The rest of the season
Three real tests left: South Carolina State 9%, Howard 58%, Morgan State 66%
Win out 3% · expect 1.3 of 3 more wins
Delaware State University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Morgan State 66%, Howard 58%, South Carolina State 9%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Ui Ale 1,124 · Rushing Ui Ale 281 · Receiving Jaylin Terzado 429 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | Stony Brook | W 41-34 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Ale 259 · Rush Ale 82 · Rec Terzado 149 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @William & Mary | L 15-22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Ale 138 · Rush Jenkins 57 · Rec Rone 42 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | Bowie State | W 21-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | Pass Ale 133 · Rush Boykins Jr. 87 · Rec Banks 54 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @South Florida | L 17-59 124 | 2-2 | 0-0 | Pass Ale 249 · Rush Ale 49 · Rec Stewart 102 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | Towson | W 33-28 | 3-2 | 0-0 | Pass Ale 193 · Rush Ale 71 · Rec Terzado 82 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @UAlbany | L 3-28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | Pass Brannock 85 · Rush Boykin 21 · Rec Williams 52 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Franklin Pierce | W 34-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | |
| 7 | Bye week | |||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | North Carolina Central | L 12-31 | 4-4 | 0-1 | Pass Ale 74 · Rush Benton 35 · Rec Terzado 65 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | Norfolk State (N) | W 36-33 | 5-4 | 1-1 | Pass Adams 243 · Rush Adams 69 · Rec Rone 59 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | Morgan State | 1 pm ET66% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Howard | 1 pm ET58% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @South Carolina State | 1:30 pm ET9% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Delaware State University, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Norfolk State | W 36-33 | — | — | — | −0.066 | 32.2% | 1.56 | One-score win |
| Oct 23 | North Carolina Central | L 12-31 | — | — | — | +0.167 | 37.8% | 1.36 | |
| Oct 3 | @UAlbany | L 3-28 | — | — | — | −0.254 | 24.6% | 1.49 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 26 | Towson | W 33-28 | — | — | — | +0.039 | 37.1% | 1.13 | One-score win |
| Sep 19 | @South Florida | L 17-59 | 353 | 1 | 31:21 | +0.151 | 42.4% | 1.37 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 12 | Bowie State | W 21-6 | — | — | — | +0.282 | 52.5% | 1.03 | Best success rate |
| Sep 5 | @William & Mary | L 15-22 | — | — | — | +0.068 | 40.8% | 1.01 | Best defensive stand |
| Aug 27 | Stony Brook | W 41-34 | — | — | — | +0.316 | 38.2% | 1.86 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Season average (8 games) | 353 | 1.0 | +0.088 | 38.2% | 1.35 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
We’re far from where we want to be, but at the end of the day it’s a work in progress
Range of outcomes · Delaware State University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 13%; 6 wins 44%; 7 wins 39%; 8 wins 3%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-4
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among MEAC teams the same season
Delaware State University is 5-4 and hosts Morgan State next.
Delaware State University is 5-4 and hosts Morgan State next.
Range of outcomes · Delaware State University · 2026