The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 80%
Win out 68% · expect 2.6 of 3 more wins
South Carolina State University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Howard 92%, North Carolina Central 82%, Delaware State 91%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Keely Watson 1,542 · Rushing Mason Pickett-Hicks 785 · Receiving DJ Maultsby 419 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | Savannah State | W 87-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Robinson 96 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 95 · Rec Burgess 60 |
| 1 | Sep 6 | Florida A&M (N) | W 31-13 | 2-0 | 0-0 | Pass Watson 168 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 210 · Rec Jones 72 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | Virginia State | W 66-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | Pass Watson 119 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 112 · Rec Hillman 43 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Furman | W 20-17 | 4-0 | 0-0 | Pass Watson 186 · Rush Shaw 55 · Rec Maultsby 118 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @Bethune-Cookman | W 31-21 | 5-0 | 0-0 | Pass Watson 146 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 136 · Rec Thompson 32 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | The Citadel | L 31-34 | 5-1 | 0-0 | Pass Watson 245 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 90 · Rec Maultsby 79 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Charleston Southern | L 39-49 | 5-2 | 0-0 | Pass Robinson 279 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 38 · Rec Jones 111 |
| 7 | Bye week | |||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | Norfolk State | W 22-7 | 6-2 | 1-0 | Pass Watson 215 · Rush Pickett-Hicks 52 · Rec Maultsby 57 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @Morgan State | W 51-10 | 7-2 | 2-0 | Pass Watson 279 · Rush Fields 71 · Rec Maultsby 51 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @Howard | 7:30 pm ET · ESPNU92% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | North Carolina Central | 1:30 pm ET82% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | Delaware State | 1:30 pm ET91% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for South Carolina State University, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | @Morgan State | W 51-10 | — | — | — | +0.389 | 56.0% | 1.21 | Blowout win |
| Oct 24 | Norfolk State | W 22-7 | — | — | — | +0.094 | 38.4% | 1.29 | |
| Oct 10 | @Charleston Southern | L 39-49 | — | — | — | +0.032 | 34.4% | 1.71 | Most explosive |
| Oct 3 | The Citadel | L 31-34 | — | — | — | +0.243 | 44.4% | 1.19 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 26 | @Bethune-Cookman | W 31-21 | — | — | — | +0.300 | 48.4% | 1.16 | |
| Sep 19 | @Furman | W 20-17 | — | — | — | −0.049 | 36.2% | 0.99 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | Virginia State | W 66-0 | — | — | — | +0.483 | 61.4% | 1.21 | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 6 | Florida A&M | W 31-13 | — | — | — | +0.098 | 48.3% | 1.15 | |
| Aug 29 | Savannah State | W 87-0 | — | — | — | +0.620 | 65.3% | 1.19 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | +0.246 | 48.1% | 1.23 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last two.
All the bull crap conspiracy theories from the past four years… hopefully we can put that crap to bed
Range of outcomes · South Carolina State University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
8 wins 3%; 9 wins 28%; 10 wins 68%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-2
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among MEAC teams the same season
South Carolina State University is 7-2 and plays at Howard next.
South Carolina State University is 7-2 and plays at Howard next.
Range of outcomes · South Carolina State University · 2026