMKSARTN1NC12SC6DCOK1LA1MSAL1GA6AKHITX2FL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. Every listed player has a home state inside the 50 states or DC. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Virginia Tech Defeats Wofford 38-6
395 upvotes · Sep 2025
[Game Thread] Wofford @ Virginia Tech (12:00 PM ET)
25 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 34% never transferred. C
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence higher than any point since 2025

70th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
70th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7
Vegas O/U wins
(60th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 2 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

3 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #18, Bob Ballou (CBS Austin), to #25, Eric Johnson (WSLS-TV). 65 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 50% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~46% league rate.

3 of 6 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Losing the penalty battle: 17 penalties committed vs. 13 drawn on opponents, a 35-yard deficit.

125 penalty yards committed vs. 90 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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