The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Bryant 44%, Towson 44%, Merrimack 48%
Win out 9% · expect 1.4 of 3 more wins
Sacred Heart's chance to win each game left, from our model: Towson 44%, Bryant 44%, Merrimack 48%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Jack Snyder 1,508 · Rushing Chuck Webb 500 · Receiving Jason Palmieri 408 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Monmouth | L 24-31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Snyder 191 · Rush Webb 72 · Rec Hangey 110 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Massachusetts | L 10-37 40 | 0-2 | 0-1 | Pass Snyder 77 · Rush Yanchuk 28 · Rec Palmieri 46 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Elon | L 21-24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | Pass Snyder 195 · Rush Webb 56 · Rec Gentilella 67 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | New Hampshire | W 20-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | Pass Snyder 95 · Rush Webb 85 · Rec Leggett 34 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Maine | W 24-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | Pass Snyder 207 · Rush Snyder 73 · Rec Palmieri 73 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Stonehill | L 7-28 | 2-4 | 2-2 | Pass Snyder 236 · Rush Chukwuemeka 58 · Rec Hangey 70 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Hampton | W 35-21 | 3-4 | 3-2 | Pass Snyder 198 · Rush Webb 89 · Rec Chukwuemeka 52 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Stony Brook | W 32-31 | 4-4 | 4-2 | Pass Snyder 309 · Rush Webb 90 · Rec Palmieri 95 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | Towson | 12 pm ET44% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Bryant | 12 pm ET44% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Merrimack | 12 pm ET48% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Sacred Heart, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Stony Brook | W 32-31 | — | — | — | +0.252 | 44.4% | 1.17 | One-score win |
| Oct 17 | Hampton | W 35-21 | — | — | — | +0.415 | 61.5% | 0.99 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 10 | Stonehill | L 7-28 | — | — | — | −0.186 | 36.8% | 1.12 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 3 | @Maine | W 24-16 | — | — | — | +0.071 | 48.0% | 0.98 | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 26 | New Hampshire | W 20-13 | — | — | — | +0.023 | 36.1% | 0.87 | One-score win |
| Sep 19 | @Elon | L 21-24 | — | — | — | +0.112 | 45.9% | 1.07 | One-score loss |
| Sep 12 | @Massachusetts | L 10-37 | — | — | — | −0.153 | 36.6% | 0.95 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 5 | @Monmouth | L 24-31 | — | — | — | +0.168 | 35.2% | 1.60 | Most explosive |
| Season average (8 games) | — | — | +0.088 | 43.1% | 1.09 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Range of outcomes · Sacred Heart · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 16%; 5 wins 41%; 6 wins 34%; 7 wins 9%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-4
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among Coastal Athletic teams the same season
Sacred Heart is the Connecticut Catholic school that started FCS football in 1999, went independent for a decade, and joins the CAA in 2026 — the Pioneers are a winning program on the verge of testing itself against the FCS's most competitive conference.
Sacred Heart is the Connecticut Catholic school that started FCS football in 1999, went independent for a decade, and joins the CAA in 2026 — the Pioneers are a winning program on the verge of testing itself against the FCS's most competitive conference.
Range of outcomes · Sacred Heart · 2026