The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Stony Brook 23%, Rhode Island 25%, Maine 49%
Win out 3% · expect 1.0 of 3 more wins
New Hampshire's chance to win each game left, from our model: Rhode Island 25%, Stony Brook 23%, Maine 49%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Brooks Bentley 1,364 · Rushing Jocquez Smith 476 · Receiving Ja'Carree Kelly 405 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 8
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | @UAlbany | L 14-28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Bentley 230 · Rush Thomason 53 · Rec Kelly 123 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Syracuse | L 3-66 77 | 0-2 | 0-1 | Pass Bentley 75 · Rush Smith 64 · Rec Thomason 53 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | Stonehill | W 42-35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | Pass Bentley 195 · Rush Smith 122 · Rec Kelly 78 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | Harvard | L 7-31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | Pass Bentley 186 · Rush Smith 50 · Rec Carlson 56 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @Sacred Heart | L 13-20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | Pass Bentley 81 · Rush Smith 107 · Rec Ramshaw 32 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Elon | W 30-23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | Pass Bentley 301 · Rush Thomason 36 · Rec Kelly 82 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @North Carolina A&T | L 27-30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | Pass Bentley 267 · Rush Smith 76 · Rec Perez 136 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Monmouth | L 21-42 | 2-6 | 1-4 | Pass McLeish 178 · Rush Thomason 70 · Rec Carlson 62 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Merrimack | L 17-24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | Pass McLeish 318 · Rush Smith 16 · Rec Ricketti 155 |
| 9 | Bye week | |||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rhode Island | 1 pm ET25% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Stony Brook | 1 pm ET23% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Maine | 1 pm ET49% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for New Hampshire, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | @Merrimack | L 17-24 | — | — | — | +0.066 | 37.1% | 1.50 | One-score loss |
| Oct 17 | Monmouth | L 21-42 | — | — | — | −0.050 | 32.7% | 1.43 | |
| Oct 10 | @North Carolina A&T | L 27-30 | — | — | — | +0.005 | 32.4% | 1.57 | Most explosive |
| Oct 3 | Elon | W 30-23 | — | — | — | +0.130 | 44.4% | 0.97 | Best success rate |
| Sep 26 | @Sacred Heart | L 13-20 | — | — | — | −0.033 | 29.2% | 1.39 | One-score loss |
| Sep 19 | Harvard | L 7-31 | — | — | — | −0.297 | 28.9% | 1.32 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | Stonehill | W 42-35 | — | — | — | +0.283 | 43.4% | 1.46 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 5 | @Syracuse | L 3-66 | — | — | — | −0.256 | 27.0% | 0.89 | Defense's roughest night |
| Aug 28 | @UAlbany | L 14-28 | — | — | — | +0.049 | 32.1% | 1.41 | |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | −0.012 | 34.1% | 1.33 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Range of outcomes · New Hampshire · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 30%; 3 wins 47%; 4 wins 21%; 5 wins 3%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-7
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Coastal Athletic teams the same season
New Hampshire is 2-7 and hosts Rhode Island next.
New Hampshire is 2-7 and hosts Rhode Island next.
Range of outcomes · New Hampshire · 2026