The rest of the season
Three real tests left: South Carolina State 8%, Norfolk State 29%, Delaware State 42%
Win out 1% · expect 0.8 of 3 more wins
Howard University's chance to win each game left, from our model: South Carolina State 8%, Delaware State 42%, Norfolk State 29%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Ja'Shawn Scroggins 1,076 · Rushing Eden James 317 · Receiving Semaj Pierre 238 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | Alabama A&M (N) | W 31-24 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 315 · Rush Scroggins 49 · Rec Pierre 68 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | Richmond | L 21-28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 109 · Rush Roberson II 44 · Rec Hunter 43 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Indiana | L 0-55 109 | 1-2 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 43 · Rush Roberson II 14 · Rec Miller 15 |
| 3 | Bye week | |||||
| 4 | Sep 25 | @Rutgers | L 7-58 120 | 1-3 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 38 · Rush James 116 · Rec Jackson 33 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Hampton (N) | W 27-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 267 · Rush Scroggins 64 · Rec Osborne 64 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Pennsylvania | L 20-24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 140 · Rush Roberson II 51 · Rec Pierre 55 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Morehouse | W 31-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | Pass Scroggins 128 · Rush James 120 · Rec Neely 30 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Morgan State | W 26-20 | 4-4 | 1-0 | Pass Freeman 36 · Rush Roberson II 76 · Rec Pierre 25 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @North Carolina Central | L 0-34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | Pass Freeman 39 · Rush Roberson II 42 · Rec Clark 15 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | South Carolina State | 7:30 pm ET · ESPNU8% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Delaware State | 1 pm ET42% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Norfolk State | 12 pm ET29% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Howard University, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @North Carolina Central | L 0-34 | — | — | — | −0.554 | 16.1% | 0.77 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 24 | @Morgan State | W 26-20 | — | — | — | +0.074 | 41.0% | 0.96 | One-score win |
| Oct 17 | Morehouse | W 31-17 | — | — | — | +0.054 | 36.4% | 1.56 | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 10 | @Pennsylvania | L 20-24 | — | — | — | −0.055 | 31.8% | 1.17 | One-score loss |
| Oct 3 | Hampton | W 27-13 | — | — | — | +0.113 | 43.2% | 1.11 | Best success rate |
| Sep 25 | @Rutgers | L 7-58 | 184 | 3 | 23:16 | −0.150 | 29.2% | 1.51 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 12 | @Indiana | L 0-55 | 57 | 1 | 26:24 | −0.422 | 18.4% | 1.44 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 5 | Richmond | L 21-28 | — | — | — | +0.030 | 27.7% | 1.72 | One-score loss |
| Aug 29 | Alabama A&M | W 31-24 | — | — | — | +0.231 | 31.2% | 1.89 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Season average (9 games) | 120 | 2.0 | −0.075 | 30.5% | 1.35 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Range of outcomes · Howard University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 38%; 5 wins 46%; 6 wins 15%; 7 wins 1%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
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What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-5
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among MEAC teams the same season
Howard is the prestige HBCU whose Showtime Marching Band and cultural legacy define Black excellence in Washington, D.C.—a program where reputation exceeds record but never dismisses ambition.
Howard is the prestige HBCU whose Showtime Marching Band and cultural legacy define Black excellence in Washington, D.C.—a program where reputation exceeds record but never dismisses ambition.
Range of outcomes · Howard University · 2026