The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Stony Brook 2%, Elon 8%, North Carolina A&T 16%
Win out <1% · expect 0.3 of 3 more wins
Hampton's chance to win each game left, from our model: Elon 8%, North Carolina A&T 16%, Stony Brook 2%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Tre'Von Taylor 933 · Rushing Donovan Shepard 223 · Receiving Isaiah Smith 309 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | Virginia Lynchburg | W 45-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Woods 191 · Rush Pryear 132 · Rec Borden 45 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Maryland | L 0-62 78 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Woods 56 · Rush Goldsmith 26 · Rec Portis 40 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | Bryant | L 3-31 | 1-2 | 0-1 | Pass Taylor 134 · Rush Goldsmith 41 · Rec Colon 40 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Norfolk State | L 21-42 | 1-3 | 0-1 | Pass Taylor 178 · Rush Pryear 48 · Rec Jackson 57 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | Campbell | L 20-44 | 1-4 | 0-2 | Pass Taylor 259 · Rush Taylor 35 · Rec Portis 73 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Howard (N) | L 13-27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | Pass Brookins 193 · Rush Goldsmith 28 · Rec Colon 73 |
| 6 | Bye week | |||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | @Sacred Heart | L 21-35 | 1-6 | 0-3 | Pass Taylor 123 · Rush Brookins 44 · Rec Smith 50 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | Monmouth | L 13-49 | 1-7 | 0-4 | Pass Taylor 97 · Rush Shepard 84 · Rec Means 60 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Towson | L 13-44 | 1-8 | 0-5 | Pass Brookins 110 · Rush Goldsmith 51 · Rec Smith 84 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Elon | 2 pm ET8% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | North Carolina A&T | 1 pm ET16% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Stony Brook | 12 pm ET2% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Hampton, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Towson | L 13-44 | — | — | — | −0.090 | 25.0% | 2.17 | Most explosive |
| Oct 24 | Monmouth | L 13-49 | — | — | — | +0.041 | 31.4% | 1.59 | Blowout loss |
| Oct 17 | @Sacred Heart | L 21-35 | — | — | — | +0.163 | 38.7% | 1.66 | |
| Oct 3 | Howard | L 13-27 | — | — | — | −0.132 | 36.1% | 1.16 | |
| Sep 26 | Campbell | L 20-44 | — | — | — | +0.042 | 35.7% | 1.53 | |
| Sep 19 | @Norfolk State | L 21-42 | — | — | — | −0.333 | 37.7% | 1.26 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | Bryant | L 3-31 | — | — | — | −0.057 | 46.9% | 0.80 | Best success rate |
| Sep 5 | @Maryland | L 0-62 | — | — | — | −0.243 | 23.1% | 0.97 | Blowout loss |
| Aug 29 | Virginia Lynchburg | W 45-0 | — | — | — | +0.257 | 43.1% | 1.34 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | −0.039 | 35.3% | 1.39 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last eight.
Range of outcomes · Hampton · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 76%; 2 wins 23%; 3 wins 2%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-8
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Coastal Athletic teams the same season
Hampton is 1-8 and plays at Elon next.
Hampton is 1-8 and plays at Elon next.
Range of outcomes · Hampton · 2026