Home Conferences FBS 2026 season

The weekly grind · 2026

Conference USA

Coaching Premium League

Liberty holds the Conference USA lead heading into this week's games.

Conference USA is more top-heavy than deep. Liberty gives the league punch, but the middle tier falls away faster than the top leagues.

#10Overall
#10In FBS
+16.4Conference strength
+21.0Upper strength
10Teams
0Top-25 teams
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

Coaching Premium League

North Texas went 12-2 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked #112 nationally. Old Dominion went 10-3 with a #102 class. UTSA finished at SP+ #26 with a #107 recruiting rank. The top three teams in Conference USA all carry coaching premiums above +80 — which means the coaches in this conference are collectively doing more with less than nearly any other league in FBS. Meanwhile UTEP went 2-10 with the #70 recruiting class.

0 top-25 teams.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. A wide talent spread separates the haves from the have-nots.

Where things stand right now.

Liberty holds the Conference USA lead heading into this week's games.

Tools Matchup simulator Compare teams Playoff forecast Style map Head to head Power map

North Texas Went 12-2 With the 112th Recruiting Class

North Texas’s coaching premium is +100 — the gap between their #112 recruiting rank and their #12 SP+ rating. Twelve wins in 2025 from a program in Denton, Texas that competes for recruits in the shadow of Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, TCU, and Baylor. No transfer portal intervention, no sudden spike in NIL budget: just a coaching staff that turns players other programs passed over into a team that wins twelve games. If Conference USA gets talked about nationally, this is why.

Why it matters →

Old Dominion’s 10-3 Season Matches the North Texas Story

Old Dominion went 10-3 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked #102 nationally — a +91 coaching premium that makes them the second-best overperformer in the conference. The program that started as an FCS power in Norfolk, Virginia and made the move to FBS in 2012 has spent more than a decade proving it belongs. Ten wins in 2025 is the most compelling argument they’ve made yet.

Why it matters →

UTEP Recruited at #70 and Went 2-10

UTEP’s coaching gap is -51: a #70 recruiting class — the conference’s best after Rice’s #70 match — produced a 2-10 season. Charlotte went 1-11. Middle Tennessee went 3-9 with a #98 class. The bottom of Conference USA is a study in what happens when G5 programs recruit well enough to create expectations but can’t close the gap on the field. Every win by North Texas and Old Dominion lands differently when you know this is the same conference.

Why it matters →

Active arcs

All arcs →
Fan pulse Last 30 days · 1,095 mentions
16% positive 51% neutral 33% negative
Jacksonville State
453
↓ negative
Kennesaw State
200
→ neutral
Delaware
103
↓ negative
Florida International
73
↑ positive
New Mexico State
61
→ neutral
Sam Houston
60
↓ negative
Fan confidence by FBS percentile

Where each Conference USA program stands nationally in fan sentiment (100th = most positive in FBS, 0 = least). Conference median: 68th percentile. The label is the band (Bullish, Leaning, Mixed, Souring); the number after it is the change in percentile points since the prior week.

Missouri State
Bullish+34
Liberty
Bullish+8
Sam Houston
Leaning+6
Kennesaw State
Leaning+13
Delaware
Souring+5

Most volatile: Sam Houston

Fan confidence has swung 95 percentile points in the last 8 weeks — currently at the 73rd percentile nationally.

The coaching premium
Recruiting class rank vs. SP+ performance — where coaches add or subtract value
Above line = coaching premium
Below line = underperforming
Gap = recruiting rank minus SP+ rank

Positive gap means the coaching staff won more than the recruiting class predicted. Data: Conference USA teams, 10 programs.

Coaching grades
Coaching premium ↑
Liberty
+73
Delaware
+43
Jacksonville
+15
Missouri
+1
Underperforming ↓
Sam
-29
Middle
-26
Florida
-24
Western
-16
Kennesaw
-13

Standings

2026 season, in progress — sorted by power rating. The tag beside a team is its long-run program standing.

Projected standings · Conference USA · 2026

Win projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. Avg = expected wins; W-L = most-likely record.

# Team W-L Pwr Avg ≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Liberty6-2+9.15.983263869799✓✓
2Jacksonville State5-3+4.45.121439688897✓✓
Challengers
3Delaware5-3+4.04.7192957819499✓
4Western Kentucky4-4+1.34.241843709098✓
5Kennesaw State3-5−1.83.5282451779399
The field
6Florida International4-4−1.93.7182655819599
7Missouri State3-5−1.93.5172451789499
8Middle Tennessee3-5−3.63.3151842719199
Rebuilding
9New Mexico State3-5−4.13.1141638668898
10Sam Houston3-5−5.63.031335648898

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2026 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Liberty+0.2449.9%+1.15+0.0562.934.4%Efficient offense
Jacksonville State+0.1946.9%+1.21−0.0661.643.2%Balanced
Delaware+0.1341.6%+1.26−0.1366.152.5%Balanced
Western Kentucky+0.0337.9%+1.26−0.1572.850.2%Can't sustain drives
Kennesaw State+0.0842.3%+1.12−0.1163.450.9%No explosive plays
Missouri State+0.0939.6%+1.24−0.2162.547.2%Defense is the problem
Florida International+0.0439.8%+1.14−0.0667.550.7%No explosive plays
Middle Tennessee+0.0839.2%+1.27−0.1662.152.3%Balanced
New Mexico State−0.0139.8%+1.27−0.0663.547.8%Balanced
Sam Houston−0.0335.7%+1.36−0.0963.155.2%Can't sustain drives

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2026 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

Conference USA's highest CFB Zeitgeist Scores, 2026 season so far.

#PlayerTeamNational
1Isaiah MyersWRMissouri State#6 of 465
2Antonio MartinRBMiddle Tennessee#6 of 330
3Trace ScottIDLDelaware#11 of 300
4Gabe PetersonEDGENew Mexico State#26 of 405
5Blake MatthewsLBDelaware#32 of 567
6Sone AupiuLBNew Mexico State#37 of 567
7Nicolas SessionsSNew Mexico State#29 of 537
8Jared LloydLBMissouri State#43 of 567
9Tony Newsome Jr.CBWestern Kentucky#31 of 344
10Caleb NixSJacksonville State#35 of 537

Where Conference USA stands nationally

Conference strength, as a round-robin adjusted power rating.

1 SEC SEC
+24.4
2 B10 Big Ten
+23.3
3 IND FBS Independents
+21.7
4 B12 Big 12
+21.5
5 P12 Pac-12
+20.8
6 ACC ACC
+20.5
7 AAC American Athletic
+18.3
8 SB Sun Belt
+17.3
9 MW Mountain West
+16.5
10 CUSA Conference USA
+16.4