Virginia Tech beats Maryland 35-26

Virginia Tech3-035
Maryland2-126Final
Sat, Sep 19 · SECU Stadium, College Park, Md. · Crowd 46,185FS1

Virginia Tech beat Maryland 35-26.

We had Maryland favored. Virginia Tech won.

Top comment in the game thread

That’s literally the funniest way for this travesty of a 20 minutes could’ve ended.

Q2 14:51 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Virginia Tech a 46% chance, and the closing betting line (Virginia Tech was a 2.5-point favorite) put it at 58%.

Favored the whole way: Virginia Tech never fell below 50%.

Maryland never had better than a 50% chance.

FinalVirginia Tech 35-26 MarylandVirginia Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q485% at halfVirginia TechWon35-2612+10−11ScoresV. TechMarylandVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 20 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 16 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 19 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q485% at halfVirginia TechWon35-2612ScoresV. TechMarylandVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 20 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 16 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 19 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q415% at halfVirginia TechLowest 0%Lost26-3512−10+11ScoresMarylandV. TechMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 20 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 16 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 19 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q415% at halfVirginia TechLowest 0%Lost26-3512ScoresMarylandV. TechMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 20 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 14 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 16 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 15 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 9 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 19 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 11 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 13 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 18 comments a minuteVirginia Tech fans: 12 comments a minute

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 8:15Grunkemeyer 14-yd TD pass to Reynolds, Virginia Tech goes ahead 7-0Virginia Tech 61% → 71% (+10)
  2. 2Q2 9:14Grunkemeyer 49-yd TD pass to Overton, Virginia Tech leads 20-7Virginia Tech 74% → 63% (−11)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 8:15Grunkemeyer 14-yd TD pass to Reynolds, Virginia Tech goes ahead 7-0Maryland 39% → 29% (−10)
  2. 2Q2 9:14Grunkemeyer 49-yd TD pass to Overton, Virginia Tech leads 20-7Maryland 26% → 37% (+11)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 14:51Grunkemeyer runs for a touchdown, making Virginia Tech fans celebrate wildlyQuoted at the top of the page.I’m gonna say it… VANILLA VICKr/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 2:42Fans mock broadcast commentators for praising Maryland's secondary as Washington passes to FlemingClose to muting the broadcast at this point. The word "nice" has become meaningless at this point. It's just a sound now.r/CFB game threadWhy run? The secondary is traffic conesr/CFB game thread
  3. Q4 5:34Maryland fans rip coach Locksley for failing two-point conversions instead of kicking extra pointsThe fact locksley went for 2 the first time is such a fireable offenser/CFB game threadWe have a kicker who’s only job is to do kickoffs, and he can’t do itr/CFB game thread
Virginia Tech’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Virginia Tech -2.5), at 50% for Virginia Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Maryland or Virginia Tech flair (413 and 1,801); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Virginia Tech’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 8:15Grunkemeyer 14-yd TD pass to ReynoldsVirginia Tech goes ahead 7-0Q1, 8:15 · Virginia Tech 7, Maryland 0▲10%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 61% to 71%▲10%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 61% to 71%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  2. Q2, 9:14Grunkemeyer 49-yd TD pass to OvertonVirginia Tech leads 20-7Q2, 9:14 · Virginia Tech 20, Maryland 7▼11%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 74% to 63%▼11%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 74% to 63%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  3. Q2, 2:11Washington 12-yd TD pass to Durrcuts it to 20-14Q2, 2:11 · Virginia Tech 20, Maryland 14▼6%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 81% to 75%▼6%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 81% to 75%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  4. Q2, 0:16Grunkemeyer 2-yd TD pass to HairstonVirginia Tech leads 27-14Q2, 0:16 · Virginia Tech 27, Maryland 14▲5%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 77% to 82%▲5%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 77% to 82%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  5. Q3, 7:29Overton 2-yd TD runVirginia Tech leads 35-14Q3, 7:29 · Virginia Tech 35, Maryland 14▲9%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 89% to 98%▲9%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 89% to 98%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  6. Q4, 12:36Washington 2-yd TD pass to Flemingcuts it to 35-20Q4, 12:36 · Virginia Tech 35, Maryland 20▼3%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 100% to 97%▼3%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 100% to 97%Watch from this playCFB ON FOX

Every drive

Virginia Tech scored on 5 of its 9 drives; Maryland on 4 of its 9.

Virginia Tech’s drives are teal, Maryland’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Virginia Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 63PuntVirginia Tech: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Maryland: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownVirginia Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 34PuntVirginia Tech: Punt, from 80 yards out to 78PuntMaryland: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownVirginia Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: End of half, from 75 yards out to 61End of halfQ3Maryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntVirginia Tech: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 35DownsVirginia Tech: Punt, from 65 yards out to 57PuntMaryland: Touchdown, from 81 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Virginia Tech: Punt, from 65 yards out to 47PuntMaryland: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownVirginia Tech: End of game, from 65 yards out to 40End of game

From Maryland’s side

Maryland’s best moment: Grunkemeyer 49-yd TD pass to Overton, Virginia Tech leads 20-7 (Q2 9:14). It lifted Maryland’s win chance by 11 points.

How Maryland fans took it: “Obvious first down. These refs so bad.” r/CFB game thread

“Maryland’s tackling is shockingly bad”
A Maryland fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthVirginia Tech fansMaryland fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Maryland fans

locksley“Maybe if the crowd boos locksley loud enough he will quit. Although I don’t think he’s as honorable as mark turgeon was to walk away.”

tackling“Halftime adjustment idea... NEW GAMEPLAN: Play Defense AND..this cool thing called tackling”

bounds“He was never down in bounds. How do they not review that and stop the clock?”

fired“The best thing that could happen to this game is Locks getting fired at halftime”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, need, ball, back.

What it cost

Virginia Tech’s chance to make the playoff rose from 3% to 4%.

Make the playoff

Virginia Tech · won3% → ▲4%
Maryland · lost6% → ▲7%6%▲ 7%

Win the conference

Virginia Tech · won2% → ▲3%
Maryland · lost3% → ▲5%3%▲ 5%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Virginia Tech 35, Maryland 26

Virginia Tech covered −2.5 by 6.5. The total, 61, went over 53.5.

Virginia TechMarylandTotal yardsVirginia Tech 445Maryland 423445423Passing yardsVirginia Tech 314Maryland 359314359Rushing yardsVirginia Tech 131Maryland 6413164First downsVirginia Tech 25Maryland 232523TurnoversVirginia Tech 0Maryland 000Time of possessionVirginia Tech 36:39Maryland 23:2136:3923:21
Team totalsVirginia TechMaryland
Total yards445423
Passing31 of 39, 314 yds30 of 43, 359 yds
Rushing36 for 131 yds21 for 64 yds
First downs2523
Third down10 of 167 of 12
Fourth down2 of 20 of 1
Turnovers00
Penalties9 for 76 yds8 for 64 yds
Time of possession36:3923:21

Virginia Tech leaders

  • Passing Ethan Grunkemeyer 31 of 39, 314 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Marcellous Hawkins 16 for 75 yds; Jeffrey Overton Jr. 12 for 49 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Luke Reynolds 12 for 107 yds, 1 TD; Jeffrey Overton Jr. 3 for 63 yds, 1 TD

Maryland leaders

  • Passing Malik Washington 30 of 43, 359 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Harry Dalton III 6 for 26 yds; Iverson Howard 11 for 22 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Chris Durr Jr. 12 for 109 yds, 2 TD; Kaleb Webb 5 for 98 yds

No rain through the game

76° at kickoff · no rain recorded

September game-day temperatures at SECU Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Maryland favoredVirginia Tech favored0%Win chanceMarylandRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Maryland favoredVirginia Tech favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left7:41 p.m.
Virginia Tech 0, Maryland 0 · Maryland 50% to win
no rain · 76°
Grunkemeyer 5-yd pass to Brown
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at College Park airport, 1.5 miles away, and Washington/national airport, 11 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Virginia Tech · 2-0

Rated 51st in our preseason ratings, 43rd now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 73-3 vs VMI #266 of 668

won by 70 as a 54.5-point favorite

Virginia Tech won 73-3 vs VMI. Never in doubt.

Last two games

Maryland · 2-0

Rated 76th in our preseason ratings, 65th now, up 11 spots.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Week by week

Maryland

Wk 1: W 62-0 vs Hampton▲62HamptonWk 2: W 38-14 at UConn▲24UConn
  • Wk 1Wvs Hampton62-0
  • Wk 2Wat UConn38-14

Virginia Tech

Wk 1: W 73-3 vs VMI▲70VMIWk 2: W 44-21 vs Old Dominion▲23Old Dominion
  • Wk 1Wvs VMI73-3
  • Wk 2Wvs Old Dominion44-21

Power rating by week

Virginia Tech is rated 3.1 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

52-1Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2MarylandVirginia Tech

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Maryland’s success rate against Virginia Tech, 63 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Maryland’s success rate against Virginia Tech’s defense

    63 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Maryland offense, 20th percentile · Virginia Tech defense, 83rd

  2. Maryland’s explosive plays against Virginia Tech’s defense

    48 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Maryland offense, 55th percentile · Virginia Tech defense, 7th

  3. Virginia Tech’s passing EPA against Maryland’s defense

    41 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Virginia Tech offense, 84th percentile · Maryland defense, 43rd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Virginia TechMaryland
EPA/play, offense
Virginia Tech · 76Maryland · 18
EPA/play, defense
Virginia Tech · 62Maryland · 38
Success rate, offense
Virginia Tech · 71Maryland · 20
Success rate, defense
Virginia Tech · 83Maryland · 40
Explosive-play rate, offense
Virginia Tech · 74Maryland · 55
Explosive-play rate, defense
Virginia Tech · 7Maryland · 63
Rush EPA, offense
Virginia Tech · 42Maryland · 61
Rush EPA, defense
Virginia Tech · 82Maryland · 39
Pass EPA, offense
Virginia Tech · 84Maryland · 8
Pass EPA, defense
Virginia Tech · 37Maryland · 43

The series

Maryland leads the series 17-15

32 meetings since 1919 · Maryland has won the last 2

Maryland wonVirginia Tech won1919: Virginia Tech by 61920: Maryland by 71921: Maryland by 31922: Virginia Tech by 211923: Virginia Tech by 91924: Virginia Tech by 121925: Virginia Tech by 31926: Virginia Tech by 161927: Maryland by 61928: Virginia Tech by 31929: Maryland by 241930: Maryland by 61931: Maryland by 201932: Virginia Tech by 231933: Virginia Tech by 141934: Maryland by 51935: Maryland by 71936: Maryland by 61945: Virginia Tech by 81946: Maryland by 61947: Maryland by 21948: Maryland by 281949: Maryland by 271950: Maryland by 561990: Maryland by 71993: Virginia Tech by 272004: Virginia Tech by 492005: Virginia Tech by 192008: Virginia Tech by 102009: Virginia Tech by 272013: Maryland by 32021: Maryland by 4419192021
  • 2021 · neutral siteMaryland 54-10Maryland won 54-10 vs Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 65%, low 63%, high better than 99%.
  • 2013Maryland 27-24
  • 2009Virginia Tech 36-9
  • 2008Virginia Tech 23-13
  • 2005Virginia Tech 28-9

Each line is Maryland’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Virginia Tech fans are in a better mood than Maryland fans (76th vs 20th among FBS fanbases), even with Maryland favored.

  • Model · 54%
  • Line · 42%
  • Maryland fans · 20th
  • Virginia Tech fans · 76th

Virginia Tech favored by 2.5 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

Virginia Tech by 2.5, and it went to form

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Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Virginia Tech.

opened +1.5now +2.5

Spread: +1.5 → +2.5

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 76° at kickoff.

Virginia Tech at Maryland · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · SECU Stadium, College Park

  • 76°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's eight kickoff times. At SECU Stadium that day, a 3:30 pm kickoff would have scored 88, against 100 at 7:30 pm.

  • noon: 92, Comfortable
  • 1 pm: 91, Comfortable
  • 2 pm: 89, Mixed
  • 3:30 pm: 88, Mixed
  • 4 pm: 90, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Maryland is worth +2.9 points (±5.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 28th percentile.

43% at home, 32% on the road against FBS opponents (20-27 home, 13-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±7.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 225 miles to get here.

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