The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Rhode Island 33%, Sacred Heart 56%, Elon 64%
Win out 12% · expect 1.5 of 3 more wins
Towson's chance to win each game left, from our model: Sacred Heart 56%, Rhode Island 33%, Elon 64%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Andrew Indorf 1,537 · Rushing Kemarrion Battles 432 · Receiving Aaron Enterline 682 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | Maine | L 18-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Indorf 267 · Rush Battles 89 · Rec Charlton 136 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Navy | L 15-42 79 | 0-2 | 0-1 | Pass Indorf 208 · Rush Battles 25 · Rec Enterline 69 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @South Carolina | L 9-45 67 | 0-3 | 0-1 | Pass Indorf 171 · Rush Phillips 15 · Rec Enterline 123 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | Morgan State | L 26-41 | 0-4 | 0-1 | Pass Indorf 365 · Rush Battles 37 · Rec Enterline 92 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @Delaware State | L 28-33 | 0-5 | 0-1 | Pass Indorf 247 · Rush Battles 94 · Rec Enterline 113 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Monmouth | L 40-41 | 0-6 | 0-2 | Pass Indorf 279 · Rush Battles 58 · Rec Enterline 154 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Stony Brook | L 24-31 | 0-7 | 0-3 | Pass Davis 337 · Rush Davis 66 · Rec Charlton 142 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @Campbell | L 20-24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | Pass Davis 257 · Rush Pugh 75 · Rec Charlton 88 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | Hampton | W 44-13 | 1-8 | 1-4 | Pass Davis 216 · Rush Davis 109 · Rec Cunningham 55 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Sacred Heart | 12 pm ET56% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Rhode Island | 12 pm ET33% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | Elon | 1 pm ET64% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Towson, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Hampton | W 44-13 | — | — | — | +0.529 | 55.7% | 1.34 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 17 | @Campbell | L 20-24 | — | — | — | +0.022 | 48.7% | 1.06 | One-score loss |
| Oct 10 | Stony Brook | L 24-31 | — | — | — | +0.082 | 42.3% | 1.45 | One-score loss |
| Oct 3 | @Monmouth | L 40-41 | — | — | — | +0.145 | 35.1% | 1.67 | One-score loss |
| Sep 26 | @Delaware State | L 28-33 | — | — | — | −0.051 | 53.8% | 0.82 | One-score loss |
| Sep 19 | Morgan State | L 26-41 | — | — | — | +0.291 | 52.0% | 1.00 | |
| Sep 12 | @South Carolina | L 9-45 | — | — | — | −0.098 | 27.3% | 1.38 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 5 | @Navy | L 15-42 | — | — | — | +0.053 | 28.6% | 1.90 | Most explosive |
| Aug 27 | Maine | L 18-21 | — | — | — | +0.199 | 40.6% | 1.26 | One-score loss |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | +0.130 | 42.7% | 1.32 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
2-8 over the last 10, and won the last one.
We had those guys last year down and we did not do what we need to do to finish the game
Range of outcomes · Towson · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 11%; 2 wins 38%; 3 wins 40%; 4 wins 12%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-8
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Coastal Athletic teams the same season
Towson is 1-8 and plays at Sacred Heart next.
Towson is 1-8 and plays at Sacred Heart next.
Range of outcomes · Towson · 2026