South Florida routs Delaware State 59-17

Delaware State2-217
South Florida3-059Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla. · Crowd 32,345ESPN+

South Florida routed Delaware State 59-17.

We had South Florida favored. It won.

Next: Delaware State beat Towson 33-28, Sat Sep 26

Next: South Florida beat Bowling Green 14-6, Sat Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave South Florida a 95% chance, and the closing betting line (South Florida was a 37.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

South Florida led by 7 after the first quarter and by 11 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+42+42
90-yard TD passDelaware State · Q1 4:47
FinalSouth Florida 59-17 Delaware StateSouth Florida wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won59-17Scores90-yard TD pass
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won59-17Scores90-yard TD pass
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost17-59Scores90-yard TD pass
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost17-59Scores90-yard TD pass

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

South Florida’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (South Florida -37.5), at 99% for South Florida (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.
Kickoff came 28 minutes late. Thunder was reported at Macdill Afb/tampa airport (8.8 miles away) from 5:33 p.m. to 6:05 p.m., around the delay.

Every drive

South Florida scored on 9 of its 12 drives; Delaware State on 3 of its 11.

South Florida’s drives are teal, Delaware State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1South Florida: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Missed field goal, from 82 yards out to 29Missed FGSouth Florida: Punt, from 71 yards out to 62PuntDelaware State: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Fumble, from 82 yards out to 59FumbleQ2South Florida: Touchdown, from 41 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Field goal, from 89 yards out to 5Field goalSouth Florida: Fumble, from 67 yards out to 49FumbleDelaware State: Touchdown, from 48 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownQ3Delaware State: Turned over on downs, from 72 yards out to 39DownsSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Punt, from 81 yards out to 69PuntSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Delaware State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntSouth Florida: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware State: Punt, from 73 yards out to 64PuntSouth Florida: Field goal, from 76 yards out to 3Field goalDelaware State: Punt, from 83 yards out to 84PuntSouth Florida: End of game, from 49 yards out to 50End of game

Box score

South Florida 59, Delaware State 17

South Florida covered −37.5 by 4.5. The total, 76, went over 59.5.

Delaware StateSouth FloridaTotal yardsDelaware State 353South Florida 611353611Passing yardsDelaware State 250South Florida 321250321Rushing yardsDelaware State 103South Florida 290103290First downsDelaware State 17South Florida 331733TurnoversDelaware State 1South Florida 111Time of possessionDelaware State 31:21South Florida 28:3931:2128:39
Team totalsDelaware StateSouth Florida
Total yards353611
Passing17 of 27, 250 yds25 of 35, 321 yds
Rushing31 for 103 yds31 for 290 yds
First downs1733
Third down3 of 124 of 6
Fourth down0 of 10 of 0
Turnovers11
Penalties7 for 67 yds4 for 35 yds
Time of possession31:2128:39

Delaware State leaders

  • Passing Ui Ale 16 of 22, 249 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Ui Ale 4 for 49 yds; Jayden Sauray 5 for 21 yds
  • Receiving Nathan Stewart 2 for 102 yds, 1 TD; Terrence Rone 4 for 44 yds

South Florida leaders

  • Passing Michael Van Buren Jr. 23 of 32, 300 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing D.J. Crowther 8 for 101 yds, 3 TD; Tray Kinkle 5 for 67 yds
  • Receiving Joshua Porter 8 for 106 yds, 1 TD; Bryson Rodgers 7 for 86 yds

Kickoff came 28 minutes late

79° at kickoff · no rain on radar during play · wind 3 mph from the north-northeast, gusts to 13

Thunder was reported at Macdill Afb/tampa airport (8.8 miles away) from 5:33 p.m. to 6:05 p.m., around the delay.

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4South Florida favoredDelaware State favored100%Win chanceSouth FloridaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphThunder reported
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4South Florida favoredDelaware State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inWind · miles per hour2040Thunder reported

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 13:33 left7:35 p.m.
Delaware State 0, South Florida 7 · South Florida 100% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 10 · 79°
Ale 8-yd pass to Rone

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Tampa International Airport, 2.5 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Delaware State · 2-1

Rated 187th in our preseason ratings, 185th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Stony Brook as a 4.5-point underdog.

W 21-6 vs Bowie State #338 of 668

Delaware State won 21-6 vs Bowie State. Chance to win started at 60%, low 58%, high better than 99%.

W 41-34 vs Stony Brook #175 of 668

won by 7 as a 4.5-point underdog

Delaware State won 41-34 vs Stony Brook. Chance to win started at 45%, low 35%, high better than 99%.

Last two games

South Florida · 2-0

Rated 64th in our preseason ratings, 66th now.

Two straight wins, capped by a 4-point win over Army as a 3-point underdog.

Week by week

South Florida

Wk 1: W 19-9 vs Florida International▲10Florida InternationalWk 2: W 28-24 at Army▲4Army
  • Wk 1Wvs Florida International19-9
  • Wk 2Wat Army28-24

Delaware State

Wk 1: W 41-34 vs Stony Brook▲7Stony BrookWk 1: L 15-22 at William & Mary▼7William & MaryWk 2: W 21-6 vs Bowie State▲15Bowie State
  • Wk 1Wvs Stony Brook41-34
  • Wk 1Lat William & Mary15-22
  • Wk 2Wvs Bowie State21-6

Power rating by week

South Florida is rated 8.6 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

2-4-10Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2South FloridaDelaware State

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on South Florida’s chances here.

50-50Model 95% · Line 100%Delaware StateSouth Florida

South Florida favored by 37.5 · Total 59.5

How games like this usually go

South Florida by 37.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward South Florida.

opened −36.5now −37.5

The total fell 2 points.

opened 61.5now 59.5

Spread: −36.5 → −37.5 · Total: 61.5 → 59.5

Weather at kickoff

Warm, with rain. Feels like 82° at kickoff.

Delaware State at South Florida · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa

  • 82°feels like at kickoff
  • 0.01 inrain at kickoff
  • 91weather score, Comfortable
  • 2ndbest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Raymond James Stadium that day, a 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 95, against 91 at 7:30 pm.

  • noon: 48, Harsh
  • 1 pm: 34, Harsh
  • 2 pm: 35, Harsh
  • 3:30 pm: 39, Harsh
  • 4 pm: 42, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 87, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 91, Comfortable (this game)
  • 7:45 pm: 95, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

South Florida is worth +2.3 points (±4.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 19th percentile.

41% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (17-24 home, 14-34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 872 miles to get here.

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