Florida International

1-1

Conference USA · Willie Simmons, year 2 (8-7) · Pitbull Stadium · 20,000 · 18,202 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#103 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #116 (-13.5) · FPI #109
The marketFlorida Atlantic by 7at Florida Atlantic · our model 42% Florida International · a number, not a pick

LastW 33–20 vs Buffalo · Sat Sep 12 · JJ Kohl 367 pass yds, 3 TD, 19 rush yds

Nextat Florida Atlantic · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET · FAU Stadium · Florida Atlantic by 7 · series 6-16 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Florida International · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#124#64+14.5@South FloridaL 9–19 1310-10-0
2Sep 12#119#138-8.5BuffaloW 33–20 1421-10-0
3Sep 19#113#109+7@Florida Atlantic
4Sep 26#113#213Long Island University
6Oct 7New Mexico State
7Oct 14@Jacksonville State
8Oct 20Middle Tennessee
9Oct 31@Liberty
10Nov 7Missouri State
11Nov 14@Delaware
12Nov 21@Kennesaw State
13Nov 28Sam Houston
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12BuffaloW 33–20540138:22+0.18140.0%135.0%
Sep 5@South FloridaL 9–19381329:51+0.11138.2%112.9%
Season average (2 games)4602.0+0.14639.1%124.0%
Verdict Begins·Live

Florida International is the Miami commuter school that sold its stadium's name to Pitbull and just had its best season in years — a program that wins by surprising even itself.

Title DroughtSince 2018 · 8 yrs

Panther fans live in the shadow of Miami and share a city that barely knows they exist; they say the only way FIU gets noticed is by winning, so they treat every bowl bid and every Shula Bowl scalp as…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

W 33–20 vs Buffalo

Florida International fans

L 9–19 at South Florida

Florida International fans

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 7-6 · last season

Game feel59shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 12 in the Conference USA
Heart rate2-1rarely closein one-score games (3 of 13)11th most one-score games of 12 in the Conference USA
Margin-1.5competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 12 in the Conference USA
Tempo70uptempooffensive plays / game3rd fastest of 12 in the Conference USA
Big plays1.33some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)4th most explosive of 12 in the Conference USA
Home crowd13,864avg attendance7th biggest crowds of 11 in the Conference USA

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Conference USA teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Florida International has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 6-4 over the last 10, and won the last one.

Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
They’ve got a great quarterback, and their kicker might be one of the best kickers, maybe the best kicker in the country
Monken · On33 days before Florida International's 2026 game against Buffalo
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Florida Atlantic · away

SoftExplosive, big-playSolid

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#116 in field+100000
C-USA title#6 in market+650

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Florida International · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Florida International's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Florida International enters 2026 — the 7-6 record and No. 107 SP+ mark contrast with the program’s 2002 founding and Riccardo Silva Stadium legacy, raising questions about sustaining its identity in Conference USA.

what happenedFlorida International enters 2026 rated No. 107 in 2025 SP+ (-10.5). ✓ fact

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Willie Simmons begins his tenure at Florida International with a 7-6 record, signaling a shift in identity for a program defined by its 2002 founding and Riccardo Silva Stadium legacy.

what happenedFlorida International: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

portal2025-05-31~readnew

JJ Kohl's arrival as the top QB transfer anchors Florida International's top-20 portal class — Simmons' first move in a 7-6 program with Miami-G5 identity at stake.

what happenedFlorida International signed a top-83 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Alex Perry (WR) from Hawai'i and JoJo Stone (WR) from Louisville. ✓ fact

our readbackground

underdog2025 cycle✓ factnew

Alex Perry produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Alex Perry is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Alex Perry does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Dallas Payne is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Kejon Owens converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Maguire Anderson is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredFlorida International's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downFlorida International's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Florida International · 2026

Florida International's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Florida International · Season outlook Confidence

Florida International enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Florida International enters 2026 rated No. 107 in 2025 SP+ (-10.5). SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.

CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Florida International enters 2026 — the 7-6 record and No. 107 SP+ mark contrast with the program’s 2002 founding and Riccardo Silva Stadium legacy, raising questions about sustaining its identity in Conference USA.
Source of record: Florida International enters 2026 rated No. 107 in 2025 SP+ (-10.5).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers0 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Florida Atlantic takes on Florida International”
Daily Jefferson County Union · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Florida International Panthers @ Kennesaw State Owls: Live game updates, stats, play-by-play”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“South Florida storms back down 10 in final minutes at Army, 28-24”
Beat writer · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards25% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall.

This event was in 75 of 301 board posts (25%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"I’m collecting student interest in potentially bringing a rock-climbing wall to FIU. The survey takes about 30 seconds: If there’s enough support, I’ll use the results to bring a p"
r/FIU ~ fan take
"Hi everyone, I’m a graduate student here at FIU and was wondering if there are any good social clubs that accept grad students?"
r/FIU ~ fan take

Board health this week (65 posts): 6% positive · 72% neutral · 22% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Developing · Florida International · Transfer portal Confidence

Florida International went deep in the portal this cycle. Portal volume is the start of the story, not the verdict.

Florida International signed a top-83 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Alex Perry (WR) from Hawai'i and JoJo Stone (WR) from Louisville. The portal window is closed. Whether this class contributes reveals itself in August, not in rankings. Attention has moved on; what's left is the competition itself.

Developing1 new this week
2 days agoFIU football opens milestone season at home with convincing victory — Miami Herald
2 weeks agoTransfer QB leads a revamped FIU roster that has higher expectations — Orlando Sentinel
4 weeks agoTransfer QB JJ Kohl leads a revamped FIU roster with higher expectations — Miami Herald
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Alex Perry WR · Hawai'i
JoJo Stone WR · Louisville
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
JJ Kohl's arrival as the top QB transfer anchors Florida International's top-20 portal class — Simmons' first move in a 7-6 program with Miami-G5 identity at stake.
Source of record: Florida International signed a top-83 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Alex Perry (WR) from Hawai'i and JoJo Stone (WR) from Louisville.
How each room reacted — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thin
📣Believers0 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“FIU football opens milestone season at home with convincing victory”
Miami Herald · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Transfer QB leads a revamped FIU roster that has higher expectations”
Orlando Sentinel · 2026-08-28 · read ↗
“Transfer QB JJ Kohl leads a revamped FIU roster with higher expectations”
Miami Herald · 2026-08-17 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards14 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: negative overall.

Only 14 of 301 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"So, for those of you who are undergrad or graduate students in their final term just here to give a quick update to say my financial aid offer updated to reflect less than full tim"
r/FIU ~ fan take
"I graduated at MDC with AA in Mechanical Engineering. However I didn't take physics and physics lab since I had 60+ credits (a lot were transferred from high school). I could take"
r/FIU ~ fan take

Board health this week (65 posts): 6% positive · 72% neutral · 22% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Florida International is the Conference USA program whose 2002 program founding + Mario Cristobal era + Riccardo Silva Stadium identity define what Miami-G5-football looks like.

Offense: SoftTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Solid
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Willie Simmons
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Florida International

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production32%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#90 nationally247 composite 607.6
Portal Additions17Primary repair: LB
Portal Losses22Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#102Depth class
DLin 4 - Jamorie Flagg3.50out 4 - Xion Chapman4.25Even
current room: 265 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 2 - DeAndre Boykins3.40out 3 - Jessiah Mcgrew3.50Downgrade
Box Safety2022 profileplays like an extra linebacker near the line
CBin 2 - Vontae Floyd3.40out 3 - Brian Blades ll3.60Downgrade
current room: 188 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 1 - Manasseh Ripert1.00out 3 - Mykeal Rabess3.60Starter Risk
IOLin 2 - Daveion Harley1.00out 2 - Antonio Tripp Jr.4.28Downgrade
current room: 313 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 2 - Brayshawn Littlejohn3.50out 1 - Dwight Nunoo3.20Upgrade
current room: 222 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Coverage 'Backer2025 profilecarries tight ends down the field in coverage
Transferred in
Full roster (109 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Florida International

1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. Recruiting

    Tobias Johnson commits to FIU

    OT pressure flagged at #90 nationally, and Simmons goes and lands a D-lineman from Escambia — depth class or not, filling the trenches on both sides of the ball is how you rebuild identity in C-USA.

    Jul 13Official
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-11.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: -28.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
-9.6
starter risk
IOL
-5.8
EDGE
-4.5
starter risk
LB
+3.8
WR
-3.8
S
-3.6
CB
-2.4
TE
-2.4
DL
-1.4
QB
+1.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jaeden McMillan
ATH · Melbourne, FL
#966 national
★★★☆☆
Karaijus Hayes
S · Sarasota, FL
#1358 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 16 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Dominic Turnbull
CB · Miami, FL
#1438 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

21
FL · 17GA · 3NC · 1

FL leads the 2026 class with 17 commits. National footprint reaching 3 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

84 signees across 11 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPA1NJCTCA2UTCO1NEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKS2ARTN1NC1SCDCOKLAMS1AL1GA4AKHITX3FL67
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 5.0% of every high-school FBS signee FL produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Miami is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Florida International player grew up 111 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

5th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%16–597 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi49%52 of 107 players
Farthest2,534 miOrlando Syph-Timmons · Mountain House, CA
Closest12 miDemetrius Hill · Miami, FL

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to FIU Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 107 of 109 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns FL · 2026 roster

73% of the Florida International roster grew up in FL.

78 of 107 players, drawn from 15 states in all. That is the 2nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

FL · 78GA · 7MS · 3AL · 2IA · 2IL · 2NC · 2NY · 2+7 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

107 players across 15 states. Biggest pull outside FL: GA (7).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINY2MAORNVWYSDIA2IL2INOH1PANJ1CTCA1UTCONEMOKYWVVA1MD1DERIAZNMKSARTNNC2SC2DCOKLAMS3AL2GA7AKHITX2FL78
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 37% never transferred. F
See the class →
Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
30th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Losing the penalty battle: 13 penalties committed vs. 9 drawn on opponents, a 32-yard deficit.

91 penalty yards committed vs. 59 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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